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18th Annual Report of the Pacific Northwest Electric Power and
Conservation Planning Council
September 22, 1998 | document 98-29
SUBMITTED TO THE
COMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES
UNITED STATES SENATE
COMMITTEE ON COMMERCE
UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AND
COMMITTEE ON RESOURCES
UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
October 1, 1997, through September 30, 1998
Contents
MAJOR COUNCIL ACTIVITIES IN FISCAL YEAR 1998
Review of Fish Hatcheries
Review of Corps of Engineers Capital Construction Projects
Management Review of Bonneville's Fish and Wildlife Contracting
Procedures
Fiscal Year 1999 Fish and Wildlife Project Selection
A New Scientific Foundation for the Fish and Wildlife Program
Northwest Energy Review Transition Board
The Fourth Northwest Conservation and Electric Power Plan
Bonneville Cost Review: Cut Annual Spending By $147 Million
Assessing Bonneville's Potential Financial Situation
Public Involvement
Fiscal Years 1999 and 2000 Budget overviews
Rulemakings in fiscal year 1998
More Information
Council offices
September 22, 1998
Dear Citizens of the Pacific Northwest:
The Northwest Power Act of 1980 gave the governors of the four Northwest
states valuable tools for addressing regional energy, fish and wildlife issues.
Through the Northwest Power Planning Council, which the states created under
authority of the Act, Northwest citizens have an important voice in decisions
about the region's unique hydropower system. Through the Council, the region
also has significant influence over the investment of electricity ratepayer
money in energy, fish and wildlife initiatives, an open forum for public debate
of these issues, and a means of conducting independent analyses of complex
resource issues.
The complex issues our region faces today arise in a much different world
than in 1980. The introduction of competition in the energy industry has changed
the role of regional energy planning, one of the Northwest Power Act's central
features. Endangered Species Act listings have, in some instances, dominated the
regional voice in federal hydropower operations that the Northwest Power Act
gave the region through the governors. The role of the Bonneville Power
Administration, principal financier of energy conservation and fish and wildlife
measures under the Act, is changing dramatically.
Through all of these changes, the Council will continue to provide
high-quality, objective analysis, oversee annual implementation of our Columbia
River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program, and ensure that fish and wildlife funds
are well spent. We also will continue to provide for public involvement in
regional energy and fish and wildlife issues, and communicate with the public
and disseminate public information.
In this 18th annual report, we briefly discuss our major activities during
the past year. Again this year, the report is brief because the details of our
efforts are documented extensively elsewhere - in our draft Fourth Northwest
Power Plan, in issue papers, in analysis Council staff carried out for the
Northwest Energy Review Transition Board, and in our proposed budget for Fiscal
Years 1999 and 2000. These documents are available at our Internet site (www.nwcouncil.org)
or from our automated information system (call 1-800-452-5161 and ask for
extension 700). The electronic version of this report includes links to all
these documents.
John Etchart
Chairman
MAJOR COUNCIL ACTIVITIES IN FISCAL YEAR 1998
Following is a brief review of major tasks the Council has undertaken in
Fiscal Year 1998
Review of Fish Hatcheries
The Issue: The region lacks a coordinated policy to guide future
operation and funding of fish hatcheries in the Columbia River Basin. At the
request of Congress, the Northwest Power Planning Council convened a panel of
scientists and an advisory committee to review all fish hatchery production in
the Columbia River Basin as a first step toward developing such a policy.
Timeline: The review should be completed and delivered to Congress by
June 1999.
Background: Fish hatcheries have a long history in the Columbia River
Basin. For more than 100 years, hatcheries have been used to produce fish for
harvest, primarily in commercial fisheries in the lower Columbia River. For the
last 60 years, hatcheries also have been used to mitigate the impact of federal
dams on salmon and steelhead. Because most of this fish production, and
commercial fishing occurred downstream of Bonneville Dam, some people believe
the less-abundant wild salmon and steelhead that spawn upriver were
disproportionately affected. Hatcheries, regardless of where they are located,
can also experience disease problems, and these diseases can be passed to other
fish when the diseased fish are released. In addition, knowledge gained in
recent years indicates that hatchery operations can affect the genetics of fish.
This can make hatchery fish less successful at surviving in the wild and also
affect other fish if hatchery fish breed naturally.
On the other hand, others believe artificial production may be the only way
to rebuild seriously depleted stocks of salmon and steelhead that spawn in the
wild. With care, hatcheries could provide the seed stocks to rebuild naturally
spawning runs. This practice, known as supplementation, involves raising fish at
hatcheries and then releasing them into streams where they will return, by
natural instinct, to spawn.
Last September, as part of its annual program funding recommendations, the
Northwest Power Planning Council called for a comprehensive review of artificial
production of fish in the Columbia River Basin. Earlier in the year, Congress
called for a similar review as a first step toward developing a coordinated
policy to guide future operation of federally funded hatcheries in the basin,
and two recent independent scientific reviews of fish and wildlife restoration
in the Columbia River Basin have done so, as well. The common concern in each
case was whether current hatchery practices and the level of production - about
80 percent of the Basin's fish are produced in hatcheries - are appropriate.
The Council's review, which will be conducted by independent scientists and
monitored by a broad-based, 25-member advisory committee, will address three
major questions:
1. How does artificial production fit, or might it be altered to fit, into
the Columbia Basin ecosystem?
2. How can artificial production be used to meet the needs of society for
sustainable populations of fish that support harvest, as well as other competing
resources?
3. What institutional structures are needed to meet the needs of society for
sustainable populations of fish that support harvest?
Five scientists have been appointed by the Council to conduct the hatchery
review. Three are members of the Independent Scientific Advisory Board, a panel
of scientists who advise the Council and the National Marine Fisheries Service.
They are Jim Lichatowich, a consulting fisheries biologist from Sequim,
Washington; Rick Williams, a consulting geneticist from Meridian, Idaho; and
Brian Riddell of Nanaimo, British Columbia, a fisheries biologist with the
Department of Fisheries and Oceans, the Canadian federal fisheries agency. The
two other scientists are Ken Currens, a biologist with the Northwest Indian
Fisheries Commission in Olympia, Washington, and Ernie Brannon, a biologist with
the University of Idaho.
Review of Corps of Engineers Capital Construction Projects
The Issue: What fish passage improvements should the Corps of
Engineers pursue in the future at dams on the lower Snake and Columbia rivers?
Timeline: The review is scheduled to be completed early in 1999.
Background: In the Conference Report accompanying the Energy and Water
Development Appropriations Act for Fiscal Year 1998, Congress directed the
Northwest Power Planning Council to review "the major fish mitigation
capital construction activities proposed for implementation at the federal dams
in the Columbia River Basin." By definition, then, this is a review of the
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers' Columbia River Fish Mitigation Program. Through
this program, the Corps improves fish passage at its Columbia and Snake River
dams. Fish passage devices include screens to keep juvenile salmon and steelhead
from being drawn into the turbines, bypass systems to carry juvenile fish around
the dams, collection devices to direct juvenile fish into barges or back into
the river on the downstream side of the dams, fish ladders to help adult fish
swim over the dams, and related equipment. The conference report notes that the
Corps' program appears to reflect multiple, sometimes conflicting strategies.
Concurrently with studying the impacts of drawing down or breaching dams, the
Corps' program recommends significant amounts of funds to improve structural
facilities at those same projects.
Congress did not ask the Council to resolve such conflicts, but to point them
out for further review. The Council also will identify policy and technical
questions that should be addressed. The Council will address policy questions,
and scientific or technical questions will be referred to the Independent
Scientific Advisory Board, an 11-member panel of independent scientists who
advise both the Council and the National Marine Fisheries Service.
The Council's review will be completed in three separate phases. The first,
which was completed in June, addressed questions surrounding the Bonneville
outfall and John Day Dam extended-length screens. The second, which will deal
with surface bypass systems and gas abatement measures, will be completed this
fall. The third phase will provide a technical review of adult fish passage
improvements at mainstem dams and an evaluation of major strategies and
technologies for assisting downstream passage of salmonids. It will be completed
in early 1999.
Management Review of Bonneville's Fish and Wildlife
Contracting Procedures
The Issue: A 1996 amendment to the Northwest Power Act requires
improved cost-effectiveness and accountability for fish and wildlife spending in
the Columbia River Basin. In response, the Council retained Moss Adams LLP, an
independent accounting firm, to conduct a management review of contracting
processes for implementing the Council's Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife
Program. In February 1998, after seven months of work, Moss Adams reported that
the contracting process needs more competition, streamlined project procurement
and improved accountability.
Timeline: Bonneville is undertaking an internal review and will
consult with the Council.
Background: The review came on the heels of a Council-sponsored review
of Bonneville's other costs. That review recommended $147 million in annual
savings at the agency. The review also included a number of recommendations
regarding the regional planning and prioritization process.
Most of the findings and recommendations of the contracting review address
Bonneville's fish and wildlife project procurement and contract administration.
Specifically, the review made recommendations in four areas: contract
procurement, contract administration, program planning and, monitoring and
evaluation. Highlights of the recommendations include:
- Increase competition in solicitation and negotiation of contracts and make
the procurement process more efficient through more comprehensive program
planning.
- Require additional reporting and documentation to ensure accountability
for contract modifications, budgets and schedules, project status and
project monitoring.
- Planning documents should be more specific about project scoping, cost
definition and prioritization. Providing more specificity during planning
would allow project solicitations to be more focused.
- Ensure that monitoring and evaluation play a larger role in annual
planning so procurement can be guided by project results. Give one entity
responsibility for monitoring and evaluation.
- Develop a unified regional plan and enhance planning efforts prior to
soliciting for proposals.
Fiscal Year 1999 Fish and Wildlife Project Selection
The Issue: Recommending the allocation of $131 million of Bonneville
ratepayer money on fish and wildlife restoration to implement the Council's
Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program in Fiscal Year 1999.
Background: Consistent with an amendment to the Northwest Power Act in
the Energy and Water Appropriations Act of 1997, each September the Northwest
Power Planning Council recommends projects to Bonneville for funding in the
coming fiscal year. The project selection process takes most of the year and
includes project review and prioritization by the Columbia Basin Fish and
Wildlife Authority, an association of the region's state, tribal and federal
fish and wildlife agencies; review of the proposed projects by independent
panels of scientists and economists; and review by the public and the Council.
Responding to a request from the region's fish and wildlife managers, the
Council boosted spending by about $5 million over 1998 levels with money from a
contingency reserve and previously unspent funds.
Timeline: Schedule for Annual Project Selection Process:
January
Project proposals due to Bonneville; projects compiled for regional review and
distributed.
February
Independent Scientific Review Panel begins review of project proposals.
April
Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Authority reviews project proposals and
completes a draft work plan for independent scientific review.
June 15
Independent Scientific Review Panel reports on the proposed projects and the
Basin Authority's draft work plan.
June - August
Public review and comment on ISRP recommendations and draft work plan; Council
completes cost-effectiveness review and report on ocean impacts.
September
Council recommends projects to Bonneville for funding.
October 1
Fiscal year begins.
A New Scientific Foundation for the Fish and Wildlife
Program
The Issue Fish and wildlife recovery efforts in the Columbia River
basin lack an underlying, unifying scientific framework. In coordination with
federal and tribal governments, and interested parties, the Council is taking
steps to develop one.
Timeline: The first round of policy option development, economic and
scientific review should be completed by the end of 1998. The second and third
phases of the project, which include additional analysis and refinement of the
options will be completed in the fall of 1999.
Background: Two panels of independent scientists, one appointed by
Congress and the other by the Northwest Power Planning Council, said the
region's recovery efforts could be improved substantially if they went beyond
individual problems of individual species and instead were based on a view of
the ecological needs of many species. The scientists' advice may provide a way
to address the region's frustration with competing salmon recovery plans by
creating a recovery framework based on scientific principles. That framework
would evaluate everyone's strategy by the same criteria developed and examined
by teams of independent scientists, economists, policy-makers and interested
members of the public.
There are three main steps involved in the framework development project. The
first is scientific. The Power Council and others have summarized the two
scientific panels' work in a set of scientific principles to guide the framework
project's analysis. Developing policy options is the second step. A broad
spectrum of interests will be given an opportunity to develop a set of options
for the future of the Columbia Basin, including goals for the river and the
strategies necessary to meet those goals. Using workshops and public meetings,
the framework project will narrow the various options proposed by the region
down to a handful of major alternatives. The alternatives' costs and economic,
social and cultural effects will then be analyzed by independent experts.
The third step involves a scientific review, using the principles mentioned
earlier, of each of the proposed options to determine whether they are likely to
achieve their stated goals and objectives. With the benefit of the scientific
and economic, social and cultural analyses, policy makers and the public will
have further opportunities to rethink and improve the alternatives. After the
refinements, each option will be thoroughly reviewed and critiqued by the same
independent experts in law, science, economics and social and cultural analysis.
The framework project is being collaboratively managed by an array of
governments with public participation. The project is a serious attempt by the
relevant governments and decision-makers to bring a sense of order, fairness and
transparency to the debate about the future of the Columbia River. If the
project is successful, the region finally will have a specific set of clear
options for the future of the river, options that can be debated more
effectively, honestly and thoroughly than any created to date.
The project will help ensure that each of the governments and agencies
involved in managing the river will be working from the same information and
choosing from the same range of possible options. And, the information and
options will be developed in an open, public fashion that ensures all voices are
heard.
Northwest Energy Review Transition Board
The issue: In 1996, a 20-member committee appointed by the governors
of Idaho, Montana, Oregon and Washington reviewed the Pacific Northwest
electricity system and made a number of recommendations for how the region
should respond to increasing electricity industry competition as the result of
deregulation and also preserve the benefits of the region's mostly federal
hydropower system. Following the conclusion of the Comprehensive Review of the
Northwest Energy System, the governors appointed the four-member Northwest
Energy Review Transition Board to carry forward the recommendations of the
review in the form of draft legislation - a "Northwest Chapter" for
federal energy deregulation legislation.
Timeline: The Transition Board appointed subcommittees to work on
certain key recommendations of the Comprehensive Review. The Transition Board
intends to complete work on the Northwest Chapter and submit it to the governors
in the fall of 1998.
Background: The Transition Board has focused its efforts on the
Comprehensive Review's recommendations for meeting the obligations and
preserving the benefits of the Bonneville Power Administration. Those include:
- Development of a subscription system by which customers will contract for
the purchase of Bonneville power in the future.
- Development of a contingent cost recovery mechanism to ensure that
Bonneville is able to meet its financial obligations in the face of
uncertain future costs and market conditions
- Effective separation of Bonneville's power marketing and transmission
functions, and regulation of Bonneville's transmission equivalent to the
regulation of the transmission of investor owned utilities in order to
assure open, non-discretionary access to regional transmission.
The Board established work groups on these issues that have been meeting on a
bi-weekly basis for the last 18 months. However, the contentious nature of these
issues is such that although great progress has been made, there is not
consensus. The Transition Board is developing recommendations for the Governors
on the latter two issues that it hopes will have broad support if not consensus.
The Board may also find it necessary to take a position on subscription issues.
The Fourth Northwest Conservation and Electric Power Plan
The issue: The Fourth Northwest Power Plan describes the changing
electricity industry, analyzes some of the consequences of the more competitive
power market that is emerging, and suggests some alternative strategies the
Northwest may adopt in response to industry changes.
Timeline: The Council last updated the power plan in 1991. The Council
released the draft Fourth Northwest Power Plan for public comment in March 1996.
Comment on the draft was held open through 1996 while the Comprehensive Review
of the Northwest Power System was conducted. In 1997, following the
Comprehensive Review, the Council updated the draft with an addendum. After a
public comment period, the Council approved the power plan in 1998.
Background: The Fourth Northwest Power Plan explores key issues this
region must address as the electricity industry becomes more competitive. Many
of these issues were addressed by the Northwest Energy Review Transition Board
(See item 6 of this report). In the power plan, the Council addresses the
recommendations of the Comprehensive Review, which in many cases were quite
broad. The Council's plan is intended to refine the Review's recommendations for
state and local policy-makers. Here are some of the Council's key
recommendations:
Competition and consumer choice:
Separation of Distribution and Energy Marketing:
The Comprehensive Review noted that effective separation of utilities'
distribution and energy marketing functions is necessary if a truly competitive
retail market is to be established. The Council recommends that if effective
separation is to be achieved, policy-makers will have to provide for either
increased regulatory oversight to guard against abuses or require actual
separation.
Pricing:
The Comprehensive Review recommended that the unbundling of electricity prices
and recovery of transition costs (e.g., stranded investment recovery and public
purpose funding) be carried out in a competitively neutral fashion. The Council
notes that efficient competitive markets require marginal cost pricing -
products and services priced at the cost of producing the marginal or last unit.
"Unbundling" of prices requires, at a minimum, separating the costs of
distribution from the cost of the energy commodity. This is essential if
consumers are to be able to accurately compare one competitor's product with
another's.
Market information:
The Comprehensive Review noted that information about the market is critical if
the market is to be both fair and efficient. The Steering Committee made
specific recommendations regarding information to be provided on customer bills.
The Council's plan notes that in addition to unbundled prices and billing
information, consumers need to be provided information that allows them to
compare the characteristics of the products and services being offered by
competitors before they are expected to choose suppliers.
Accountability and administration:
The Comprehensive Review's recommendations include a number of new public
responsibilities - provision of consumer information services, monitoring and
enforcing competitive conditions, development and evaluation of pilot programs,
ensuring reasonably consistent market conditions and consumer protection laws
and their enforcement, registration and licensing of energy service providers,
development of a consumer complaint and arbitration process, and creating and
administering a universal service fund. According to the Council, if these
functions are to be carried out, responsibility needs to be assigned and the
activities supported. Provision should be made for many of these services to be
funded through a competitively neutral distribution system charge, as has been
proposed for other public purposes.
Stranded investment and "windfall profits:"
Utilities with higher-cost resources could experience stranded investment during
the transition to competition - fixed costs that cannot be recovered at market
prices. Conversely, utilities with low-cost supplies could experience
"windfall profits" from being able to charge market prices. The
Comprehensive Review noted that an opportunity for recovery of stranded
investments from the historical customer base is an appropriate transition
mechanism. According to the Council's plan, just as stranded investment recovery
is appropriate, so is the sharing of windfall profits with the historical
customer base. This is the other side of stranded investment recovery. Stranded
investment or windfall profits should be determined on the basis of the
utility's entire generating system, not individual resources, and recovery or
distribution should follow principles of competitive neutrality.
Conservation and renewable resources:
Aligning responsibility for conservation with business interests:
The Comprehensive Review recommended that local utilities be responsible for
collecting and using most of the public purpose funding for conservation and
low-income weatherization. According to the Council's plan, in assigning
responsibility for conservation in a restructured, competitive retail
electricity market, policy-makers should consider how that responsibility will
align with the business interests of the different utility functions and try to
minimize conflicts. How unbundled rates are structured will affect the
incentives for a utility to carry out conservation efforts. If a distribution
utility's fixed costs are predominantly collected in a per kilowatt-hour charge,
the utility will face a disincentive to pursue energy conservation. If the
conservation significantly reduces peak demands, and the utility's fixed costs
are recovered in a demand-based charge, the utility will face a disincentive to
pursue conservation.
Aligning responsibility for renewable resource development with business
interests:
The Comprehensive Review Steering Committee recommended that public purpose
funding for renewable resource development be administered by a regional
non-profit entity, but gave local utilities the right to choose to use those
funds for their own renewable resource development. According to the Council,
local utilities undertaking renewable resource development should consider
mechanisms such as power purchase contract provisions, production incentives and
financing incentives that limit their risk exposure and promote competition.
Renewable resource development and marketing should not be a responsibility of
the distribution function, except where such development is used to reduce
distribution system costs. Mixing the distribution and energy marketing function
regarding renewable resource development would defeat the intent of separation
of those functions.
Consistency with the competitive market:
The Comprehensive Review Steering Committee expressed a preference for relying
on market forces wherever possible to achieve the region's goals for developing
conservation and renewable resources. This implies that, to the greatest extent
possible, the restructuring of the electricity industry should be done in ways
that complement or encourage the development of competitive markets for
energy-efficiency services and renewable resources. In the power plan, the
Council recommends that energy service providers should have access to
information regarding consumer electricity use, as in the case of energy
marketers. This information is necessary to effectively target energy-efficiency
services. To deny energy-efficiency service providers this information puts them
at a competitive disadvantage. Consumers also need adequate information about
suppliers.
Establishing implementation objectives:
The recommendations of the Comprehensive Review focused on ensuring that funds
are collected to sustain development of conservation and renewables. They did
not provide much guidance on how the money should be directed, other than in
very broad categories. According to the Council's plan, implementing rules to
guide the use of public purpose funding should be established. Policy criteria
that should be considered include: - Using public purpose funding to encourage
development of cost-effective conservation that is the least likely to be
developed by the market alone; - Establishing cost-effectiveness criteria that
reflect the public rather than utility nature of the funding. Such criteria
should take into account environmental benefits and other non-electrical and
non-energy benefits of a conservation investment; and - Giving priority to low
cost and "lost-opportunity" resources to maximize the effectiveness of
public investment.
Bonneville Cost Review: Cut Annual Spending By $147
Million
The Issue:
Deregulation of the nation's electricity industry has driven down the wholesale
cost of power. In order to attract customers after 2001, when 90 percent of its
power sales contracts expire, the Bonneville Power Administration needs to
reduce the costs it recovers through rates as much as possible, consistent with
the Comprehensive Review and sound business practices. At the request of
Congress and the Governors, the Council and Bonneville convened a committee that
included five experts in corporate management to review the costs Bonneville
recovers (Bonneville, Corps, Bureau, Supply System). The committee recommended
cuts that should yield approximately $147 million in annual savings during the
next five-year Bonneville rate period, beginning in 2001.
Timeline:
The committee submitted its final recommendations to Bonneville and members of
the Northwest congressional delegation on March 9, 1998. Implementation of the
recommendations will be Bonneville's responsibility.
Background:
The Bonneville cost review grew out of the 1996 Comprehensive Review of the
Northwest Energy System. One key recommendation was to market Bonneville's power
long-term to regional customers.
Following the Comprehensive Review, the governors asked the Power Planning
Council to work with Bonneville to appoint a cost-review committee. The work
began in June 1997 and was completed in March 1998. The committee included four
Council members, two representatives from Bonneville and five experts in
corporate management and finance. The Committee's goal was to ensure that
Bonneville's near and long-term power and transmission costs are as low as
possible consistent with sound business practices, thereby enabling full cost
recovery with power rates at or below market prices. This is necessary, they
believe, if Bonneville is to successfully subscribe its products to in-region
customers.
The committee's recommendations are summarized in the following table:
| Recommendations |
Average
FYs
$ in |
Annual Reductions
2002-06
millions |
|
Total |
Power Business Line |
| 1. Further reduce staffing and support costs of power marketing and
other PBL functions not directly related to operation of the Federal power
system, through efficiency initiatives and reoriented long-term marketing
efforts. |
14.7 |
14.7 |
| 2. Fund regional conservation market transformation at a level
proportional to the percent of regional firm load served by Bonneville, as
called for in the Comprehensive Review. Recommended reduction brings the
Cost Baseline into line with estimates of the firm power load served by
Bonneville. Review the appropriateness of continued Bonneville support no
later than 2004. |
4.6 |
4.6 |
| 3. Reduce projected legacy conservation contract expenses to reflect
historical under-spending. Do not modify or extend existing contracts,
except that the State's low-income weatherization contract should be
extended consistent with the end of the legacy commitment to utilities.
Reduce associated staffing. |
2.5 |
2.5 |
| 4. Further reduce funding for the NW Power Planning Council to reflect
changes in Bonneville's regional role (i.e., curtail new resource
acquisitions), carry out the Council role in power recommended by
Comprehensive Review and the continued importance of fish and wildlife
issues. Seek additional funding from other sources for Council activities
that are of regional scope. Reductions assume one Council representative
per state. A process should be carried out to determine both the functions
the region wishes the Council to perform and how the functions should be
funded. |
1.1 |
1.1 |
| 5. Provide funding for costs of the three renewable resource projects
that Bonneville currently is planning, and currently planned levels of
renewable resource data collection and R&D. Annual net cost above
project revenues should not exceed $15 million per year, including the
data collection and R&D costs. No additional renewable resource
projects unless Bonneville's costs are recovered fully by project revenue. |
2.2 |
2.2 |
| 6. Develop and implement a consolidated, integrated capital/asset
management strategy for federal hydro directed at maximizing value,
including both financial returns and public benefits. The strategy should
encompass the operation and maintenance of the physical assets, a
coordinated investment plan, potential consolidation of duplicative
administrative support services among FCRPS agencies, and the creation of
integrated performance measures. Performance should be measured explicitly
and reported publicly, accountabilities established, and incentives
created and applied FCRPS-wide. Estimates at right include a combination
of reduced O&M expenses from the Cost Baseline and increased revenues
from higher production. |
Corps: 40.0
Bureau: 8.0 |
Corps
: 40.0
Bureau:
8.0 |
| 7. Implement a strategy for WNP-2 that combines aggressive cost
management with a flexible response to market conditions and unforeseen
costs. Manage annual operating costs to annual revenues achievable at
market prices. In BPA's subscription process and upcoming rate case,
determine how to allocate the plant's costs in Bonneville rates and market
a portion of the Federal Base System (FBS) equivalent to the planned
output of WNP-2 priced in a manner that ensures recovery of the plant's
operating costs while allowing a lower price for the rest of the FBS,
unless legal or other issues prevent doing so. To the extent revenues
exceed operating costs, use a portion of the resulting net operating
revenues to build up the decommissioning fund. Biennially subject the
plant to a market test. Evaluate termination in the event operating costs
are projected to exceed revenues significantly if uneconomical at market
prices. Estimated reduction includes a combination of reduced O&M
expense from the Cost Baseline and potential increased revenues. |
19.0 |
19.0 |
| 8. Further reduce the cost of Bonneville administrative and other
internal support service costs including financial, human resources,
information management, procurement, strategic planning, public affairs,
legal services and other internal service costs, by an aggregate 50
percent from 1996 actual levels. Achieve through benchmarking, adopting
"best practices," enterprise software, and outsourcing of
non-core functions where economic. |
31.7 |
14.5 |
| 9. Obtain legislative changes in the areas of personnel management and
procurement to improve administrative flexibility and ability to manage
internal costs. |
10.0 |
7.0 |
| 10. Further reduce transmission internal O&M expenses through
improved efficiencies. |
2.5 |
1.5 |
| 11. Conform to Federal Power Act requirements, adjusting and correcting
functionalization (allocation) of costs between Power and Transmission BLs. |
0.0 |
30.0 |
| 12. Further reduce federal and non-federal debt service expenses through
refinancings, greater reliance on variable rate debt, and other debt
reduction actions |
20.0 |
20.0 |
| 13. Targeted, but unspecified reductions already included in Power Cost
Baseline. |
(19.4) |
(19.4) |
| TOTAL |
136.9 |
145.7 |
In addition, the TBL should meet the cost management objectives in its baseline,
in particular:
- Obtain operational efficiencies, tighter control on timing and
prioritization of capital investments to achieve superior performance
compared to the WSCC transmission providers (top one-third);
- Reduce fully allocated hourly costs of transmission maintenance service by
20 to 30 percent by 2001; and
- Increase flexibility of cost structure.
Assessing Bonneville's Potential Financial Situation
The issue:
At the request of the Council's four-member Power Committee, the staff conducted
an analysis of the Bonneville Power Administration's potential financial
condition, which could result under different future electricity market
conditions and Bonneville costs, particularly fish and wildlife costs. It is
important to estimate future market prices with confidence, as this will help
the region resolve the contentious issue of developing a stranded-cost mechanism
for Bonneville.
The analysis suggests that in most combinations of future market prices for
electricity and salmon mitigation measures, Bonneville's electricity remains
competitively priced. That is, Bonneville should be able to meet its financial
and legal obligations in the future, including salmon recovery, and still return
substantial benefits to its customers except in the event that the most adverse
market conditions combine with the significantly increased costs for salmon
mitigation.
Timeline:
The staff presented its conclusions in May 1998, and then sought public comments
on the report.
Background:
Bonneville faces a number of uncertainties in the future, primarily from the
impacts of the increasingly competitive marketplace for electricity and
uncertain future fish and wildlife costs. After 2001, when most of Bonneville's
current power sales contracts expire, Bonneville's customers will have to choose
between Bonneville and other power suppliers. As well, Bonneville will continue
to pay the majority of the region's fish and wildlife restoration costs,
regardless of whether Snake and Columbia river dams are breached or left in
place.
The Council's Power Division analyzed Bonneville's future value using a
sophisticated computer model that simulates the West Coast electricity system.
To ensure an impartial analysis, the Council invited representatives from Indian
tribes, the aluminum industry, environmental groups and electric utilities, as
well as experts in policy regarding fish and wildlife and energy, to oversee the
analysis. These experts generally praised the Council's work and supported the
conclusions in the analysis.
The analysis estimates the costs Bonneville may have to recover through its
power rates given a range of possible prices for electricity and salmon
mitigation obligations. Bonneville pays for most of the region's salmon
mitigation efforts through the Council's Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife
Program.
In addition to three ranges for future electricity market prices, the
analysis included eight future salmon mitigation scenarios. These ranged from
few changes at the dams or in river conditions, such as boosting flows or
spilling water during the spring and summer when juvenile fish are migrating to
the ocean, to breaching the four lower Snake River dams and John Day Dam on the
Columbia River. Each scenario, or a variation, is being studied by the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers as the dam-operating agency prepares a feasibility study on
the future of the four lower Snake River dams. A draft of the Corps' study is
due in April 1999.
The analysis was not intended to support any of the salmon recovery measures.
The Council's intent only was to estimate Bonneville's future income based on
various combinations of salmon recovery measures and electricity prices.
While collateral or third-party costs were not considered in the analysis, it
should be useful for decisionmakers including Bonneville; Bonneville's customer
electric utilities; the National Marine Fisheries Service, which is working to
protect endangered Snake River salmon under the Endangered Species Act; the U.S.
Army of Corps of Engineers, which operates dams on the lower Snake and Columbia
rivers; Congress and the Clinton administration.
According to the Council's analysis: High market: With high future market
prices for electricity - over 6 cents per kilowatt hour by the year 2020 (about
3.5 cents in today's dollars) - Bonneville has positive net revenues under all
of the salmon recovery and power price scenarios considered. The market price
currently is around 2 cents per kilowatt hour. Medium market: With medium
escalation of future market prices for electricity - to about 4 cents per
kilowatt hour by 2020 (about 2.5 cents per kilowatt hour in current dollars) -
Bonneville has positive net revenues in all but the most expensive combination
of salmon recovery costs and electricity prices. Low market: With low market
prices - about 2 cents per kilowatt hour by 2020 (about 1.5 cents in today's
dollars) - Bonneville's costs exceed revenues in all but the least expensive
options, but it's close. Even a 10-percent increase in market prices could make
the difference between positive and negative revenues in some instances.
Public Involvement
One of the Council's primary tasks is to fulfill the directive of the
Northwest Power Act to inform and involve Northwest citizens about the Council's
activities. Section 2(3) states a purpose of the Act is "to provide for the
participation and consultation of the Pacific Northwest states, local
governments, consumers, customers, users of the Columbia River System (including
federal and state fish and wildlife agencies and appropriate Indian tribes) and
the public at large within the region" in the Northwest's planning for
electrical power and protection of fish and wildlife resources. Section 4(g)(1)
of the Act requires the Council to develop "comprehensive programs" to
ensure public involvement and to "inform the Pacific Northwest public of
major regional power issues."
The Council uses several regular publications, as well as special
informational materials, media briefings, news releases, its regularly updated
Internet web site (www.nwcouncil.org) and other approaches to inform interested
citizens about fish, wildlife and energy issues. The Council also holds all its
regular meetings, committee meetings and working sessions in public. In
addition, on many issues the Council holds public hearings and consultations.
Fiscal Years 1999 and 2000 Budget overviews
Rulemakings in fiscal year 1998
More Information
Council offices
Fiscal Years 1999 and 2000 Budget overviews
Since Fiscal Year 1992, the Council has made significant efforts to limit its
budget. Through an agreement reached last year with Bonneville, the Council has
set a goal of reducing the budget by $2,000,000 - about 21 percent - over the
next four years. To accomplish this, the Council will:
- Reduce its personal services budget, primarily in power planning, due to
changing conditions in the electricity industry.
- Further reduce the level of fish and wildlife and energy systems analysis
contract services by reallocating staff workloads and deferring projects to
other entities where possible and re-prioritizing resources for only the most
essential studies and analyses.
- Further reduce the level of travel costs by restricting both regional and
out-of-region travel for staff.
- Constrain the cost of services and supplies by refocusing and retargeting
circulation of Council publications and by curtailing other administrative
operating expenses.
- Increase efficiencies in operations and administration, in general, to
absorb 2 percent to 3 percent projected inflation for Fiscal Year 1998 and for
Fiscal Year 1999.
- Reallocate staffing where possible.
The Fiscal Year 1998 budget is $7,496,000. The revised Fiscal Year 1999
budget is $7,155,000, a decrease of $341,000, or about 5 percent, from the
current budget. The proposed Fiscal Year 2000 budget is $6,724,000. By way of
comparison, the Fiscal Year 1992 budget was $8,484,000. This represents a
seven-year reduction of 21 percent. During the same period, the Council absorbed
cumulative inflation projected at 26.4 percent.
Rulemakings in fiscal year 1998
There were no rulemakings in Fiscal Year 1998.
More Information
For additional details about the Northwest Power Planning Council's
activities, budgets, meetings, comment deadlines, policies or bylaws, call
1-800-452-5161 or visit our Internet web site at http://www.nwcouncil.org.
Copies of our publications are available at the web site or by calling the 800
number above and asking for extension 700, the Council's automated information
service. All Council publications are free.
COUNCIL OFFICES
| IDAHO
Mike Field
Northwest Power Planning Council
450 W. State (UPS and DHL only)
Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0062
Telephone: 208-334-2956
Fax: 208-334-2112 |
Todd Maddock, vice chair
601 22nd Avenue
Lewiston, Idaho 83501
Telephone: 208-798-8956
Fax: 208-799-5123 |
| MONTANA
John Etchart, chair
Stan Grace
Northwest Power Planning Council
Capitol Station
Helena, Montana 59620-0805
Telephone: 406-444-3952
Fax: 406-444-4339 |
|
| OREGON
Eric Bloch
Northwest Power Planning Council
851 S.W. Sixth Avenue
Suite 1020
Portland, Oregon 97204
Telephone: 503-229-5171
Fax: 503-229-5173 |
John Brogoitti
Northwest Power Planning Council
11 S.W. Byers Avenue
Pendleton, Oregon 97801
Telephone: 541-276-0657
Fax: 541-276-0995 |
| WASHINGTON
Frank L. Cassidy, Jr.
"Larry"
Northwest Power Planning Council
1110 Capitol Way South, Suite 404
Olympia, Washington 98501
Telephone: 360-664-4030
Fax: 360-664-4032
Vancouver address:
P.O. Box 2187
Vancouver, WA 98668
Vancouver telephone: 360-693-6951
Vancouver fax: 360-699-4093 |
KenKen
Tom Karier
Northwest Power Planning Council
W. 705 First Avenue - MS1
Spokane, WA 99201-3909
509-623-4386
Fax: 509-623-4380
|
| CENTRAL OFFICE
Northwest Power Planning Council
851 S.W. Sixth Avenue, Suite 1100
Portland, Oregon 97204
Telephone: 503-222-5161
Fax: 503-795-3370
Toll Free: 1-800-452-5161
Executive Director: Steve Crow
Director of Power Division: Dick Watson
Director of Fish and Wildlife Division: Jack Wong
Director of Public Affairs: Mark Walker
General Counsel: John Volkman
Administrative Officer: Jim Tanner |
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