Society for Ecological Restoration - Northwest Chapter Conference

California Spotted Owls and Fire and Fuels Management in the Sierra Nevada: An Example Application of Bayesian Modeling to Forest Planning

Presented by Danny Lee

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California Spotted Owls and Fire and Fuels Management in the Sierra Nevada: An Example Application of Bayesian Modeling to Forest Planning

Contributors

Sierra Nevada Wildland Fire

Fire History

Unburned to lethal diagrams

Deadwood Fire, Tahoe National Forest

Crown bulk density, tree height, foliar moisture, crown base, surface fuels

Thinning diagrams

Thinning photos

Aerial photo

California Spotted Owl Productivity on the Sierra NF

Model A

430 hectare polygon

Conditional Probability Table

Model A

Model A

Nesting vs Roost Sites

Productivity When Pairs are Present

Model B

Model B graphs

Delineating Site Characteristics

Model C

Model C graphs

Model C graphs continued

Model C graphs continued

Model C graphs continued

Model C graphs continued

Model C graphs continued

Model C graphs continued

Relative Crown Fire Risk

Relative Fire Risk