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2001 Alternatives

 

Summer

Winter

Alternatives

Total Energy Deficit (mw-mo)

Cost of Imports to Meet Loads ($Millions)***

Approx. Spill Energy Created (mw-mo)

Aug 31 Reservoir Content Below BiOp (mw-mo)

"Retained" Energy in Reservoirs (mw-mo)

Winter Season (Dec-Feb) Loss of Load Probability

Base Case BiOp(1944)

5606

$1,009

0

0

0

20%

Emerg + BiOp Spill* (1944)

0

$0

0

5872 (-20.7%)

0

39%

Emerg + Reduced Spill @ BON & JDA** (1944)

0

$0

5237

369 (-1.3%)

4349

20%

 

Base Case BiOp(1977)

7993

$1,439

0

0

0

20%

Emerg + BiOp Spill (1977)

1663

$299

0

7976 (-27.9%)

0

45%

Emerg + Reduced Spill @ BON & JDA ** (1977)

441

$79

7401

72 (-0.3%)

789

20%

* Emergency +BiOp Spill -- drafting reservoirs below BiOp levels and spilling in accordance with BiOp

** Reduced spill with morning and evening spill at Bonneville and John Day, no spill at other projects, federal and non federal

*** Assumes average price of $250/megawatt hour

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