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zebra musselsCosts of invasive mussel infestation, if it happens, could top $100 million per year in the Northwest, economists say

July 27, 2010  | 

Dime-sized freshwater mussels pose a multimillion-dollar threat to dams, irrigation systems, and native fish species if they establish colonies in the Columbia River Basin, a panel of economists finds in a report for the Council. The best deterrent is a combination of watercraft inspections, public information about the potential threat, and continued scientific research to better understand zebra and quagga mussels, according to the paper by the Independent Economic Advisory Board (IEAB).

“The IEAB’s report helps us better understand the potential economic impacts of an infestation and underscores the point that rapid response and public education are critical,” Council chair Bruce Measure said.

The costs could add up quickly. For example, the IEAB estimates the costs of cleaning water intakes and related equipment at hydropower dams could total $16 million per year for the federal dams on the lower Snake and Columbia rivers plus $5 million per year for other dams. Cleaning spillway gates, juvenile-fish bypass screens, and other related equipment would be about $150 per square meter or $3 million to $10 million per year at the federal dams.  There could be additional costs in cleaning fish-passage facilities of at least $1 million annually. Replacing infested filtration systems at the 20 fish hatcheries that take some portion of their water from the river or its tributaries would cost $1 million each — probably $3 million per year as the systems are replaced as necessary — plus another $1 million annually for monitoring and cleaning. As well, the costs to clean recreation facilities including water supplies, docks, and boats are estimated as high as $50 million per year but the upper limit really is not known.

Zebra and quagga mussels have caused millions of dollars in cleanup and repair costs in the Northeast, Midwest, and Southwest. The mussels are transported between water bodies on trailered boats and other watercraft and are capable of living out of water for a number of days. If water quality conditions are right, the mussels disperse and multiply rapidly and form solid, sheets of hard, sharp-edged shells that can completely coat underwater surfaces up to several inches thick. Not only do the mussels pose a physical problem by clogging water intakes and pipes, fouling dam intake gates and adhering to boats, pilings, and most hard surfaces, the mussels can have dramatic effects on ecosystems.  Mussel colonies can substantially reduce food sources for zooplankton, fish larvae, and native mussels, completely altering the food web and changing water quality conditions.

Calcium concentrations in the water appear to be important in determining whether the mussels can colonize and reproduce, as they absorb the mineral to make shells. In much of the Columbia River and its tributaries, calcium levels probably are too low for zebra and quagga mussels to thrive. One exception is the upper Snake River drainage in southeastern Idaho.  There, calcium levels fluctuate seasonally and vary from place to place, but are often ideal for zebra and quagga mussels. An infestation there could spread downriver to waters where calcium levels are lower but still seasonally high enough to support mussel growth. Research is under way to determine whether the mainstem of the Columbia River has sufficient calcium for mussels, but that is where the greatest damage could occur if the mussels infested the big mainstem dams.

While the mussels have not infested the Columbia River Basin yet, it may be just a matter of time. Boat-inspection and public-information campaigns are underway in each of the four Northwest states, and several infested boats have been stopped and cleaned entering Idaho and Washington from infested lakes in the Southwest. According to the report, “prevention buys time that can be used to prepare.”  In its report, the IEAB assesses, with the help of scientific experts, likely scenarios for an infestation in the Northwest. In the worst-case scenario envisioned by the IEAB — a mussel infestation in the Snake River — potential costs flow downriver with the water into the Columbia and total in the tens to hundreds of millions of dollars annually.

But there likely are other costs of an infestation that were not addressed in the report, according to the IEAB. For example, potential costs likely would involve habitat replacement, reduced recovery of protected species, the likelihood of other species declining and being listed because of food web and habitat impacts, increased costs of complying with endangered-species laws, and damage to economically important game fish. As well, there would be costs beyond the impacts to fish, wildlife, habitat, and hydropower. These, which also were not addressed in the IEAB report, include potential costs to commercial navigation, private waterfront facilities, and the probability that an infestation in the Columbia River system would lead to infestations in other Northwest water bodies.

Quagga and zebra mussels are native to the Black and Caspian Sea drainages.  They were introduced to the Great Lakes region of the United States in the 1980s by ballast-water discharges from ocean-going ships. Since then they have spread throughout the Northeast and Midwest and, since 2007, the Southwest. In response, a consortium of 19 western states, federal agencies, tribes, and other invasive-species stakeholders developed an action plan to prevent the mussels from spreading, respond to new infestations, and manage existing ones.

The Council is interested in the potential biological and economic impacts of an infestation because of the potential damage to hydropower dams, which supply about half of the region’s electricity, and impacts to fish, wildlife, and related ecosystems. In a related review in 2008, the Council’s Independent Scientific Advisory Board (ISAB) considered the state of knowledge of the impact of non-native aquatic species on native salmonids in the Columbia River Basin.  The ISAB found that the potential impacts and risks to native salmonids and other native fishes from non-native species are substantial, with most subbasins in the Columbia River Basin already dominated by non-native fish species.  Because of these impacts, the ISAB recommended that the Council and fish and wildlife agencies elevate the issue of non-native species to a priority equivalent to that of habitat loss and degradation, climate change, and human population growth and development.

The Council is an agency of the states of Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and Washington and is charged by the Northwest Power Act of 1980 with preparing a plan to assure the region an adequate, efficient, economical, and reliable power supply while also protecting, mitigating, and enhancing fish and wildlife affected by hydropower dams in the Columbia River Basin.

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