Northwest Hydroelectric Association to Conduct Hydropower Scoping Study

posted Aug 15, 2014 by Carol Winkel


The Council has contracted the Northwest Hydroelectric Association to conduct a scoping study on the region's hydropower potential. The study is scheduled to be completed by the end of September.

A number of recent regional and national assessments have identified significant hydropower potential. The study will review all of the assessments, with an emphasis on the potential in upgrading existing facilities, and factor in environmental impacts, including protected areas, and cost-effectiveness.

The study results will be reviewed by the Council and its Generating Resources Advisory Commitee in October and November.

Energy efficiency will help meet EPA's carbon rules

posted Aug 7, 2014


As a region, the Northwest has a decided advantage in meeting the Environmental Protection Agency’s proposed carbon emission rules for power plants: energy efficiency and our success in achieving it.

In June, the Environmental Protection Agency announced a proposed rule to reduce carbon emissions from U.S. power plants by 30 percent from 2005 levels by 2030.

Unlike most prior EPA air emissions regulations, this proposal sets limits on CO2 emission rates (pounds per megawatt-hour of electricity generated) at the state level rather than for generating facilities themselves, but the EPA would allow states to join together to develop and implement carbon-reduction plans to comply as a region. Such collaboration could include a regional cap-and-trade program or regional development of zero-carbon resources like energy efficiency and renewable resources.

If this sounds familiar, it’s because the Northwest states have been collaborating on long-term energy planning for more than 30 years. Over that time, the region has saved more than 5,300 average megawatts, the power equivalent of five cities the size of Seattle. The Council’s Sixth Power Plan predicted that more than 85 percent of the new demand for power over the 20-year planning horizon could be met with energy efficiency.

At the Council’s August meeting, the power planning staff reported that if the energy efficiency goals in the plan and state renewable portfolio standard goals are met, the Northwest is well positioned as a region to meet the EPA’s proposed CO2 emission standards. However, the ability to achieve energy efficiency varies according to a utility's resource portfolio, and there is also the issue of access to energy efficiency potential across service territories.

These are issues that will be addressed by the Council in its Seventh Power Plan. Work on the new plan begins later this year.

BPA anticipates meeting energy efficiency targets

posted Aug 7, 2014


Richard Génecé, vice president of energy efficiency at the Bonneville Power Administration, briefed the Council in August on the agency's accomplished and projected energy savings. Génecé said the agency is on track to meet the targets set in the Council’s Sixth Power Plan.

“That is cause for celebration and a good-news story,” he said.

The Council’s plan calls for annual savings to gradually increase after 2014. In response, Bonneville is updating its strategy for helping its utility customers achieve the targets for 2015-2017.

Génecé told the Council that the agency's overall performance in meeting the plan's targets has been good, helped by a couple of years—2010 and 2011—when they surpassed the targets. “Today we are right where we meant to be,” he said.

While the Council’s plan didn't establish annual targets after 2014, its supporting analysis projected efficiency improvements increasing until about 2020. Bonneville also estimates that its share of the plan’s targets will increase after 2014.

Bonneville’s cumulative savings goal for 2010-2014 is 504 average megawatts. “We essentially have no risk of not meeting the 504-average-megawatt target,” Génecé said.

For 2015-2017, Bonneville estimates its cumulative target at approximately 400 average megawatts—about a 30 percent increase in the rate of acquisition from the current period. “We expect to meet or exceed that target,” he said.

Still, Généce acknowledged that there is some risk of falling short if market projections lag. He outlined Bonneville's plans to monitor progress and identified potential sources of additional funding for energy efficiency acquisitions, if needed.


Three energy efficiency experts join Council staff

posted Jul 17, 2014 by John Harrison

Three experts in energy efficiency joined the Council’s Power Planning Division in July and August.

Jennifer Anziano

Jennifer Anziano is the new Regional Technical Forum manager, replacing Nick O’Neil. Ms. Anziano will help manage the forum as it develops energy efficiency measures throughout the Northwest. She holds a bachelor’s degree in geology from Macalester College and a master’s in public administration in environmental science and policy from Columbia University. Prior to joining the Council she was senior program manager for emerging technology at the Consortium for Energy Efficiency in Boston, MA.

Tina Jayaweera

Tina Jayaweera Joined the Council as senior energy efficiency analyst. Dr. Jayaweera holds a bachelor’s degree in physics from Oberlin College and a Ph.D. in mechanical engineering from Cornell University. Prior to joining the Council she was a principal in the energy services division and head of the planning and assessment team for The Cadmus Group, a consulting firm. Her work included quantifying opportunities for utilities to achieve energy efficiency and add renewable energy. At the Council Dr. Jayaweera will help assess regional energy efficiency potential and implement and evaluate efficiency programs.

Kevin Smit

Kevin Smit joined the Council as a senior analyst. He will work on energy efficiency, demand response, and other aspects of power planning. Mr. Smit holds bachelor’s and master’s degrees in mechanical engineering and has more than 20 years of experience with a broad array of utility and energy issues. He also has very specific experience using the Council’s energy efficiency spreadsheet models and methods. Before joining the Council he was manager of energy efficiency at EES Consulting, Kirkland, WA. Before his work at EES he was a product manager at the Snohomish County Public Utility District where he helped design and evaluate the district’s energy efficiency programs.

The energy efficiency analyst positions became open when Tom Eckman was promoted to director of power planning and Charles Grist was promoted to manager of conservation resources.

2014 Columbia River sockeye return sets a record

posted Jul 14, 2014 by John Harrison


Sockeye 2014 With 10-year Average (2)

Graphic: University of Washington Data Access in Real Time website,

The 2014 sockeye run in the Columbia River is the largest since fish-counting began at the dam in 1938.

By July 13, 2014, more than 574,000 fish had passed the dam on their way to spawn in British Columbia, north-central Washington, and Idaho. The previous record was 516,000 in 2012.

Next year’s run could be even bigger, based on the number of jacks in this year’s return. Jacks are immature fish that are considered a predictor of the next season’s run size.

Sockeye return from the ocean to spawn in July and August. By far, the largest share of the Columbia sockeye run originates in Lake Osoyoos on the Okanagan River in British Columbia. The second-largest component returns to Lake Wenatchee -- expected to be about 64,000 fish this year -- and the smallest component returns to Idaho’s Redfish Lake. An endangered species, the Snake River component is expected to be about 1,200 fish counted at Lower Granite Dam this year. The number of Wenatchee and Snake River sockeye could increase, however, as the estimates were part of a forecasted total return of 347,100 fish, now greatly exceeded.

The big Okanagan run resulted from about 4 million sockeye juveniles that are estimated to have left Lake Osoyoos in 2012. Howie Wright, fisheries program manager for the Okanagan Nation Alliance, which is directing the Okanagan sockeye restoration program, said 80-85 percent of the 2014 Okanagan component are estimated to be natural-origin fish, as opposed to hatchery-origin fish. He credited the big run to improvements in water management and habitat in the Okanagan River Basin in British Columbia, favorable ocean conditions, and improvements in fish passage at Columbia River mainstem dams downriver in the United States.

He said descaling of juvenile sockeye continues to be a problem, though. Sockeye are particularly sensitive to descaling, which can weaken the fish and make them more susceptible to disease. Descaling occurs when fish bump against the walls of bypass systems at dams or pass through turbines or strike debris that accumulates in the forebay of a dam.

Power Sector Carbon Emissions in the Northwest

posted Jul 11, 2014 by Carol Winkel


At the Council's July meeting, the Pacific Northwest Utilities Conference Committee presented background information on carbon emissions and the Northwest power sector. Some key points included: transportation is the largest contributor of carbon in the region; our level of carbon emissions from power production is below the national average; annual emissions fluctuate widely based on the water supply; there can be big differences in emissions depending on a utility's resource portfolio; the region has been actively reducing its carbon footprint through energy efficiency, renewable resource development, and retiring coal plants; and the value of renewable resources may decrease as more are developed.

Additional background information:

EPA's New Rule to Cut Carbon

Greenhouse Gas Symposium

Carbon Emissions PrimerStatus, and Outlook

EPA's Social Cost of Carbon 

Council Forecasts Broader Range for Natural Gas Prices

posted Jul 11, 2014 by Carol Winkel

Langley Gulch, a natural gas-fired power plant in New Plymouth, Idaho

The Council monitors its power planning assumptions on a regular basis to identify any significant changes that would affect its power plan. It recently released its revised forecast for fuel prices, which will be used to develop its Seventh Power Plan.

The natural gas price forecast is the most important fuel forecast for the plan, and it's also the most widely used by others in the region for their analyses. The projected price range for natural gas is broader, reflecting greater uncertainty about its future supply and demand. Unlike the natural gas price forecast, the oil and coal forecasts have little effect on the Council's power plan, and they're also not used as much in the region.

Low natural gas prices would mean lower electricity prices, while high prices would mean higher wholesale prices for electricity. A more complete picture of how these fuel prices would play out will be tested during the development of the Seventh Power Plan, which is expected to be completed in late 2015.

Tom Eckman named acting director of power planning

posted Jun 24, 2014 by John Harrison


Tom Eckman, the Council’s manager of conservation resources since 1992, has been named acting director of the Council’s Power Planning Division, Council Chair Bill Bradbury announced today. Eckman replaces Charlie Black, who recently left the Council.

“Tom’s energy expertise and his thorough knowledge of energy efficiency programs and policies will serve the Council and the region well as we begin the next revision of our Northwest Power Plan later this year,” Bradbury said.

Eckman joined the Council in 1982 and has worked extensively on all of the Council’s power plans since the first one in 1983. As manager of conservation resources, he was in charge of developing and evaluating the model conservation standards, assessing regional energy efficiency potential, and conservation program design. Prior to joining the Council he was a senior energy analyst with Mathematical Sciences Northwest in Bellevue, Washington. He also was a faculty member at Central Washington University and an adjunct professor of environmental studies for Western Washington University. He holds a master of science degree in environmental studies/environmental education and a bachelor of science degree in forestry, both from Southern Illinois University.

Charlie Grist, senior analyst in the Power Planning Division, replaces Eckman as manager of conservation resources.

The public weighs in on draft fish and wildlife program

posted Jun 20, 2014 by John Harrison

Fw Program For Web

The future management of fish hatcheries, reintroduction of salmon and steelhead above Chief Joseph and Grand Coulee dams, and the cost of fish and wildlife mitigation are attracting the most attention from the public as the Council nears completion of its public comment period on the Draft 2014 Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program.

Ten public hearings were scheduled in cities around the Northwest to take comments on the draft program, which the Council approved in May. The comment period has been extended to July 25. Among the most frequent comments at the hearings through the June Council meeting in Missoula were these:

  • Indian tribes that operate salmon and steelhead hatcheries believe recommendations in the draft program to incorporate certain guidelines of the Hatchery Scientific Review Group in developing hatchery genetic management plans would severely limit the number of hatchery fish released into the wild and thus harm efforts to rebuild fish populations. The HSRG recommendations are intended to protect wild fish, but the tribes have argued that hatchery production is necessary to support the rebuilding of runs that spawn in the wild. The draft program does not impose the HSRG guidelines but asks the managers to explain why they would not use them if they choose not to.
  • Electric utilities have commented that the Council is not the right agency to investigate the feasibility of reintroducing salmon and steelhead into areas above Chief Joseph and Grand Coulee dams, which block their passage. The utilities argue that is a matter to be considered by the United States and Canada under the Columbia River Treaty. Utilities also have commented that the Council needs to control costs of the program, which are paid by electricity customers of utilities that buy power from the Bonneville Power Administration.

The draft program is posted on the Council’s website, along with a list of the public hearings and instructions on how to comment.

Assessing Hydropower Potential in the Pacific Northwest

posted Jun 17, 2014 by Carol Winkel


The Council's last major assessment of hydropower potential in the region was undertaken as part of its Fourth Power Plan, released in 1998. Recently, a number of high-profile studies have identified a significant amount of potential in the Pacific Northwest. 

The Department of Energy's 2014 assessment cited almost 25 gigawatts of potential, which approaches the region's current hydropower capacity of about 33 gigawatts.

In order to gain a better understanding of the various estimates, the Council will issue a request for proposal for a scoping study. The selected consultant will review the existing studies to determine if there is a realistic assumption for potential, focusing on upgrades at existing facilities, new stream reaches, opportunties at existing non-power dams. The Council's power division staff, generating resources advisory committee and hydropower subgroup will review the results and recommend next steps to the Council.

At its June power committee meeting, Council members noted the need to be realistic, particularly with regard to protected areas and cost-effectiveness.

The draft timeline is to select a consultant in late-July, with the study concluding by November.




Federal standards boost regional energy efficiency

posted Jun 16, 2014 by John Harrison

Federal Standards Savings 2009-2029

More than 20 federal energy efficiency standards affecting appliances, lighting, and electronic equipment have been enacted since 2010, when the Council last revised its Northwest Power Plan. These are expected to produce about 100 average megawatts of savings by the end of this year and an additional 265 average megawatts by 2019, according to a report by the Council staff.

The new and revised standards will contribute about 8 percent of the savings needed to meet the Sixth Power Plan’s energy efficiency goals through 2014 and approximately 16 percent toward the Sixth Plan’s conservation goals for 2015 through 2019, according to the report.  In all, through the end of the Sixth Plan's horizon, 2029, the standards will contribute 780 average megawatts in Northwest savings. Expressed as electricity, that's enough for 525,000 homes.

Federal energy efficiency standards are an important source of energy savings in the region, contributing approximately 1,000 average megawatts since 1987 when they first were enacted, or almost 20 percent of the savings achieved in the region since that time.

Currently, the federal Department of Energy (DOE) is rushing to comply with a court-supervised schedule to review and revise standards. By the end of 2013, the DOE had issued final standards for water heaters, refrigerators, freezers, central air conditioners, heat pumps, clothes washers, and room air conditioners, all of which are identified in the Sixth Power Plan as having significant potential to improve regional energy efficiency. It is anticipated that an additional eight federal standards will be finalized by the end of 2014, further reducing regional load growth and capturing additional energy-efficiency potential identified in the Sixth Plan.

The Council's manager of conservation resources, Tom Eckman, serves on the Department of Energy's Appliance Standards and Rulemaking Federal Advisory Committee.


Mapping EPA's Proposed Emission Rate Targets By State

posted Jun 5, 2014 by Carol Winkel


The Center for Climate and Energy Solutions has a nice interactive map of the proposed state emission rate targets. 

Also, an interesting story on why the biggest oil and gas industry lobby doesn't like the draft rule, even though they'll benefit from displacing coal.

More coverage from today's The Morning Consult.

Getting the Most Out of Natural Gas Key to EPA's Draft Rule

posted Jun 4, 2014 by Carol Winkel



"At first blush, it's a head-scratcher--how could Washington, a state known for its hydroelectric power and greenery, be expected to slash nearly 72 percent of its carbon emissions when North Dakota needs to cut only 10.6 percent?"

The Washington Examiner does a good job of explaining the strategy behind EPA's proposed rule.



EPA's Proposed Rule to Reduce Carbon Emissions From Power Plants

posted Jun 2, 2014 by Carol Winkel


On Monday, the Environmental Protection Agency unveiled its proposed rule to reduce carbon emissions from U.S. power plants by 30 percent from 2005 levels by 2030.

Key to the draft regulation is flexibility in compliance. Gina McCarthy, EPA administrator, noted in her announcement speech that "The glue that holds this plan together--and the key to making it work--is that each state's goal is tailored to its own circumstances, and states have the flexibility to reach their goal in whatever way works best for them."

Along with requiring states to make their own plans by June 2016, the rule would also enable multi-state collaboration such as cap-and-trade programs and energy efficiency development. The Council will be reporting on the proposal at its June Council meeting to begin the discussion of what the rule means for the Northwest, so stay tuned.

For coverage and analysis of the proposed rule, The Morning Consult has a good roundup.

Local coverage: 

Oregon, Washington on path to meet new carbon rules; outside needs cost ratepayers - Oregonian

EPA says Idaho must cut carbon emissions by 33 percent - Idaho Statesman

Montanans react to EPA's draft rules to reduce CO2 emissions - Missoulian

Prior agreement to phase out Centralia coal plant will cover most emissions reductions - Seattle Times





Anticipating EPA's New Rules to Limit Carbon

posted May 28, 2014 by Carol Winkel


Next Monday, the Obama administration is scheduled to announce proposed new rules limiting greenhouse gas emissions from existing power plants under the Clean Air Act. The new rules are widely anticipated as a cornerstone of the president's climate change strategy and are likely to face legal challenges.

While the announcement is pending, it appears that the new rules may apply broadly to the electricity industry while allowing states flexibility in developing their plans to implement the new rules and possibly cooperate with other states. They may also recognize and give credit to energy efficiency as a source of reducing emissions.

It's uncertain how much reduction in CO2 emissions the new rules will require and when they must be achieved. We'll be reporting on the proposed rules at the June 10 Council meeting, so stay tuned.

Yes, EPA Can Regulate CO2, But Can Lawyers Beat the Rules in Court? - Forbes, May 27, 2014

Governments Await Obama's Move on Carbon to Gauge U.S. Climate Efforts - New York Times, May 26, 2014


Council Comments on NEEA's Strategic, Business Plans

posted May 12, 2014 by Carol Winkel

IKEA Dioder LED morphing lights

The Council provided comments on the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance's draft 2015-2019 strategic and business plans this month. NEEA's strategic plan identifies two major goals: filling the energy efficiency pipeline with new opportunities and creating market conditions to accelerate and sustain market adoption. In a letter to NEEA, the Council confirmed its support for both goals, especially the organization's focus on scanning for new technologies and strategic market analysis.

Also important to the Council is NEEA's regional approach in its work:

"We believe it is important that the Bonneville Power Administration, the Energy Trust of Oregon, and the Northwest utilities pool their resources to support NEEA's work. It is more cost-effective than utilities funding individual efforts since it avoids duplication of effort, which would mean higher costs for both the region and utilities."




Snake River fall Chinook make an impressive comeback

posted May 9, 2014 by John Harrison

Fall Chinook crowd the fish ladder on the Washington side of Bonneville Dam in September 2013

Snake River fall Chinook salmon are making an amazing resurgence. The return of adult fish from the Pacific Ocean to Idaho rivers in 2013 was 75,846 fish. Of these, 20,222 were wild fish, a remarkable 26,000% increase from 1990, when just 78 wild fish were counted. 1990 was the year the Nez Perce Tribe and partners including the Idaho Department of Fish and Game, NOAA fisheries, the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and many others began an effort to rebuild the stock.

It was an effort “born in anger,” Nez Perce fisheries management director Dave Johnson told the Council at its May meeting in Boise. “The run had tanked,” he said. It was a long-term effort, for sure, Johnson said, commenting that “it took longer to get this recovery program in place than to build the lower Snake River hydropower system.”

But, he said, “it worked.”

Indeed, it has. This year  the total run is forecast at 70,000 fish, comprising 27,500 wild and 25,500 hatchery-origin fish, and 17,000 jacks.

Bill Booth, an Idaho member and former chair of the Power Council, called the success of the fall Snake River Fall Chinook program “a tribute to perseverance and collaboration.”

Jay Hesse, fisheries research director for the tribe, listed a familiar litany of impacts that contributed to the decline of the species including overharvest downriver from the Snake, habitat loss from mining, logging, and other land uses, the impacts of hatchery practices -- beginning as long ago as 1905 -- that did not protect the genetic integrity of the Snake River fish, and the impacts of drought and variable ocean conditions. Legal mandates have played a positive role in helping restore the species, he said, including the Lower Snake River Compensation Plan hatchery program, Idaho Power Company’s work to operate its Hells Canyon Complex of three dams in ways that help protect spawning fall Chinook, the operation of the Nez Perce Tribal Hatchery, which was created through the Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program and funded by the Bonneville Power Administration, and others.

As measures of its success, Hesse noted the program:

  • Avoided extinction of Snake River Fall Chinook
  • Maintained native stock structure of the species
  • Provided considerable downriver fish harvest
  • Re-established tributary fisheries
  • Re-established the marine-derived nutrient food web connection
  • Met project-area mitigation goals
  • Multi-entity collaboration

Risk of future power shortages declines in new analysis

posted May 9, 2014 by John Harrison


The likelihood of future power shortages in the Pacific Northwest has declined over the last year, an analysis by the Council shows.

The predicted likelihood of shortage, known by the shorthand “loss of load probability” or LOLP, declined from 7 percent for the year 2017 in a Council analysis in December 2012 to 6 percent for the year 2019 in the Council’s current analysis. The Northwest power supply is deemed adequate if the likelihood of future shortages, LOLP, is less than 5 percent.

The LOLP declined in the most recent analysis because the amount of electricity from new power plants soon to come online in the Northwest is greater than the anticipated new demand for electricity in 2019. Important to this conclusion is the Council’s anticipation that the Northwest will achieve the Council’s energy efficiency savings target of about 350 average megawatts per year between 2017 and 2019. That achievement helps offset the need for more costly new power plants.

However, the risk, or LOLP, increases again by 2021 as the result of the planned retirements of coal-fired power plants in Boardman, Oregon, and Centralia, Washington. In response to those closures, the LOLP increases to 11 percent.

Actions to bring the LOLP down to the Council’s 5-percent standard will vary. For example, utilities have plans for new power plants totaling 1,800 megawatts of capacity for construction through 2024. These were not included in the analysis because it only includes plants that are sited and licensed or under construction. Another possibility to reduce LOLP on a short-term, seasonal basis is that utilities in the Northwest could import excess power from the Southwest when it is needed here, and send excess power from the Northwest to the Southwest when it is needed there.

The current analysis does not recommend any specific new power supplies, which likely will include a combination of new generating resources and demand-reduction programs. However, the Council will take up the matter in its next power plan. The Council’s power plan, which is revised every five years, always includes a 20-year electricity demand forecast and a resource strategy to meet the anticipated demand. The Council will be working on a revision of the current power plan, which dates to 2010, over the next year.

The region Is doing more, and more efficiently

posted May 9, 2014 by John Harrison


The efficiency of electricity use in the Northwest is improving – we are doing more with our power and using less to do it. And as an added bonus, the investments that utilities are making in energy efficiency are not having a major effect on electricity rates.

Reports by electric utilities in the Northwest to the U.S. Department of Energy for the years 2007 through 2013 show that energy efficiency, expressed as improvements in economic output per unit of energy, improved 6 percent in Oregon, 4 percent in Idaho, 3 percent in Washington, and 2 percent in Montana for an overall regional improvement of 4 percent during that period.

As part of its power planning, the Council tracks changes in the regional economy, as well as electricity sales and revenues. The current analysis shows that:

  • Electricity use by residential and commercial users is decreasing while industrial use is increasing
  • Regional residential electric bills are 16 percent lower than the national average
  • After adjusting for inflation, public utility electricity rates declined by 0.4 percent per year while investor owned utility rates increased 3 percent
  • Total revenues to Northwest electric utilities grew an inflation-adjusted 1.7 percent per year
  • Gross state product, another measure of economic activity, increased 2.2 percent per year
  • Employment is recovering, but not back to pre-2008 (pre-recession) levels (approximately 6.32 million employed in 2008, 6.22 million employed in 2013)


Council releases draft 2014 Fish and Wildlife Program for review

posted May 7, 2014 by John Harrison


A revision of the largest regional fish and wildlife recovery program in the nation includes actions to improve ecosystem function, protect wild salmon and steelhead, eradicate invasive species, and restore fish runs to areas where fish passage has been blocked by dams. The Council today released a draft version of its 2014 Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program for public review.

The program directs more than $250 million per year to mitigate the impacts of hydropower dams on fish and wildlife in the basin. The Council revises the program every five years, and the current draft has been under development since the summer of 2013.

As required by the Northwest Power Act of 1980, the Council developed the draft program based on public recommendations, particularly those of fish and wildlife agencies and Indian tribes. In addition to protecting ecosystems and wild fish, the draft program includes these key points:

  • Give greater attention to salmon and steelhead passage into blocked areas, notably above Chief Joseph and Grand Coulee dams
  • Give greater attention to reducing toxics and eradicating invasive species
  • Focus on repairing aging structures and equipment related to projects that implement the program
  • Pursue a targeted project-selection process for emerging priority fish and wildlife issues

The Council will conduct public hearings throughout the Northwest beginning late this month and continuing into June. Hearings are being scheduled, and a list of places and times will be posted on the Program page. Comments may be submitted by mail and email as well as in person at the public hearings. See above link for instructions.

REGISTER NOW for the Columbia River Basin 2014 Conference

posted May 5, 2014

The conference, scheduled October 21-23 in Spokane, includes themes of:

  • ecosystem management,
  • transboundary water governance – including the Columbia River Treaty,
  • energy,
  • climate change,
  • interests and issues of First Nations and Tribes,
  • and regional art and culture

Learn more in this 90-second video.

Draft 2014 Fish and Wildlife Program is taking shape

posted Apr 9, 2014 by John Harrison

Council members at work with the staff in Spokane April 9

At its April meeting, the Council began deliberations on the Draft 2014 Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program in preparation for releasing it for 60 days of public comment by the end of the month or in early May. The draft program was developed by the Council’s four-member Fish and Wildlife Committee in an effort that began last fall.

Under the Northwest Power Act, the Council revises the fish and wildlife program every five years, based on recommendations the Council receives from fish and wildlife agencies, Indian tribes, and others. Since 1982, the program has directed the investment of more than $3 billion of Bonneville Power Administration electricity revenues in the Columbia River Basin to improve fish passage at hydropower dams, acquire and improve fish and wildlife habitat, boost fish production using hatcheries, monitor and evaluate the success of these efforts, and improve scientific knowledge through research.

The Draft 2014 Fish and Wildlife Program represents a renewed commitment to adaptive management of fish and wildlife and meeting program objectives through improved monitoring, reporting, and evaluation. The draft program also addresses a number of evolving issues including toxic substances in the river, the potential for aquatic invasive species to take hold in the basin, salmon and steelhead passage into areas blocked by dams such as above Chief Joseph and Grand Coulee dams on the Columbia, and the future use of hatcheries.

The Council has scheduled the following meetings to discuss the draft program in preparation for releasing it for public comment. All will be open to the public by conference call and a web link.

  • Wednesday April 30, 9am - 4pm
  • Thursday May 1, 9am - 4pm

The dial-in number and web address for each meeting will be posted on the Council’s website. Public hearings on the draft program will be scheduled in the four Northwest states beginning in late May. Locations, places, and times will be announced on the Council’s website.

New Power Planning Model Will Be Transparent, Accessible

posted Mar 18, 2014 by Carol Winkel


On Friday, Council members voted unanimously to select Navigant Consulting to redevelop a key power planning tool, called the regional portfolio model, that it will use to develop its Seventh Power Plan.

The current model's methodology, used for the Fifth and Sixth Power Plans, was indepently reviewed and validated in 2012. The review also addressed concerns that the model is difficult to understand. This, along with other factors, such as outdated software and the retirement of the Council's lead staff developer, made redeveloping the model a priority. 

During the public meeting, Council members and Michael Dean of the Public Power Council praised the process used to select a vendor for being rigorous, open, and inclusive. 

The choice came down to three vendors, with Navigant proposing to build a new integrated resource planning model that fully implements the Council's strategic risk analysis methodology. The other two proposals the Council considered would have made incremental modifications to existing software. In the end, the Council decided to opt for a customized model that would provide systemic risk analysis.

Another key strength of Navigant's proposed software redevelopment approach is its transparency. Stakeholders will be able to examine algorithms and logic to understand how the model arrives at its results. Navigant has committed to deliver the redeveloped model in February 2015.

"The regional portfolio model is a crucial analytical tool," noted Charlie Black, power division director. "The Council's selection of Navigant represents a major milestone as we gear up for the Seventh Power Plan."

The Council's regional power plans establish an overall strategy for resource development in the Pacific Northwest to ensure an adequate, efficient, economical, and reliable power supply. 

Council Letter to BPA on Energy Efficiency Funding

posted Feb 27, 2014 by Carol Winkel


The Bonneville Power Administration recently kicked-off two processes that will define its spending amounts going into its next two-year rate case: the integrated program review and capital investment review. In these two processes, it's important that BPA commit adequate financial resources to implement the Council's power plans, particularly acquiring energy efficiency.

Since the Sixth Power Plan was released in 2010, BPA has done a great job in achieving cost-effective energy efficiency, surpassing the plan's annual targets since 2005. In reviewing the initial CIR proposal, however, the Council was concerned that the funding levels would reduce the agency's ability to continue meeting the plan's targets.

The Council wanted to raise the issue early in the process so that BPA and others in the region could work together to resolve the issue. The Council sent a letter to BPA outlining its perspective. 

Regional Generating Resources: What's Changed Since 1995?

posted Feb 18, 2014 by Carol Winkel


At the Council's power committee meeting in January, staff reported on trends in peak and energy loads in the region since 1995 to 2012. As a follow-up to that information, staff gave a presentation in February, reporting that within the same time frame about 16,600 megawatts of new generation has been added to the region's power supply. About 8,700 megawatts is from wind and the rest is mostly from natural gas-fired power plants. At the same time, about 870 megawatts of existing generation was retired, mostly petroleum and small natural gas-fired power plants.

As for the region's hydrosystem, its ability to meet both energy and peaking needs has decreased, mostly from increasing flow measures and spill to aid fish passage and dedicating generating reserves to help integrate wind power. Since 1999, the peaking capability of the hydrosystem has been reduced by over 5,000 megawatts, and since 1980, firm energy has been reduced by about 1,200 average megawatts (about 10 percent).

The net impact of these changes has been an increase of about 2,000 megawatts in peaking capacity and an increase of about 8,200 average megawatts in annual energy.

In March, staff will report on the net changes in the region's power system balance, so stay tuned.

Council's fish and wildlife program benefits Oregon chub, proposed for delisting

posted Feb 14, 2014 by John Harrison

Oregon chub, once an endangered species, are proposed for dilisting (USFWS photo)

The Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program has a small but important role in a proposal to remove Oregon chub from the federal endangered species list, the first fish that would be delisted because it is considered recovered. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service proposed to delist the species on February 4.

The finger-sized minnow was listed as endangered in 1993 and reclassified as threatened in 2010, and since then the upward trend in its numbers has continued. According to the Service, just eight populations with fewer than 1,000 fish were known to exist at the time of the listing. Today, the population is believed to be more than 150,000 fish in 80 locations.

Oregon chub are found only in Willamette River floodplain habitats where there is little or no flow. The health of chub populations is considered an indicator of water quality and the health of ecosystems, according to the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife.

Predation by non-native fish and loss of habitat were the primary reasons for the decline of the species, but over time collaborative partnerships among fish and wildlife agencies, private landowners, and others led to habitat protections and acquisitions that helped reduce the threats.

That’s where the Council’s program played a role in this success story. Through the program, habitat is acquired and protected from development as partial mitigation for the impacts of hydropower dams on fish and wildlife, in this case dams on Willamette tributaries. In the Willamette Basin, this is accomplished through the 2010 Willamette Wildlife Memorandum of Agreement between the state of Oregon and the Bonneville Power Administration, which provides funding. Chub populations were discovered on habitat acquired -- or designated for acquisition -- through the program on these parcels:

  • Minto Island Conservation Area, 300 acres along the Willamette mainstem, owned by the City of Salem
  • Chahalpam, 338 acres along the North Santiam River, and Chahalpam Phase II, 91 acres, both along the North Santiam River, owned by the Confederated Tribes of the Grand Ronde Reservation
  • Hayden Island, 270 acres along the mainstem Willamette, owned by the Oregon Parks and Recreation District
  • Turtle Flats, 63 acres along the Middle Fork Willamette River, owned by the Friends of Buford Park
  • Luckimute Meadows, 80 acres along the Luckimute River; Harkens Lake, 654 acres along the mainstem Willamette; and Horseshoe Lake, 283 acres also along the mainstem Willamette, all owned by the Greenbelt Land Trust

Having received the petition for delisting, the Service now has a year to determine whether the proposal should become final. More information about Oregon chub and the petition is posted on the Fish and Wildlife Service website.


Building Energy Efficiency From the Ground Up

posted Feb 13, 2014 by Carol Winkel


Energy Efficiency is a kind of stealth resource--its impact is real, but you don't see it. One of the primary ways it's built is through programs conducted by utilities and the Energy Trust of Oregon. But another means of building energy efficiency that's even less visible is through codes and standards.

Federal standards for appliances and equipment have been in place since the mid-1970s, but in the last few years, a host of new standards have come into play that are likely to dampen long-term load growth and will achieve the energy efficiency that would have otherwise been captured through programs. Going forward, programs will need to focus on efficiency opportunities not affected by federal standards.

The Council estimates that the cumulative savings from existing federal standards were just under 1,000 average megawatts in 2012--that's almost 20 percent of the region's savings since 1978.

The Department of Energy is responsible for setting federal standards according to a schedule mandated by Congress, but has had a pattern of failing to meet it. Only after several states and interest groups sued the agency in 2005, did it finally adopt a plan to address the backlog. Under federal energy legislation enacted in 2007, the DOE must now review each product standard every six years.

As a result, federal rulemaking in the last couple of years has been brisk: 23 new or revised standards have already been finalized since the Council's Sixth Power Plan was adopted, with a dozen more scheduled to be completed within the year. The rulemaking process includes analyses to ensure that the new standards are cost-effective for consumers.

Currently, there are efficiency standards for more than 50 categories of appliances and equipment used in homes, commercial buildings, and industries. 

Standards are an incredibly effective way to achieve savings because their administrative costs are much lower than utility programs. Savings grow as more products are sold and entire markets are upgraded. Consumers reap the benefits from more energy-efficient appliances in the form of lower electricity, natural gas, and water bills.

Regional consumers saved $10 billion in their electricity bills during 1986-2010 thanks to federal standards and state codes.

The region achieves energy efficiency through four types of mechanisms: federal standards, state codes, the market transformation efforts of NEEA, and utility and Energy Trust of Oregon programs.

Federal standards are already a major contributor, and with the new standards, they'll play an even bigger role.

NOAA reports average or better juvenile salmon and steelhead survival in 2013

posted Feb 13, 2014 by John Harrison

Salmon smolts are ready to be released from a holding tank into the Snake River

Survival of juvenile spring/summer Chinook salmon in 2013 in the Columbia and Snake rivers was above average and survival of juvenile steelhead was about equal to the long-term average, NOAA Fisheries, the federal fisheries agency, reported to the Council in February.

As well, travel times for juvenile fish migrating down the two rivers past dams to the ocean were shorter in 2013 than in previous years, Dr. Steven Smith from NOAA’s Northwest Fisheries Science Center said. NOAA scientists attribute the decreased travel time primarily to increased water spills and installation of new surface-passage structures at dams, he said.

Overall, estimated survival through the eight dams from Lower Granite Dam on the Snake to Bonneville Dam on the Columbia was 52.5 percent, essentially equal to the long-term average survival (since 1998) for that species. For juvenile steelhead, estimated hydrosystem survival was 50.1 percent, which was the lowest of the last five years though higher than the long-term average, Dr. Smith said. For juvenile Snake River sockeye, the survival rate from Lower Granite to Bonneville was 53.6 percent; the long-term average is 48.5 percent.

Juvenile spring Chinook survival from McNary Dam to Bonneville, a four-dam reach that includes fish from the upper Columbia River as well as from the Snake, was 79.6 percent (average is 73.3 percent), and for juvenile steelhead, 79.8 percent (average is 70.1 percent).

Dr. Smith said NOAA Fisheries estimates that 34 percent of juvenile Chinook and 38 percent of juvenile steelhead arriving at Lower Granite Dam in 2013 were collected there or at a dam lower on the Snake River and transported by barge to below Bonneville Dam. Over the years of NOAA’s research, estimated adult-fish return rates generally have been higher for transported fish than for fish that migrate in the river. However, differences in adult-fish return rates between transported and in-river migrants generally have been smaller in recent years; the adult return rate of in-river fish has increased compared to that of transported fish.

In the Snake River in 2013, river discharge volumes were below average during the spring outmigration, except for a brief peak in mid-May. Water temperatures were cooler than average in April and warmer than average in May. Spill was higher than average at the four lower Snake River dams, especially in April.

Kootenai River Ecological Assessment Will Be a First

posted Jan 27, 2014 by John Harrison

The Kootenai River downstream of Bonners Ferry, Idaho

With the Council’s approval this month, the Kootenai Tribe of Idaho will lead development of a plan to improve ecological functions in the Kootenai River valley in northern Idaho. An assessment of wildlife losses and habitat impacts caused by the operation of Libby Dam will be the foundation of the plan.

It’s a big step because it represents the first time a mitigation plan will be developed using a set of indices that measure ecological integrity of specific reaches within the United States portion of the Kootenai River floodplain. The same set of loss-assessment tools that were used in the Kootenai are being tested in the Flathead River Basin to determine whether they could be used in the same manner to measure wildlife losses and ecological impacts from the operation of Hungry Horse Dam.

Others participating in developing the Kootenai plan include Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks, the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes, Idaho Department of Fish and Game, U.S. Forest Service, Army Corps of Engineers, and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.

The plan should be completed in early 2015.

Council Seeks Candidates to Serve on Its Independent Advisory Boards

posted Jan 24, 2014 by Carol Winkel


Qualified individuals are invited to serve on the following boards:

Closing dates are February 25, 2014 for IEAB nominations and February 28, 2014 for ISAB/ISRP nominations.


Resource Strategies Advisory Committee Holds First Meeting

posted Jan 24, 2014 by Carol Winkel


The Council's Resource Strategies Advisory Committee held its first meeting in January. The committee, which brings together a diverse range of interests, will advise the Council, its power commitee, and staff on regional power resource strategies and related matters during the development of the Council's Seventh Power Plan.

The first meeting was a chance for members to introduce themselves to each other and share their perspectives and goals for their participation. Also discussed was a draft approach to reviewing the methods, inputs, and analyses of regional resource strategies, and practical matters such as their meeting schedule. Overall, it was a positive kick-off for the new advisory committee. 

We'll be sharing more information on its work in the months ahead.


Low Load Growth, and What It Means for Utilities

posted Jan 21, 2014 by Carol Winkel


The conventional wisdom of the past few years has been that the region's power system is becoming capacity constrained in part because of growing peak loads. But does the data support this perception?

A Council presentation on trends in regional energy and peak electricity loads tells a different story. Since 1995, annual energy loads grew at an average rate of only 0.40 percent, and winter peak loads haven't grown at all. 

What this portends for the energy industry is a topic of interest as work begins on the Seventh Power Plan. What sort of industry are we planning for? Utilities have traditionally planned system expansions to meet the expectation of growing loads, but the trend of the past 20 years suggests this may longer be the case.

Energy efficiency is a big reason why. It has helped the region grow economically without having to rely too heavily on adding new generating resources.

Other reasons for this minimal load growth, whether the trend will continue, and if it does, how utilities should respond, are questions likely to be explored at the Council's upcoming power system symposium. Stay tuned.

Weathering a Cold Snap

posted Jan 17, 2014 by Carol Winkel


Last month's cold weather, which put water pipes to the test, was also an opportunity to see how well the region's power system fared during an extended period of extreme temperatures.

At the Council's January meeting, Jerry Rust, Northwest Power Pool, Mike Rasmuson, Williams Northwest Pipeline, and Jessica Zahnow, Argus Media provided information on different aspects of how the system performed.

The good news is that there were no problems or weather-related outages, and the system operated as it should have. Good forecasting helped in preparing power system operators for the event. Some notable observations included:

  • off-peak prices rose due to the increased demand
  • pipeline capacity for natural gas could be a long-term issue
  • natural gas prices spiked making some generation unprofitable

One other issue flagged during the discussion was the uneven load growth in the Northwest Power Pool's electrical area. While some areas--like Alberta, Canada--have experienced growth, Pacific Northwest demand has stayed fairly flat since the mid-1990s. It's a topic likely to be discussed at the Council's upcoming power system symposium

Oregon, Montana will lead Power Council

posted Jan 15, 2014 by John Harrison

Bradbury  Anders

2014 Chair Bill Bradbury, Vice Chair Jennifer Anders

Members of the Northwest Power and Conservation Council today re-elected Bill Bradbury, one of Oregon’s two members, to a second term as chair of the regional energy planning agency. Bradbury also was chair in 2013, and vice chair in 2012.

The Council also re-elected Montana member Jennifer Anders vice chair.

Bradbury was appointed to the Council in September 2010 by then-Governor Ted Kulongoski. Before being appointed to the Council, Bradbury served as Oregon’s Secretary of State from 1999 to 2009 and served in the Oregon Legislature from 1981 to 1995, including as President of the Oregon Senate in 1993. He directed the non-profit organization, For the Sake of the Salmon, during which he worked with Northwest tribes; federal, state and local governments; and timber, agriculture and fishing interests.

Ms. Anders, of Helena, was appointed to the Council by Governor Steve Bullock in January 2013. Ms. Anders, an assistant attorney general in Montana before her appointment to the Council, worked closely with Governor Bullock during his 2009-2012 tenure as Montana’s Attorney General. As an assistant attorney general, Ms. Anders dealt with a number of high-profile issues including energy development, water quality, climate change, public land management, and interstate water compact allocations. She has spent her entire professional career in public service, working for four separate attorneys general in both civil and criminal law.

Ms. Anders has a law degree from the University of Montana and an undergraduate degree from the University of California, Santa Barbara.

Energy Efficiency Now the Northwest's Second Largest Resource, and Growing

posted Jan 15, 2014 by John Harrison


The 2012 savings, reported at the Council's January meeting and based on a survey of utilities, are equal to the annual electricity use of about 170,000 Northwest homes and exceeded the target by about 5 percent.

“Once again, the region’s utilities, Bonneville Power Administration, Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance, Energy Trust of Oregon, electricity consumers, and businesses that install energy efficiency worked together to exceed the Council’s ambitious annual target,” Council Chair Bill Bradbury said. “Efficiency continues to be a very low-cost, environmentally clean power resource. It is now the region’s second-largest power supply, behind only hydropower.”

The 2012 savings totaled 253 average megawatts. The target in the Council’s Northwest Power Plan was 240. The calculation of 2013 savings won’t be completed until next fall.

Ea Graph 500X269

Northwest utilities, the Energy Trust of Oregon, and their partners have been acquiring energy efficiency resources since 1978. Annual savings from cumulative investments through 2012 stood at 5,300 average megawatts -- nearly equal to the average annual output of the six largest hydroelectric dams in the Northwest. That’s enough electricity to serve nearly the entire state of Oregon today. Over those 34 years, energy efficiency met nearly 60 percent of the new demand for power.

The average cost of the efficiency investments in 2012 was about 1.8 cents per kilowatt-hour, which is about four times less expensive than the cost of power from any type of new generating plant. In 2012, as in other recent years, commercial and industrial savings grew the most -- faster than residential, agricultural, and other areas.

Regional utilities, the Bonneville Power Administration, the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance and others that administer energy-efficiency programs reported their 2012 savings in 2013. The accomplishments were compiled by the Council and its Regional Technical Forum, an advisory committee established in 1999 to develop standards to verify and evaluate energy efficiency savings. The next report on annual efficiency improvements, for 2013, is expected to be completed by next fall.

The Northwest has relied on energy efficiency for longer and to a greater degree than most other regions of the United States. The total U.S. investment in improved energy efficiency in 2012 was just over $5.35 billion; Northwest investments totaled $375 million, or about 7 percent of the national total even though the Northwest represents just under 5 percent of the U.S. population. The per-person average expenditure on energy efficiency improvements in the Northwest was $28.02, nearly double the United States average of $16.17, according to the Council’s staff.

More information:

Northwest Energy Efficiency Achievements

BPA's Business Case for Conservation


Climate change and the Power Council

posted Jan 9, 2014 by John Harrison

Fish And Wildlife Committee January 2014

Fish and Wildlife Committee members meet with Council staff, January 8, 2014

Should the Council lead the development of a regional strategic plan to address the potential impacts of climate change on fish and wildlife and the regional power system, which relies heavily on hydroelectricity? Or, should the Council stay on the sidelines and let other government agencies with specific responsibility for hydropower, fish, and wildlife take the lead?

The answer may be somewhere in the middle, based on a discussion this week by the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Committee. Meeting in Portland for several days, the committee, with one member from each Northwest state, is working on ideas to bring to the full Council for a revision of the Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program. The Council revises the program every five years. The current program dates to 2009, and the Council anticipates releasing a draft 2014 Program for public review and comment this spring.

This week the committee is continuing a series of meetings that began in December to review recommendations the Council received last fall to amend the program and to begin working on language for the new program. Climate change is one of the major issues the Council will address. It’s important because the potential for either a drier and warmer climate or a wetter and warmer climate -- warmer, in any regard -- portends changes in river flows, annual snowpack, and runoff that could impact fish and wildlife species and habitat that the fish and wildlife program aims to protect.

Committee members were split on the Council’s future role regarding climate change, but a middle ground was visible. On one hand, the Council should strictly follow its legal responsibility to mitigate impacts of Columbia River dams and leave the climate-change response to the federal agencies that operate the dams, market their hydropower, and protect fish and wildlife including endangered species. An alternative, and not necessarily contradictory future role is for the Council to encourage action by the appropriate government agencies, such as construction of additional water storage in the basin, and adopt strategies in the fish and wildlife program to increase protection in the future through, for example, the designation of “strongholds” for fish and wildlife in existing high-quality habitats.

“It’s easy to say somebody else ought to worry about this, but who?,” said Washington member and committee Chair Phil Rockefeller. “If not the council, who will do that? If we are not capable, part of our leadership role is to assemble people who are -- stakeholders and action agencies. The way we get things done in this basin is through the collaborative process. I don’t think we are in the position to do a comprehensive strategic plan for climate change, but we have an opportunity to work on this if we choose to do so.”

Experts reach different conclusions about value of nuclear plant

posted Dec 20, 2013 by John Harrison


The Columbia Generating Station near Richland, Washington

Two recent reports on the cost of power from the only operating nuclear power plant in the Pacific Northwest arrive at starkly contrasting conclusions.

One, commissioned by the Oregon and Washington chapters of Physicians for Social Responsibility (PSR) and prepared by Portland-based energy consultant Robert McCullough, concludes that power from the Columbia Generating Station (CGS) is significantly more expensive than power from other sources. According to the report, if the Bonneville Power Administration, which buys the entire output of the plant, had purchased an amount of electricity equal to its output in Fiscal Year 2013 from the wholesale market rather than from CGS the cost would have been more than $200 million less. This report recommends that CGS be decommissioned in 2015. At current prices, according to the report, power from CGS could be displaced by market purchases in the long term.

The other report, commissioned by Energy Northwest, which operates the plant, and prepared by Cambridge Energy Research Associates of Cambridge, Mass., concludes that the plant is economical to operate until the end of its anticipated life in 2043. This report finds that the continued operation of CGS will save consumers $1.6 billion over that timeframe, compared to the lowest-cost alternative of closing the plant and replacing its output with a natural gas-fired power plant.

The Tri-City Herald covered this “dueling experts” dilemma in a Dec. 14 story.

Clearly, the two studies were prepared by experts and assess an important resource in the Northwest power supply. The fact that they arrive at polar opposite conclusions is a puzzle but also is an important issue for the region. Independent analysis of future resource costs is critical to making the best decisions about future sources of electricity.

There are uncertainties on both sides of the issue, such as the future cost and performance of CGS, safety considerations of nuclear power, and costs of alternative power supplies. Beginning later this year, the Council will begin a public process of revising its Northwest Power Plan, which the Council does every five years. The future of nuclear power in the Northwest is a topic the Council may take up.

Issues For Next Fish And Wildlife Program Include Dams, Hatcheries, Invasive Species

posted Dec 18, 2013 by John Harrison

July 12

On the Kootenay River, the second powerhouse at Brilliant Dam, left, was built to accommodate a fish ladder. The dam is near the confluence with the Columbia at Castlegar, British Columbia.

Increased spill at dams, hatchery fish versus wild fish, salmon back to the Columbia River in British Columbia -- as 2013 draws to a close, the Fish and Wildlife Committee of the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Division staff are digging into these and other issues that arose from more than 480 recommendations to amend the Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program.

The Council solicited recommendations earlier this year for the program revision, which takes place every five years. The current program dates to 2009.

The committee includes one member from each of the four states represented on the Council. With direction from the committee, the staff is beginning to draft a new program. With the approval of the full Council, the draft program will be released for public comment next February.

Here are some of the major issues the committee is addressing; more information is available in the staff summaries prepared by the Council’s staff:

  • Mainstem dam operations and issues, including a recommendation to increase spill in the spring when juvenile salmon and steelhead are migrating to the ocean.
  • The future role of fish hatcheries, including the use of hatchery fish to rebuild salmon and steelhead runs that spawn in the wild (this is called supplementation)
  • Fish and wildlife mitigation in areas where fish passage is blocked by dams, particularly salmon and steelhead passage above Chief Joseph and Grand Coulee dams.
  • Wildlife mitigation, particularly including the protected areas rule that prohibits new hydropower dams in areas where they would affect previously unaffected fish and wildlife populations.
  • Predation on fish in the Columbia River by birds, other fish, and marine mammals.
  • Controlling the spread of non-native and invasive species like northern pike and freshwater mussels.


Group Will Bring Expertise, Diverse Perspectives to Seventh Power Plan Advisory Role

posted Dec 12, 2013 by Carol Winkel


As development of the Council's Seventh Power Plan begins, the role that its advisory committees plays will be a focus of attention. They provide opportunities for the region's many interests to participate in reviewing and informing the plan as it is being developed. 

The Resource Strategies Advisory Committee reviews the methods, key assumptions, and other major analytical inputs used in developing the resource plan.

Over 30 invitees have agreed to serve. Representatives include Greg Delwiche, Bonneville Power Administration, Steve Klein, Snohomish County PUD, Mark Stokes, Idaho Power, Mark Johnson, Flathead Electric Cooperative, Brian Lipscomb, Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes, and Ralph Cavanagh, Natural Resouces Defense Council.

Having such a broad range of participants involved, with different perspectives and experiences to draw on, helps ensure that the plan truly reflects the concerns of the region and builds consensus on how to address them.

"It's an impressive list of people," noted Council member Henry Lorenzen, who chairs the committee. "It's a good foundation of knowledge for us to utilize."

Council will ask panel of independent scientists to review spill experiment

posted Dec 12, 2013 by John Harrison

IMG_2600 (1)

Water at McNary Dam spills through spillgates and also over a removable spillway weir (green water), which reduces dissolved gas in the tailrace below the dam.

Stressing that it was not making a decision but seeking more information to inform a decision next year, the Northwest Power and Conservation Council asked the Independent Scientific Advisory Board this month to review a proposal to increase spill over Snake and Columbia river dams in the spring for 10 years. The 11 scientists on the panel are appointed jointly by the Council, NOAA Fisheries and the Columbia River Intertribal Fish Commission.

The increased spill would be conducted as an experiment to determine whether it affects survival of juvenile salmon and steelhead migrating to the ocean. The Council received the spill-experiment proposal from fish and wildlife agencies, Indian tribes (see, for example, the Nez Perce Tribe's recommendation), and the state of Oregon as a proposed amendment to the Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program.

Earlier this year, the Council invited recommendations to amend the program, then made the recommendations available for public comment. Now the Council is beginning to write the next version of the program, which it does every five years.

Recognizing there is controversy about whether increased spill improves fish survival, Washington Council member Phil Rockefeller, chair of the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Committee, said the intent of asking the science panel to review the proposed spill experiment “is to better inform the Council, not to make a decision on the merits of the proposal.”

In referring the proposal to the science panel, the Council is including a number of questions about the effects of spill, good and bad, on salmon, steelhead, other fish and wildlife in the river, and the river ecosystem. The amendment proposal recommends increasing spill to 125 percent of the total dissolved gas level in the river below dam spillways during the spring for 10 years at dams on the lower Snake and Columbia rivers, with a comprehensive assessment of smolt-to-adult survival after five years.


The Seventh Power Plan

posted Dec 11, 2013 by Carol Winkel

 7th Power Plan -HR (2)

At the December Council meeting, Power Division Director Charlie Black walked through a draft schedule for the Seventh Northwest Power Plan's development. All the dates are draft, but a general timeline places the plan's adoption by the Council sometime near the end of 2015.

During 2013, most of the Council's advisory committees met, and work to develop various forecasts, related research, analytical tools, and project planning is underway.

Engaging the public and stakeholders in developing the plan is a Council priority. Along with the advisory committee work, staff has presented energy primers at Council meetings, and we've also held symposiums on plan-related topics like carbon emissions and California's energy markets. More are planned in the future.

The coming year will include developing an environmental methodology, extensive public outreach, framing issues for analysis, and continued work on forecasts, assumptions, and inputs.

We'll continue updating you on our progress, and we invite your participation; comments and questions are welcomed. 

If Electricity Rates Go Up, Will My Bill Go Up, Too?

posted Dec 9, 2013 by Carol Winkel

Wondering (1)

When you hear that your utility's electricity rates are increasing, you probably assume it means your electricity bill will be higher, too. But not necessarily. It depends on whether the increase is to pay for things like new generation or investing in energy efficiency

With things like building new power plants or upgrading transmission and distribution systems, rates and costs can both increase.

But when customers participate in energy efficiency programs or implement their own energy-saving measures, their electricity costs will go down, even if rates go up.

Why? Because they use less energy.

Even though a utility may need to increase its rates to cover its fixed costs, investing in energy efficiency means lower utility bills in the longer term.

This, along with the avoided costs and risks of building new plants, makes efficiency a good long-term investment that more than pays for itself over time. Much like compound interest, its future value accrues.

And, equally important, it's a carbon-free resource.

Educating consumers about the distinction between rates and bills is important, because when it comes to energy efficiency, you get more than what you pay for.


Council faces hot environmental topics

posted Nov 27, 2013 by John Harrison

Walla Walla 030

The juvenile fish bypass and sampling facility at McNary Dam on the Columbia River

Toxic contaminants in the Columbia River.

Climate change impacts in the Columbia River Basin.

Salmon and steelhead survival at hydropower dams.

The future role of fish hatcheries.

These are just four of the issues that are attracting attention, and in some cases opposing views from the public, in recommendations (and public comments on them) to amend the Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program.

The Council amends the program every five years. The current schedule calls for the Council to release a draft program for public review and comment next February, and make a final decision on the new program in July.

As the staff and Council members work to develop the draft program, the following are among a number of emerging issues that have been identified for in-depth discussions at upcoming meetings of the Council and its Fish and Wildlife Committee:

  • Toxic contaminants related to Columbia River hydropower dam development, operations, and inriver habitat conditions
  • Hydropower dam operations (enhanced spill, flow, reservoir filling and drawdowns, and additional fish-monitoring requirements)
  • Reinstating an exemption process for hydropower developments in protected areas, and possibly expanding protected areas
  • The role of hatcheries or artificial production of fish in the program, including how to monitor and evaluate the effects of hatchery fish on fish that spawn and rear in the wild
  • Reintroducing salmon and steelhead to areas blocked by hydropower dams, such as above Chief Joseph and Grand Coulee dams on the Columbia
  • Identifying priorities for a range of activities including new work to improve fish and wildlife habitat, and paying for operations and maintenance of habitat projects

More information about the program amendment process is posted on a special page on the Council’s website.

A new role for the Columbia River Treaty?

posted Nov 22, 2013 by John Harrison

Salmon At Brisco Ede Family Collection

Photo courtesy of the Ede Family Collection

This 1915 photo shows a salmon caught in the Columbia River at Brisco, British Columbia, 40 miles downriver from the river’s source at Columbia Lake.

The future of the Columbia River Treaty took center stage for the better part of a day at the Lake Roosevelt Forum 2013 conference this week in Spokane.

The Forum is a non-profit that facilitates dialogue about protecting and preserving environmental quality, quality of life, and local economies in and around Lake Roosevelt, the reservoir behind Grand Coulee Dam.

The 1964 treaty between the United States and Canada addresses operations of dams in British Columbia for purposes of controlling floods and boosting downstream hydropower generation. The treaty has no expiration date, but either country can abandon or seek to revise it after 60 years -- 2024 -- with 10 years’ notice. So the first opportunity is next year.

The treaty does not address the loss of salmon caused by Grand Coulee Dam (1941) or Chief Joseph Dam (1955) 50 miles downriver, which also has no fish passage. But Indian tribes in both countries, called First Nations in Canada, believe it should.

“One treaty issue is central to the people I work for -- salmon restoration,” Bill Green, director of the Canadian Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fisheries Commission, told the conference. “We hope to get salmon back to Brisco.”

Since 2009, the official entities that implement the treaty in both countries (the Province of British Columbia for Canada and the Bonneville Power Administration and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers for the United States) have been reviewing it and thinking about its future. The entities disagree on some issues, such as how much the United States should pay annually to British Columbia for its one-half share of the additional hydropower caused by the treaty.

The two sides generally agree on other issues, such as incorporating purposes other than hydropower and flood control in the treaty, but not on how to do that. Important among those issues is the broadly defined “ecosystem purposes,” which could include salmon passage to historic habitats above Grand Coulee Dam and flows to improve survival of fish downriver.

A controversy for the Council: Hatchery impacts on wild fish

posted Nov 14, 2013


Wiers like this at the outlet of Redfish Lake in central Idaho help biologists sort wild and hatchery fish.

Like the proverbial elephant in the room, the future role of salmon and steelhead hatcheries “is one of the larger issues we will deal with,” Council staffer Peter Paquet told the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Committee Wednesday. Like an elephant in the room, the issue is impossible to ignore, but people are talking about it -- and they don’t agree.

Fish-management experts have polar-opposite opinions about whether hatchery-produced fish help or harm fish that spawn in the wild, and therefore how salmon and steelhead hatcheries should be operated in the future. They expressed those opinions in great detail to the Council in recommendations to amend the Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program. The program supports funding for artificial production programs, mostly at hatcheries run by Indian tribes, totaling tens of millions of dollars annually -- $83.4 million in 2012, for example.

By law, the Council amends the program every five years. The current program dates to 2009; a new program is expected by next summer, and this month and next the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Committee is digging into more than 480 amendment recommendations, guided by summaries prepared by the Council’s staff.

This week the committee will meet three times -- normally it’s once a month -- to review the recommendations, a major step toward writing a draft program for public comment early in 2014. Artificial production was on Wednesday’s agenda.

The Council staff sorted the artificial production recommendations into five categories:

  1. There is “fairly strong support,” Paquet said, for the current program, which supports an experimental fish-propagation technique known as supplementation -- releasing hatchery-bred fish into streams to build or supplement populations that spawn in the wild.
  2. There also is support for specific fish-production programs and facilities, such as those operated by Indian tribes and funded by the Bonneville Power Administration through the Council’s program.
  3. The unity breaks down, however, over hatchery-management principles. Some parties asked the Council to adopt the recommendations of the federally chartered Hatchery Scientific Review Group (HSRG), which made hatchery-specific recommendations several years ago for producing salmon and steelhead while protecting wild fish. Others told the Council to adopt instead the hatchery genetic management plans being developed by NOAA Fisheries, which implements the Endangered Species Act for salmon and steelhead. NOAA’s plans generally take a less prescriptive approach to hatchery management than the HSRG recommendations. NOAA’s plans, however, won’t be completed before the Council completes the next fish and wildlife program. Tony Grover, the Council’s fish and wildlife director, said the issue need not be as black and white as endorsing the HSRG recommendations or NOAA’s plans, but perhaps melding elements of both in the Council’s program.
  4. The elephant in the room -- whether hatcheries help or harm wild fish -- is a dilemma for the Council because the program currently supports supplementation hatcheries and recommendations both supported and opposed supplementation. Paquet asked: “To what extent should the program put in place metrics that protect wild fish while acknowledging the competing science on the issue? The Council will have to choose which path it wants, and it could be a fairly difficult issue.”
  5. Monitoring and evaluating the success of hatcheries is a controversial subject without a clear consensus among the recommendations. In light of the differences on hatchery-management policy between the Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission and NOAA Fisheries, the Council’s role could be to bring the two sides together to find common ground and develop a workable monitoring and evaluation strategy. “This is an area where there are some tough decisions to be made and obviously some strong positions about which way to go,” Paquet said.

Designing for Efficiency

posted Nov 12, 2013 by John Harrison

Idaho Lighting Lab Nov 2013

Brad Acker, a research scientist at the lighting lab, discusses new lighting technology

A Boise energy design lab is setting up art and architecture students for careers in energy efficiency while also working with building owners, designers, and the local electric utility, Idaho Power Company, to improve the energy efficiency of existing buildings and those under design.

“My role is to push the edge of energy efficiency, trying to convince folks that these things will work.” Kevin Van Den Wymelenberg, associate professor and director of the University of Idaho Integrated Design Lab, told the Council at a meeting in Boise in November. He drew a parallel to the work of the Council in promoting energy efficiency as the priority resource to meet future demand for electricity in the Northwest. “What we do is support the vision that you have in your power plan,” Van Den Wymelenberg said.

The lab is dedicated to developing high-performance, energy-efficient buildings in the Intermountain West using research, education, and outreach efforts with students, and building owners and designers. “Our expectation is to be a premier energy efficiency research and design facility, unique in the nation in our ability to connect research with practice and teaching,” he said.

Idaho Power Company has been working with the lab since 2004. Current projects include:

  • Rebates to large commercial and industrial customers who invest in energy efficiency
  • Incentives up to $100,000 for retrofitting that improves energy efficiency
  • Recurring payments to commercial and industrial customers to reduce power consumption when Idaho Power experiences peak demand for electricity
  • Public lectures by experts from around the country on current topics in energy efficiency
  • Demonstrating new or evolving technologies, such as a new generation of evaporative coolers; a test unit installed in Boise achieved a 56-percent reduction in energy use compared to other types of cooling technologies.


Charting a Course to Clean Energy

posted Nov 8, 2013 by Carol Winkel

Idaho Tour .640
For more than a generation, the Pacific Northwest has been a leader in acquiring energy efficiency. Since 1978, the region has reduced electricity demand by more than 5,000 average megawatts, about half of the region’s load growth. That’s enough power for Montana and Idaho combined, or more than four cities the size of Seattle. One of the reasons for this success has been the unique role that the Regional Technical Forum plays in providing a systematic way to validate energy efficiency savings for the region.
At its November meeting, the Council approved the forum's budget and workplan for 2014, Its budget of $1.5 million will support its work to update and develop efficiency measures that meet its guidelines. Funding comes from contributions from the Bonneville Power Administration, the region's utilities, and in-kind contributions of staff-time by the Council and other organizations.
The forum's workplan is largely driven by requests from utilities, Bonneville, Energy Trust of Oregon, Northwest Energy Effciency Alliance, and state energy agencies. As part of its 2013 workplan, the forum created an online proposal form to help expedite requests. It also plans to ask stakeholders to identify technical and evaluation issues that need to be addressed each year.
Bob Davis, a forum member who works for the energy-efficiency consulting firm Ecotope in Seattle, said the Power Act and its focus on energy efficiency makes the Northwest a unique place. “While the majority of the Northwest population pays electricity bills to investor-owned utilities, there are many, many more public utilities, and Bonneville and the forum are primary determinants in how these utilities deliver and oversee efficiency programs," says Davis.
"Energy codes have changed dramatically in the last 30 years, and much of this change has been driven by the Council's power plan and the Power Act. Today, there are many people in our region who realize the value of defensible energy savings and protocols in the context of delivering efficiency to the region."

Idaho Takes Next Step in Sockeye Salmon Recovery

posted Nov 6, 2013 by John Harrison

Sockeye Underwater At Redfish Lake (1) 

Adult sockeye ready to spawn in Redfish Lake after migrating 900 miles from the ocean.

Completion of a new Snake River sockeye salmon hatchery in Idaho in December will inaugurate changes in how the state and its partners are working to restore the iconic species to the headwaters lakes of the Salmon River, a Snake tributary.

Since the species was listed as endangered in 1991, the Idaho Department of Fish and Game, NOAA Fisheries, and the Shoshone Bannock Tribe have operated a captive brookstock program using a hatchery in Eagle, Idaho, primarily, to rescue genetic material from the few remaining fish and begin rebuilding the run by releasing hatchery-bred eggs, presmolts, and smolts into natal waters to encourage natural production. The near-term goal is to avoid extinction and maintain genetic diversity. The long-term goal is to rebuild naturally spawning populations to levels that could support tribal and sport harvest.

The new, $13.5 million hatchery near Pocatello is an important step toward the long-term goal. Eggs produced at other hatcheries operated by IDFG and NOAA will go through final incubation and rearing to the smolt stage at the Springfield facility and then be released each spring at the outlet of Redfish Lake. The state expects that the additional smolt production -- up to 1 million annually -- will lead to higher numbers of returning adult sockeye, and these fish will help move the program from a focus on producing enough fish annually to avoid extinction to developing an integrated conservation hatchery program that results in sufficient numbers of adult sockeye returning from the ocean each year to support naturally spawning populations.

Redfish Lake is the initial focus of the increased smolt releases. Of the three Salmon River headwaters lakes, Redfish is the one with the greatest sockeye-production potential. As the returns improve, additional hatchery actions will be taken to restore natural production in the other two lakes, Pettit and Alturas.

            Here is IDFG’s timeline for future major actions, and a link to a brief Council staff memo:

  • December 2, 2013: Estimated ship date of the first sockeye eggs to Springfield Hatchery.
  • May, 2015: Estimated ship date of first cohort of “Springfield smolts” for release into Redfish Lake Creek
  • July, 2017: Estimated return date of the first cohort of “Springfield adults” to Redfish Lake as 4-yr olds.


Ensuring Habitat Projects Meet Scientific and Program Standards

posted Nov 6, 2013 by John Harrison

Fall Chin Spawners In Eagle Creek 

Salmon, like these fall Chinook in an Oregon stream, need healthy habitat for spawning.

At its November meeting, the Northwest Power and Conservation Council recommended 75 projects in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington to improve conditions for fish and wildlife, primarily salmon and steelhead. Projects are funded by the Bonneville Power Administration to implement the Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program.

Nearly all of the projects are ongoing, and the Council’s recommendations follow a review of the projects by the Independent Scientific Review Panel. For several years the ISRP has been reviewing groups of projects that implement the program in categories that included salmon, steelhead, and fish that don’t go to the ocean, and wildlife. The current group of projects was organized geographically by freshwater areas where salmon and steelhead spawn. Most are intended to improve habitat.

“We're making progress in rebuilding salmon and steelhead populations, but that will continue only if we support and fund effective restoration projects,” Council Chair Bill Bradbury said. “This review process helps ensure that only projects of the highest quality are approved and funded.”

Eighty-three project proposals are in the geographic review, representing nearly $80 million in potential funding. In addition to individual project reviews, the ISRP review includes a brief retrospective evaluation of habitat improvements and comments on important issues that involve most projects and apply to the program in general. Topics covered include regional research, monitoring and evaluation, a strategic restoration framework, productive partnerships, workforce support, and restoration methods and assessments.

The ISRP reviews projects to ensure they are consistent with the Council’s fish and wildlife program and 1) are based on sound scientific principles; 2) benefit fish and wildlife; 3) have clearly defined objectives and outcomes; and 4) contain provisions for monitoring and evaluation of results. The Council is required to consider ISRP recommendations when recommending projects to Bonneville to implement the program.

The Flexibility Challenge

posted Oct 30, 2013 by Carol Winkel

We caught up with Bob Jenks, executive director of the CUB Policy Center, to talk about the growing need for flexibility in the region's power system. CUB's recent policy conference explored the question of how to make renewable energy, with its ups and downs in output, work on the system. Can we use the current system more efficiently to integrate renewable resources? Here's what he had to say.


Council Majority Approves Fish Tagging Forum Recommendations

posted Oct 29, 2013

Pit Tag In Hand

Tiny tags about the size of a grain of rice and can identify individual fish.

Tagging salmon and steelhead, implanting a wire or electronic device in the fish or otherwise marking the fish, is one of the most effective techniques available to researchers to monitor fish as they migrate to and from the Pacific Ocean.

But it’s also expensive—about $60 million in the Columbia River Basin in 2012—and difficult to coordinate because of river conditions, run returns, the wide distribution of spawning grounds, release sites, migration routes, and the many agencies, tribes, and other entities doing the tagging, which varies significantly every year.

To better understand how they’re used and how much it costs, the Council chartered the Fish Tagging Forum. The forum, which included experts from state, federal, and tribal fish and wildlife agencies, electric utilities, and others, reviewed many types of tagging technologies and assessed fish-tagging in light of 19 key management questions and 117 related indicators.

Overall, the forum found that while there are few gaps and many overlaps in the tagging systems now in place, tagging coordination is generally well developed and successful throughout the basin. It identified more than 157 projects to carry out tagging, marking, detection, or analysis of tag- related data. The Bonneville Power Administration paid more than $60 million in 2012 to fund these projects, using about 200 million tags of various types. Tagging for projects in the Council’s fish and wildlife program was about $36 million of that total. Bonneville funds most of the fish-tagging in the basin either directly or indirectly, but others contribute, too, including the three Mid Columbia public utility districts, federal and state agencies, Indian tribes, and investor-owned utilities such as Idaho Power and Portland General Electric.

One question to address was whether Bonneville should continue funding coded-wire tag efforts, currently about $7.5 million annually. Coded-wire tags are tiny pieces of stainless steel wire etched with data that identify a fish’s release group. At the request of the Council’s fish and wildlife committee, the Council’s legal staff reviewed Bonneville’s funding requirements under the Northwest Power Act and determined that the agency is neither required nor prohibited by law to fund coded-wire tags. To be consistent with the Power Act, Bonneville’s expenditures must relate to Columbia River salmon and steelhead adversely affected by the basin’s hydrosystem. The legal staff reported it seems clear that is the case. In the end, then, it’s a policy issue and a question for Bonneville to decide.

Ultimately the forum agreed on 17 recommendations to the Council, but could not agree on the funding responsibility for all coded-wire tag uses, offering four alternative recommendations instead.

In August, the Council voted to approve the 17 consensus recommendations and the alternative recommendation that maintains status-quo funding. The coded-wire tags recommendation was consistent with nine principles stated in a decision memorandum prepared by Council staff. The vote was 6-2, with Idaho members Bill Booth and Jim Yost dissenting because of the status-quo recommendation.

Washington Council member Phil Rockefeller, who chairs the fish and wildlife committee, said the committee supported the recommendations, including the alternative to maintain the status-quo annual expenditure for coded-wire tagging efforts.

“For 32 years, coded-wire tagging has been a collaborative effort supporting the implementation of the Council’s fish and wildlife program,” Rockefeller said. “It’s been a core element of that program, and it serves not only the Council’s needs and interests but also the management needs of an array of other organizations and entities, including tribal, state, and federal.”

Rockefeller said the committee determined that Bonneville’s financial support of fish tagging falls within the terms of the Power Act. “That is to say, there is a nexus to the Council’s program,” he said, adding that the committee saw no evidence that Bonneville is supporting tagging in lieu of funding that should be provided by others. He said the committee’s recommendation that Bonneville continue to provide $7.5 million annually for coded-wire tagging “is not necessarily the ultimate answer or the desirable outcome,” but “only until or unless we can develop a better system, following the ideas presented to us by the Independent Economic Analysis Board [in a report on fish tagging earlier this year].”

Washington member Tom Karier said he supported the motion and hoped that in the future more information would be available from coded-wire tags to show where fish are being harvested.

“We’re paying millions of dollars for that information, and somewhere between Bonneville and the managers the ball gets dropped and we don’t get the information,” Karier said. “I tend to think that if we had that information right now, and we could see what the hatcheries are contributing to the program, we’d have a different debate about this.”
Council Vice Chair Jennifer Anders also agreed to support the continued funding.

“We heard from the scientists that coded-wire tagging is an important and valid scientific tool for a variety of reasons, and as a matter of policy this committee has concluded that those reasons have a sufficient nexus to the work we do to justify their funding, at least until there is some way to get that information from another source or in a more efficient manner.”
Idaho members Bill Booth and Jim Yost, however, disagreed.

“Member Yost and I were not able to support the Council’s motion today due to the status-quo decision on coded-wire tagging in the region,” Booth said.

“We appreciate the diligent efforts of the Fish Tagging Forum and thank its members for the many hours dedicated to this difficult task,” he said. “Because of their methodical and detailed work, the Council, the region, and the Bonneville Power Administration now have a much clearer picture of both the diverse functions served by a multitude of coded-wire tagging projects, and the costs associated with the Columbia Basin’s $35,700,000 fish tagging effort.

“It is our opinion that Bonneville should carefully review the record and findings of the Fish Tagging Forum, determine where any of the tagging efforts are inconsistent with the provisions of the Northwest Power Act, and phase out funding for projects that lack a nexus with the Federal Columbia River Power System or are in lieu of funds that should have been provided by other entities, such as Mitchell Act hatchery fish-tagging and other harvest management tagging,” Booth said.

Among its consensus recommendations, the forum said any reduction in funding that might result from implementing its proposals should be redirected to other projects in the fish and wildlife program. The forum recommended that NOAA Fisheries, the federal agency that implements the Endangered Species Act for salmon and steelhead, should help coordinate state, tribal, and other researchers on the best practices for tagging ESA-listed fish. It also recommended that additional review be conducted to find cost and efficiency savings.

Northwest Q & A: Robert D. Kahn

posted Oct 29, 2013

Robert Kahn has served as executive director for the Northwest & Intermountain Power Producers Coalition since its formation in 2002. He began his career working for the late architect and philosopher R. Buckminster Fuller, and has worked with independent power producers since the industry’s earliest days in California.

Beginning in the early 1980s, Kahn helped permit thermal and renewable power plants throughout the West. In the 1990s he served as a special assistant to the chair of the Comprehensive Review of the Northwest Energy System and helped found the Renewable Northwest Project. Over the last 10 years, Kahn has managed all aspects of NIPPC’s advocacy and operations. The coalition has grown from a fledgling start-up into a forceful advocate for independent power generators, regardless of technology.

Q. What was it like working for R. Buckminster Fuller?
I consider him an inspiration and mentor. He’s been described as the Leonardo da Vinci of the 20th century. He was also a true gentleman in the classic sense of the term. The aspect of his thinking that has resonated with me throughout my career was his belief in the role of technology to effect social change.

Q. How does that ethos translate into what you do today?
Looking backward, it makes total sense when you consider what I do today, but I didn’t plan my career. My dissertation at the School of Education at the University of Massachussetts/Amherst was based on a community education project that I ran with National Science Foundation funding in the late 1970s. Our task was to inform citizens in three adjacent rural counties in three New England states about how to use local wood resources for energy on a sustainable basis.

Q. What role do you see for independent power producers in the Northwest, and how should this inform the Council’s Seventh Power Plan?
I would ask staff and Council members to keep three things in mind:

  • There is a difference between spending your own money and someone else’s. It takes time to develop and build a power plant, and a lot can happen between the time you start and when a project is completed. Risk is always part of the equation. An IPP developer assumes those risks instead of the ratepayers.
  • With the accelerated pace of change and unpredictability in our industry, it’s advisable to “rent” as much as it is to “own” resources. Both the utility and the ratepayer benefit from renting a power plant through a power purchase agreement with an IPP rather than the utility owning it. This kind of agreement is a hedge against unforeseen changes, including technological obsolescence, outages, and changes in environmental policies, to name only a few.
  • The third value IPPs bring to the system is innovation. Combined-cycle generation, solar, wind, all these technologies were commercialized by independent power producers. We add value by being the experienced risk takers in the sector.

Q. Is this a challenging time to be an independent power producer?
It’s always been challenging. Since 1978, when PURPA was enacted, it’s been a challenging time. Competitive sources of power production can threaten incumbent utilities. Investor-owned utilities have different approaches for how they deal with IPPs. Utility regulators will confirm that by competing with incumbent utilities our industry helps keep prices down. But even the most optimistic IPPs won’t remain in inhospitable territory indefinitely. The Northwest is trending toward inhospitable.

Q. Where do you see the power industry headed? Do you have a personal vision of what to expect?
At the moment, changes in technology are beginning to drive the power sector, and I think we’ll see increasing action from the customer side of the substation. We’ll see more distributed generation, whether it’s solar, battery storage, micro turbines, and other cutting-edge technology installed by customers. What’s happening out there is an expression of All-American self-reliance that will challenge utilities and many IPPs. But independent power producers nimbly respond to change in a way that utilities can’t, since innovation is in our DNA. I expect IPPs to figure out how to serve consumers reliably, cleanly, and cost-effectively, in whatever way they prefer to be served.

Yakama Nation’s Innovative Techniques to Rebuild Salmon Runs In the Yakima River Basin

posted Oct 29, 2013 by John Harrison

The Yakama Nation is working to restore extirpated runs of summer Chinook, coho, and sockeye salmon to the Yakima River and experiencing what the tribe’s senior fisheries research scientist, Dave Fast, calls “pretty good success.”

“Reintroducing species of salmon to the Yakima River Basin is very important spiritually, culturally, and economically to the Yakama Nation members,” Fast told the Northwest Power and Conservation Council in July.

The Yakima River Basin is one of the premier agricultural areas in the nation, and also historically a great salmon river. Large-scale, commercial agriculture in the basin dates to the early 1900s. Over time, dam construction, habitat loss, and overfishing took a toll on the fish.

“Initially, it was apples, but today a number of crops are raised, including tree fruits, grapes, hops, and many others. These are made possible by the rich volcanic soil in the basin, but also by irrigation from the Yakima River, and this has come at some cost to the salmon,” Fast said.

“We’ve been working on coho the longest in the basin,” Fast said. “The goal is to re-establish a self-sustaining, naturally spawning population.”

From annual historic runs of 44,000 to more than 150,000 fish, coho returns steadily dropped to zero by the 1980s. Today, the tribe is experimenting with three innovative techniques to rebuild the population. First, adult fish are captured and transported to tributaries that once supported coho, then studied to determine whether and where they spawn, and whether their offspring interact with other species, such as trout. Second, the tribe uses mobile acclimation ponds—small raceways that can be moved from one tributary to another—to release juvenile coho into tributaries. And third, juvenile fish at the parr stage are planted in tributaries to determine whether release at that life stage is preferable to releasing fish as smolts when they are older.
Fast said the mobile acclimation ponds will help answer one of the persistent questions about using supplementation to rebuild naturally spawning populations.

“The question is, if you stop supplementation, will the population continue or will it plummet back?” Fast said.
“It’s a really neat system where we can move these in and out quickly, and we will eventually get to all of the tributaries as we remove barriers,” he said.

A hatchery at Prosser Dam is the main coho production facility at the moment, but the tribe plans to add a small hatchery at the Holmes Ranch upstream of Rosa Dam. The tribe currently operates an acclimation site there. In August, the Council’s fish and wildlife committee received a positive review of the project from its independent science panel. The facility would produce 500,000 coho parr and 200,000 smolts for release in the upper Yakima and Naches rivers using broodstock collected at Roza and Sunnyside dams.

“We’ve gone from well under 1,000 coho adults returning per year to where we had a total of more than 10,000 fish in 2009, hatchery and natural combined,” Fast said.

The tribe is also working to restore summer Chinook salmon, extirpated in the basin in the 1970s.

“We’ve made tremendous progress to improve the mainstem river for spawning,” Fast said. “The objective is to see if we can restore early-run fall Chinook between Sunnyside Dam and Roza Dam, and also in the lower Naches River. We also hope to increase the number of natural-origin summer Chinook for harvest.”

But sockeye restoration may be the biggest success story. From historical runs of more than 200,000 adult fish, the number dropped to zero by the early 1990s, largely because the river was impounded behind dams and fish passage for both juveniles and returning adults was impossible.

Using two donor stocks, sockeye from Lake Wenatchee and Lake Osooyoos on the Okanagan River in British Columbia, the tribe has been trapping adult fish at Priest Rapids Dam and transporting them by truck to Cle Elum Lake.

“This isn’t really a hatchery program,” Fast said. “The adult fish spend the summer in the lake and then migrate up into the Cle Elum River to spawn in the fall.” The tribe is working on a new design for a juvenile fish bypass system to improve sockeye passage out of the lake and into the river.

From 1,000 sockeye captured at Priest Rapids in 2009 when the restoration effort began, the number of adults transported to Cle Elum Lake has increased steadily to the allowed maximum of 10,000 in 2012. From the 1,000 adult fish released into the lake in 2009, the first smolts—the tribe estimated there were 80,000—passed over Prosser Dam on their way to the ocean in 2011. This year, the first adults from those smolts were collected at Rosa Dam and transported with other sockeye trapped at Priest Rapids to Cle Elum Lake.

It was cause for celebration, and on July 10 the tribe held its first “Return of the Sockeye” celebration at the lake. By the first week of August, 575 adults had returned to Prosser Dam in the lower Yakima.
“Hopefully, we’ll get to the point where we don’t have to use out-of-basin stock,” said Fast. “We can take all the fish that were naturally produced in the basin and release them back into the lake.”

Making the Business case for Energy Efficiency

posted Oct 29, 2013 by Carol Winkel

In a recently released analysis, the Bonneville Power Administration set out to answer a simple question: How much would the agency have paid on the spot power market for the same amount of energy it saved from FY 2001 through FY 2011?

According to the report, “BPA’s analysis demonstrates that, in the absence of the energy efficiency efforts…the agency’s costs would be higher by approximately $750 million to $1.7 billion* over a 20-year period.” The range takes into account different assumptions, but if you assumed flat Mid-Columbia trading hub prices and flat annual energy savings, the net benefit is about $1.2 billion.

That’s a significant financial savings for the agency and its customers. And there are other benefits, too. The analysis found that efficiency provides long-term value through the avoided costs of developing new resources or having to purchase power in the market where prices can be volatile.

“Every kilowatt-hour of energy efficiency acquired today is a kilowatt-hour that does not need to be purchased or generated tomorrow, the next day, and any day throughout the life of the measure…and creates long-term cost savings for BPA’s customers.”

In a presentation to the Council in August, Richard Généce, vice president of energy efficiency at BPA, noted that the analysis was a year-long, collaborative project that included the participation of several utility stakeholders, as well as consultation with the Council’s energy analysts.

“It’s sometimes a struggle to define an economic basis for investing in energy efficiency,” said Généce. “We wanted to see what it looks like at both a regional and utility level.”

The analysis, which is something that the Council and others in the region have encouraged the agency to do, consists of two parts. One is the analysis covering the financial impact of energy efficiency for BPA. The second part is a model developed for utilities to use for their own evaluation of energy efficiency cost savings. It’s designed for the agency’s load-following customers only, and is meant to be used with BPA’s assistance.

“This model can be a tool for general managers and boards to look objectively at energy efficiency at a utility level,” said Généce.
Elaborating on the analysis, Josh Warner, manager of planning and evaluation for energy efficiency at BPA, noted that it was a tool that can help a utility examine its overall service territory to determine how much is saved. He emphasized that it was not a rate analysis, but a revenue requirement analysis.

For now, says Généce, BPA intends to test the analysis to get feedback on how helpful it is and what could be changed to improve it. General roll-out of the financial impact model is scheduled for early autumn.

“We see this as a tool to aid decisionmaking for utilities, decrease the debate around the economic basis for energy efficiency, and hopefully move that discussion forward.”

Ocean science forum begins its work

posted Oct 25, 2013

NOAA Ocean Sampling 

This week the Council’s Ocean and Plume Science and Management Forum conducted its first meeting, beginning the task of identifying fisheries management implications of ocean research and priorities for future research. The Forum is expected to produce a list of priority critical uncertainties with clear and measureable hypotheses that can be reflected in the Council’s research plan and considered for future funding.

The forum includes scientists and fish managers from state and federal agencies, tribes, and the Canadian federal fisheries agency. Information about the forum is posted on a dedicated page on the Council’s website.

The Council approved a charter for the forum in August. Creating the forum as an advisory committee to the Council is an outcome of the Council’s review in 2010 of all research, monitoring, and evaluation projects in the Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program. That review identified a need to develop a better understanding of research on the effects of the ocean environment on salmon and steelhead from the Columbia River Basin and led to a report by researchers that synthesized various ocean research efforts. Following a workshop on ocean research, the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Committee requested development of the Ocean and Plume Science and Management Forum charter. The charter will expire in two years unless it is renewed by the Council.

At its initial meeting, chaired by Phil Rockefeller, who also chairs the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Committee, forum members noted the importance of data from ocean research in making decisions about management of salmon and steelhead in the freshwater environment. To that end, the forum’s charter establishes four key tasks:

  • Identify key information needs for research into fish-management questions that would help implement the fish and wildlife program.
  • Identify critical scientific uncertainties and develop a prioritized list of studies to address the uncertainties.
  • Identify and provide opportunities for information sharing between ocean and plume researchers and estuary and freshwater managers.
  • Identify management applications of ocean and plume information, including existing and yet-to-be-collected information such as fish-harvest impacts on the Columbia River Basin ecosystem. 

Meeting Regional Renewable Portfolio Standard Requirements

posted Oct 22, 2013 by Carol Winkel

Planning (1)

Gillian Charles, energy policy analyst, gave an update at the October Council meeing on the progress to meet the renewable portfolio standards in Montana, Oregon, and Washington. According to the Council's initial analysis, the region is in good shape to comply through 2019-2020 with committed resources, planned renewable energy credit transactions, and banking provisions. In a change from the last decade, the pace of wind development has dropped off significantly.

BC seeks comments on draft Columbia River Treaty recommendations

posted Oct 22, 2013 by John Harrison

Bill Bennett 2013

Bill Bennett

This past weekend at the annual symposium of British Columbia’s Columbia Basin Trust, which focused on community change through collaborative action, Bill Bennett, Minister of Energy and Mines for the Province, joined a panel to talk about the province’s draft recommendations and guiding principles for the future of the Columbia River Treaty with the United States.

“We feel the treaty has worked extremely well over the past decades for both Canada and the U.S.,” Bennett said. “We think it is worth keeping, but we know it can be improved.” A brief video of his remarks is posted here.

The treaty, which went into effect in 1964, has no ending date but either country can unilaterally terminate the treaty in September 2024 provided at least 10 years’ advance notice is given. In exchange for providing flood control and for an equal share of the incremental U.S. downstream power benefits (the Canadian Entitlement), Canada agreed to build three dams – Duncan, Keenleyside, and Mica – in British Columbia and allowed the U.S. to build a fourth dam, Libby in Montana, that flooded into Canada.

The Canadian facilities vastly reduced flood risk in the province and in the United States but also caused significant damage and forced people and communities to relocate as reservoirs filled behind the dams. The Columbia Basin Trust was created in 1995 to support efforts by the people of the Canadian Columbia River Basin to create social, economic, and environmental well-being in the Canadian portion of the Columbia River Basin -- the region most affected by the Columbia River Treaty.

The treaty is implemented by BC Hydro, the provincial electricity utility, on behalf of Canada (the Canadian Entity) and by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and Bonneville Power Administration (the U.S. Entity) on behalf of the United States. The Province of British Columbia is the entity responsible for the disposal of the Canadian Entitlement.

The Province and U.S. Entity have developed draft recommendations on the future of the treaty. When finalized later this year, these will serve as recommendations to the provincial government in British Columbia and the federal government in the U.S. The U.S. Entity posted its recommendation here for public review and comment though October 25.

The draft recommendation of the Province of B.C. was developed by Bennett’s ministry through extensive consultations with citizens, First Nations, and stakeholders, and informed by economic, environmental, social, hydrological, and legal analyses. It includes principles to guide the province in any discussions on the future of the treaty with Canada and the United States. These include consideration of flood control, hydropower generation, ecosystems, climate change, and benefits to British Columbia.

The ministry is inviting comments on its draft recommendation, posted here, through November 20, after which the province’s Columbia River Treaty Review Team will prepare its final recommendation to Premier Christy Clark and her Cabinet.

California's New Energy Law Sets the Stage for Solar Power Growth

posted Oct 11, 2013 by Carol Winkel

Solar Panel (1)

This week, California Governor Jerry Brown signed AB 327, which sets policies promoting the development of distributed renewable generation, including rooftop solar.

California is developing a lot of renewables, and as we heard last month at the Council's symposium on California's power markets, it's now a significant part of their resources. The existing renewable portfolio standard requirement is 33 percent by 2020. With the passage of the bill, the target will be, in the words of Governor Brown, "...a floor, not a ceiling."

The bill:

  • raises the limit for net metering to 5,200 megawatts for customers of the state's three large investor-owned utilities (this is in addition to the RPS)
  • gives the California Public Utility Commission authority to increase the existing RPS requirement
  • requires IOUs to submit plans by July 2015 to maximize benefits of distributed resources
  • rewrites ratemaking policies, including how utility costs are recovered in fixed monthly charges and volumetric rates

While questions concerning cost recovery for utilities and implementation by the CPUC remain, advocates of the bill note that this could be a model for other states, providing certainty for consumer-owned renewable generation and the solar power industry.

Council approves first step toward new Walla Walla Spring Chinook hatchery

posted Oct 8, 2013 by John Harrison

Council With Kat Brigham 255k

After approving the first step toward a new hatchery for Walla Walla River spring Chinook, Council members pose with N. Kathryn Brigham, a member of the Board of Trustees of the Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation, and Brent Hall of the tribes' fish and wildlife staff at a meeting today in Helena.

It’s taken more than two decades, but today the Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation are ready to move ahead with a new, $11.8 million salmon hatchery to provide spring Chinook for present and future generations. It took time to secure agreements to leave water in the river for fish while also ensuring that agricultural businesses that also rely on Walla Walla River water remain viable.

This week the Northwest Power and Conservation Council approved master-planning for the first stage of the hatchery. The Tribes are proposing to add incubation, early-rearing, and final-rearing facilities to an existing adult-fish holding and spawning facility that is a component of the tribes’ Umatilla Hatchery. The new facility would produce 500,000 yearling spring Chinook smolts annually for release into the Walla Walla River Basin -- 400,000 into the South Fork and 100,000 into the Touchet River. The Tribes’ long-term goal is to provide in‐basin harvest for treaty and non‐treaty fisheries, and restore natural spawning. Spring Chinook were extirpated in the Walla Walla Basin over many decades as the result of altered habitat and water depletions from agricultural practices.

Speaking on behalf of the Umatilla Tribes, N. Kathryn Brigham, a member of the Board of Trustees, said the new hatchery has cultural significance by providing access to salmon, one of the traditional foods. Brigham said she was pleased that the Walla Walla hatchery expansion was a collaborative effort of the tribes and basin stakeholders, including irrigators and ranchers.

The hatchery will be paid for by the Bonneville Power Administration through its responsibility to mitigate the impacts of hydropower dams on fish and wildlife. Lorri Bodi, Bonneville vice president of environment, fish, and wildlife, praised the new hatchery, calling it “a state of the art facility with a state-of-the-art approach.” The Council’s Independent Scientific Review Panel also approved the project.

Planning and design are scheduled for completion by August 2014. With subsequent approval by the Council, construction would take place in 2014 and 2015, the first fish would be released in 2017, and the first adult fish would return in the spring of 2019.

A brief overview of recommendations to amend the fish and wildlife program

posted Oct 8, 2013 by John Harrison

Ff _01

Here’s a quick overview of the more than 450 recommendations the Council received to amend the Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program, arranged under the ‘Four Hs” of impacts to fish and wildlife: hydropower, habitat, hatcheries, and harvest:


  • Continue to recognize the Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinions as the program’s baseline mainstem measures and objectives; others recommend disconnecting the program from the Biological Opinions and pursuing additional flow and passage actions
  • Adjust operations at Libby and Hungry Horse dams to improve conditions for sturgeon and other fish downriver and in reservoirs
  • Increase spill over dams when juvenile salmon and steelhead are migrating to the ocean as an experiment, if state dissolved-gas waivers can be revised
  • Evaluate removal of the four dams in the lower Snake River.

Habitat Protection and improvement

  • Incorporate the estuary, plume, and near-shore ocean more completely in planning
  • Identify and work to reduce toxic water contaminants
  • Prevent establishment of aquatic invasive species
  • Provide passage of anadromous fish into areas blocked by hydropower dams
  • Support existing protected areas and oppose reinstating exemptions (inadvertently dropped from the program in 2000); others recommend expanding protected-area designations to potential transmission corridors and potential wind and solar energy sites, and restoring exemptions

Hatcheries and Harvest

  • Both support for and opposition to incorporating the Columbia River Basin recommendations of the Hatchery Scientific Review Group into the program
  • Add biological objectives to the program for hatchery-specific fish production and adult-return goals, and harvest
  • Support supplementation hatcheries to rebuild naturally spawning populations
  • Support alternative commercial fisheries like the Select Area Fishery Enhancement project in the lower Columbia, which reduce fishing pressure on weak stocks by moving commercial fisheries out of the mainstem river
  • Support for status quo funding, or more, of marking fish with coded wire tags

The Council members and the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Division staff are working through the recommendations and preparing issue-specific summaries for review by the Council. The next step is to write a draft program for public review. Expect the draft program in mid February 2014 for review through mid-May.

Protected areas draw interest in Fish and Wildlife Program review

posted Oct 8, 2013 by John Harrison

Patterson Big Springs Creek Above The Diversion (1)

The protected areas rule in the fish and wildlife program prohibits new hydropower dams in order to protect fish, wildlife and habitat.  This is a salmon-bearing tributary of the Lemhi River in central Idaho.

            Among the many contentious issues the Council will tackle in reviewing and amending the Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program, a process currently under way, is whether to grant exemptions for new hydropower dams in areas protected by the program from hydropower development because of the potential impacts on fish and wildlife.

            The protected-areas designation covers some 44,000 miles of river and stream habitat inside and outside the Columbia River Basin and has been a part of the program since 1988. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission is required by law to the consider protected-areas designation in deciding whether to grant a license to a new hydropower facility.

            Until the 2000 revision, the program included a process through which the Council could grant exemptions to hydropower proposals if their proponents could prove the projects would have “exceptional benefits” to fish and wildlife – actually help, rather than hurt, fish and wildlife. But because of an oversight the exemption process was left out of the 2000 Program and subsequent program revisions.

            We didn’t notice, but others did. And now a debate is playing out in the current program-amendment process over whether an exemption process should be reinstated – and whether it should be different than the old process.

            Bookend recommendations for and against exemptions came from Black Canyon Hydro LLC, which has proposed a run-of-river hydroelectric facility on the North Fork Snoqualmie River in western Washington, the Snohomish County Public Utility District, which has proposed a new hydropower facility on the South Fork Skykomish River north and east of Everett, and others. Opposition to exemptions came from American Rivers, several hundred individual commenters who support the environmental group’s position, The Lands Council, a Spokane-based environmental group, Trout Unlimited, and the Snoqualmie Tribe.

            Snohomish PUD wrote: “The District recommends that the Council re-insert the important language added by the 1988 amendments into the 2013-2014 Program to allow new hydropower in a protected area when beneficial and appropriate.” Black Canyon made five specific proposals, including a revision process for protected-area designations, an exemption for small, low-impact projects, a consistency determination for suitable projects that may enhance resources, a variance for projects where there is no practical alternative, and recognition and acceptance that some older projects would benefit from a new license or license renewal.

            Opposing exemptions, Trout Unlimited wrote: “Allowing exceptions or exemptions for project development in protected areas will create the very ongoing, site-specific battles that the Protected Areas program was designed to avoid.” However, the letter added that “to the extent the Council determines there is a need for exemptions or exceptions ... we urge the Council to develop strict criteria to discourage abuse of any exemption process…”

Making the Business Case for Energy Efficiency

posted Oct 3, 2013 by Carol Winkel

Idaho _2

In a recently released analysis, the Bonneville Power Administration set out to answer a simple question: How much would the agency have paid on the spot power market for the same amount of energy it saved from FY 2001 through FY 2011?

According to the report, “BPA’s analysis demonstrates that, in the absence of the energy efficiency efforts…the agency’s costs would be higher by approximately $750 million to $1.7 billion* over a 20-year period.” The range takes into account different assumptions, but if you assumed flat Mid-Columbia trading hub prices and flat annual energy savings, the net benefit is about $1.2 billion.

That’s a significant financial savings for the agency and its customers. And there are other benefits, too. The analysis found that efficiency provides long-term value through the avoided costs of developing new resources or having to purchase power in the market where prices can be volatile. “Every kilowatt-hour of energy efficiency acquired today is a kilowatt-hour that does not need to be purchased or generated tomorrow, the next day, and any day throughout the life of the measure…and creates long-term cost savings for BPA’s customers.”

In a presentation to the Council in August, Richard Genece, vice president of energy efficiency at BPA, noted that the analysis was a year-long, collaborative project that included the participation of several utility stakeholders, as well as consultation with the Council’s energy analysts. 

“It’s sometimes a struggle to define an economic basis for investing in energy efficiency,” said Genece. “We wanted to see what it looks like at both a regional and utility level.” 

The analysis, which is something that the Council and others in the region have encouraged the agency to do, consists of two parts. One is the analysis covering the financial impact of energy efficiency for BPA. The second part is a model developed for utilities to use for their own evaluation of energy efficiency cost savings. It’s designed for the agency’s load-following customers only, and is meant to be used with BPA’s assistance. 

“This model can be a tool for general managers and boards to look objectively at energy efficiency at a utility level,” said Genece. 

Elaborating on the analysis, Josh Warner, manager of planning and evaluation for energy efficiency at BPA, noted that it was a tool that can help a utility examine its overall service territory to determine how much is saved. He emphasized that it was not a rate analysis, but a revenue requirement analysis. 

For now, says Genece, BPA intends to test the analysis to get feedback on how helpful it is and what could be changed to improve it. General roll-out of the financial impact model is scheduled for early autumn. 

“We see this as a tool to aid decisionmaking for utilities, decrease the debate around the economic basis for energy efficiency, and hopefully move that discussion forward.” 

*net present value in 2011

Solid-state Lighting Could Reach 40 Percent of U.S. Market by 2020

posted Oct 1, 2013 by Carol Winkel


Charlie Grist, senior analyst, gave an update to the power committee on the advances in solid-state lighting. Improvements in cost and performance have spurred LED product development into new areas and innovative applications. Global forecasts expect the LED market share, currently about 3 percent in the U.S., to approach 40 percent by 2020

Could LEDs Dominate Lighting Technology?

DOE Forecast: LEDs 74& of Lighting Sold By 2030

Sorting Out the Effects of Dams and the Ocean on Salmon Survival

posted Sep 27, 2013 by Carol Winkel

Fall Chinook BON WA Side Sept . 2013 -2

David Welch, Kitama Research Services, presented the findings of a paper he coauthored on dam passage and salmon survival. The research, which used acoustic tags, compared the survival of Snake River salmon smolts (that pass through hydrosystem dams) to migrating Yakima River smolts in the estuary and coastal ocean environments. Their research found no evidence for delayed mortality from dam passage, as commonly assumed. Welch speculated that the survival difference in adult returns may be ocean related. As the paper notes, "Columbia River salmon managers will need to recognize that the survival problem may be on a scale far larger than that of the Columbia River basin."

As a counterpart to this research, Dr. Steve Haesecker, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, and Margaret Filardo, Fish Passage Center, presented the results of a long-term salmon life-cycle study that includes data on smolt-to-adult return rates and experimental spill management at the eight federal mainstem dams on the Snake and Columbia rivers. According to Dr. Haesecker, their analyses support additional spill to improve salmon survival.

2013 is a good year for salmon so far, with some exceptions

posted Sep 25, 2013

Eagle Creek Spawners 9-21-13

 These salmon are ready to spawn in Eagle Creek, Oregon, a mile upstream of Bonneville Dam

            The number of adult salmon counted crossing Bonneville Dam in 2013 topped 1 million fish yesterday, September 24, a great accomplishment. Eighty-two percent of those 1,006,619 fish (830,177) were fall Chinook, the biggest run of fall Chinook counted at Bonneville since the dam was completed and counting began in 1938. The fall Chinook run continues through the end of October so that total is going to increase.

            What about the other species of salmon in the river -- spring and summer Chinook, coho, and sockeye? How did they do, and for several, how are they still doing this year?

            Here’s a quick review of those Bonneville 2013 counts through September 24, with data from the Columbia River Data Access in Real Time (DART) website maintained by the University of Washington:

  • Spring Chinook: 83,299, just 59 percent of the average over the last 10 years, 2003-2013 (run completed May 31)
  • Summer Chinook: 93,097, 105 percent of the 10-year average (run completed July 31)
  • Coho: 26,277, just 36 percent of the year-to-date 10-year average, but that run continues into the fall so the number will grow
  • Sockeye: 185,505, 104 percent of the year-to-date 10-year average (run continues)

            Steelhead, which also are continuing to arrive, were at 219,356 through yesterday, a so-far disappointing 64 percent of the year-to-date 10-year average.

            So it’s not been a bad year overall for salmon and steelhead, with some notable exceptions. Many factors contribute to salmon survival, including high spring river flows when the fish migrate to the ocean as juveniles, spill of juvenile fish over dams, good ocean conditions, ongoing projects to improve fish passage at dams and the habitat where fish spawn, and improved survival of fish produced in hatcheries.

            But why some runs flourish in the same year others don’t remains largely a mystery. The best guess is that it has something to do with conditions in the ocean and the conditions the fish experienced both in their spawning and rearing habitat and in the rivers when they migrated to the ocean.


Recommendations pour in to amend fish and wildlife program

posted Sep 24, 2013 by John Harrison

Sockeye Underwater At Redfish Lake

These sockeye salmon have returned to Redfish Lake in Idaho to spawn, produced and supported through a project in the Council's fish and wildlire program.

The Northwest Power and Conservation Council received 481 recommendations to amend its Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program by the September 17 deadline for proposals. The recommendations addressed a broad number of issues, including protected areas (protected from future hydropower development), blocked-area salmon reintroduction, spill at dams to help juvenile fish migrate to the ocean, hatchery policies and practices, habitat improvements, toxic contamination of rivers and streams, climate-change impacts on fish and wildlife, and the effects of invasive aquatic species including zebra and quagga mussels.

The Council’s fish and wildlife program directs more than $250 million a year to mitigate the impacts of hydropower dams on fish and wildlife in the Columbia River Basin and is funded by the federal Bonneville Power Administration.

The Council posted the amendment proposals on its website and is accepting public comments on them through November 20. The Council plans to produce a draft amended program for public review and comment on February 17, 2014 and adopt the final program revision on July 17.

Some proposals, including one from American Rivers, encourage the Council to write into the program a spill experiment as recommended by federal, state, and tribal biologists through the Comparative Survival Study as a means of testing whether increasing spill leads to increased survival of juvenile salmon and steelhead. The Council also is urged to play a role in restoring more natural floodplain functions on the mainstem Columbia River by writing into the program dam operations that yield a hydrograph closer to that of a natural river.

Many proposals recommend that the Council maintain, strengthen, and expand the protected-areas rule, and also endorse the reintroduction of salmon and steelhead into areas blocked by dams, such as above Chief Joseph and Grand Coulee dams. Proposals also recommend that the program endorse further research and actions to adapt to impacts of climate change on fish and wildlife, including altered river flows and habitat.

The Bonneville Power Administration recommended the program incorporate, as it has in the past, the spill and dam-passage strategies, performance standards, and inriver survival targets for ESA-listed salmon and steelhead reflected in the 2008 Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion. Bonneville also recommended that the program streamline the Independent Scientific Review Panel (ISRP) process for reviewing projects that implement the program and also continue to support the use of hatcheries to reintroduce and reestablish extirpated runs and species (a technique known as supplementation) and to raise fish to substitute for salmon in blocked areas.

The Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission (CRITFC) also supported supplementation, recommending that the Council “support hatchery programs that make progress to recover and rebuild salmon runs, such as supplementation, and question all other programs as a risky foundation for restoration.” CRITFC also recommended that the program put more emphasis on reducing toxic contamination that affects fish. Dams contribute to water toxicity by trapping contaminated sediment and by reducing dissolved oxygen levels, according to the CRITFC recommendation.

Fall Chinook salmon run is historic

posted Sep 23, 2013 by John Harrison

Fall Chinook BON WA Side Sept . 2013 -2

Salmon crowd the fish ladder on the Washington side of Bonneville Dam, Sept. 21, 2013

Fall Chinook salmon are returning to the Columbia River this year and crossing Bonneville Dam in numbers not seen since the dam was completed and counting began in 1938. The Bonneville count, already at nearly 900,000 fish by mid-September with about a month left in the run, is expected to top 1 million fish, nearly 400,000 more than any previous year in 75 years of fish-counting at the dam.  In one day, Sept. 9, 63,780 fall Chinook were counted crossing the dam.

Chinook returning to tributaries in the 140 miles of river downstream of the dam add to the huge run.

State and tribal biologists attribute the historic run to several factors, including high spring river flows when the fish migrated to the ocean as juveniles two to five years ago, spill of juvenile fish over dams, good ocean conditions, ongoing projects to improve habitat where fish spawn, and improved survival of fish produced in hatcheries.

The fall run includes wild fish headed to the Hanford Reach, the free-flowing stretch of the Columbia downstream of Priest Rapids Dam, and also hatchery fish returning to production facilities and release sites in central Washington along the Columbia and southeastern Washington and central Idaho on the Snake River.

Guy Norman, regional director of the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife in Vancouver, was quoted in a news story saying the historic run of upriver fall Chinook is “a positive sign that regional efforts to rebuild this salmon population are making a difference.”

Chinook crossing Bonneville Dam between August 1 and mid-October are classified as the fall run.

Council recommends continued funding of Lake Roosevelt kokanee production

posted Sep 11, 2013 by John Harrison

The Northwest Power and Conservation Council approved a proposal by the Spokane Tribe of Indians to continue producing kokanee -- freshwater sockeye salmon -- and releasing the fish into Lake Roosevelt behind Grand Coulee Dam. Kokanee provide a culturally important fishery for tribal members.

The Council’s Independent Scientific Review Panel recommended against continued funding of the kokanee production program in July because the panel considered the tribe’s management plan insufficient and problems in Lake Roosevelt difficult if not impossible to overcome. But the tribe plans to work with its co-managers, the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife and the Confederated Colville Tribes, to respond to the science panel’s concerns and meet production goals. A key challenge is the fact that Lake Roosevelt is a reservoir that fluctuates in both elevation and the velocity of water flow because of Grand Coulee Dam operations. The tribe’s challenge is to raise fish in that difficult, complex environment.

Kokanee, which are a type of salmon, are important to the Spokane Tribe because Grand Coulee Dam (1941), and later Chief Joseph Dam (1955), blocked access to ocean-going salmon, vastly reducing the tribe’s historic fishery on those species. The tribe chose to mitigate the impact of the dams with kokanee so that tribal members would have access to a salmon species for subsistence and as a cultural resource.

The annual budget for the ongoing kokanee production, which is funded by the Bonneville Power Administration through the Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program, is less than $200,000 per year.

Tagging Sturgeon in Astoria

posted Aug 22, 2013

research boat

The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, along with other state and tribal partners, capture and tag sturgeon to assess the population and distribution of white sturgeon in the lower to mid-Columbia River. The work is funded through state and federal dollars.

On a grey day in August 2013, Council staffers Lynn Palensky and Melissa Shavlick accompanied researchers on their stock assessment trip in the estuary. All the sturgeon caught that day would have been of legal size in an open recreational fishery, but due to declining numbers, the sturgeon season was closed on June 2013.

circle hooks

Circle hooks, which are specially designed to minimize hooking mortality, are baited with squid and left underwater over night. 

weighing sturgeon

The sturgeon are quickly weighed and measured and examined for an existing PIT tag that will tell if they've been counted before. PIT tags are like the micro chips used on pets.

PIT tag injection

If the sturgeon already has a tag, it's scanned into a database. If it doesn't have a PIT tag, the fish is injected with one.


As a visul mark, one of the armored plates along the sturgeon's side is removed, creating an easy to spot scar. 

sturgeon side

The armoured plate is called a scute (pronounced "scoot") and the same scute is removed on each fish. The fish are handled quickly and with care, and placed immediately back in the water once the data are collected.


A view from the boat, Astoria and the bridge in the distance.

Sustainability report notes Council successes

posted Aug 21, 2013

A new report by the National Research Council proposes a decision-making framework for government policy-makers and regulators for decision-making related to long-term sustainability of natural resources and highlights the successful collaboration of the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and the Bonneville Power Administration to protect and enhance fish and wildlife affected by hydropower dams in the Columbia River Basin.

Sustainability for the Nation: Resource Connections and Governance Linkages, produced by the Committee on Sustainability Linkages in the Federal Government, begins with the premise that federal agencies are not well-organized to address sustainability challenges such as ensuring sufficient fresh water, food, energy, housing, health, and education while maintaining ecosystems and biodiversity for future generations. To develop its decision-making framework, which includes social, economic, and environmental aspects of sustainability, the committee met with experts at public sessions across the nation including one in Seattle in February that addressed sustainability challenges and government responses in Puget Sound and the Columbia River Basin. Phil Rockefeller, a Washington member of the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and chair of the Council’s Fish and Wildlife Committee, gave a presentation about the Council and its work at that meeting.

The report includes a favorable review of the Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program (on Pages 56 and 57), noting that the program has “protected and restored habitat for both anadromous and resident fish, launched innovative hatchery and harvest programs, and raised annual fish counts, although not to the very high levels that preceded dam construction.” The report also says the Council “has been successful at integrating decision-making across diverse sectors — energy, habitat restoration, irrigation, and cultural practices — and at engaging diverse publics.”

In a sense, the Council’s planning emphasizes sustainability, even though the word is not in the Northwest Power Act, the 1980 law that authorized the four Northwest states to create the Council. The Power Act directs the Council to produce a Northwest Power Plan to assure the region an adequate, efficient, economical, and reliable power supply, and a program as part of the power plan to protect, mitigate, and enhance fish and wildlife affected by hydropower dams in the Columbia River Basin, the largest contributor to the regional power supply.

Among its recommendations, the committee said a national sustainability policy should be developed to guide executive agencies in addressing governance linkages on complex sustainability problems. The committee also recommended that government agencies should support innovations in efforts to address sustainability issues by identifying key administrative, programmatic, funding, and other barriers and developing ways to reduce them.

Bonneville, Corps of Engineers issue draft regional recommendation on Columbia River Treaty

posted Jun 27, 2013 by John Harrison


Today the United States Entity under the Columbia River Treaty announced a “working draft of a regional recommendation” for the future of the treaty, which the United States and Canada ratified in 1964. The working draft regional recommendation is available for public comment through August 16.

The treaty has no expiration date but either country can modify or terminate the treaty in 2024, 60 years after ratification, with 10 years’ notice to the other country. Thus, the earliest opportunity to provide such notice is next year.

The Bonneville Power Administration and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, comprising the United States Entity under the treaty, and the Province of British Columbia, representing the Canadian Entity, have been working for several years to consider the future of the treaty. The working draft released today is the first step toward a final recommendation the U.S. Entity intends to make to the Department of State this December.

The work of the U.S. Entity involves input from the Sovereign Review Team, which includes designated representatives of the four Northwest states, 11 federal agencies, and 15 tribes. While the U.S. Entity and the Sovereign Review Team have not reached agreement on all parts of the draft recommendation, discussions continue and there is tentative agreement on a number of points.

We have compiled these points of agreement, and also those for which agreement has yet to be achieved, in a brief synopsis. The synopsis also includes a link to a paper issued this week by the Province of British Columbia detailing the Canadian perspective on the range of benefits the United States receives from coordination of dam operations in both countries under the treaty.

Television energy efficiency is improving dramatically

posted Jun 21, 2013 by John Harrison

Imagine a 46-inch TV that costs just $12 a year to operate.

In the Sixth Northwest Power Plan (2010), the Council identified improving energy efficiency of televisions as a major source of reduced demand for electricity over the 20-year horizon of the plan. Turns out that the energy efficiency of televisions is improving a lot quicker than expected. Televisions made today use about half as much electricity as sets made just three years ago -- even after adjusting for an increase in average screen size.

Moreover, the market share of Energy Star or better televisions increased from less than 20 percent in 2009 to nearly 100 percent in 2012, despite the fact that the Energy Star specifications became increasingly stringent over that time, according to a report by the Council’s power planning staff.

Many parties contributed to this success. In 2009, the California Energy Commission adopted new efficiency standards for televisions that went into effect in two phases -- first in 2011 and then in 2013. Because of the size of the California market, the impact was evident throughout the industry as those standards took effect. The California action gave a boost to efforts of the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance, which worked with major electronics retailers and manufacturers to increase the share of high-efficiency televisions on display and ordered for inventory. These efforts, in combination with the improved national Energy Star specifications and revolutionary advances in technology led to the rapid improvements in television efficiency, according to the report.

In the Sixth Plan, the Council assumed efficiency improvements in televisions would account for 390 average megawatts, or 6.6 percent, of the efficiency goal of 5,900 average megawatts over the 20 years of the plan. Television savings were anticipated to contribute  approximately 36 average megawatts, or about 3 percent, of the efficiency goal for the first five years of the plan, 1,200 average megawatts. However, regional savings from televisions from 2010 through 2012 already total 56 average megawatts and are anticipated to grow to over 116 average megawatts by 2015.

Appeals court hears oral arguments in petition over Sixth Power Plan

posted Jun 11, 2013 by John Harrison

June 7 in Seattle, a three-judge panel of the Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals heard oral arguments in a petition filed by the Northwest Resource Information Center challenging the Council’s Sixth Northwest Power Plan. The Council adopted the plan in 2010.

The petitioner, a non-profit based in Eagle, Idaho, challenged the way the Council incorporated fish and wildlife measures and analyzed the environmental costs of power resources in the resource strategy the Council created in the power plan.

The Council’s General Counsel, John Shurts, argued in response that the Northwest Power Act, which tells the Council how to develop the power plan, requires the Council to use the fish and wildlife measures developed prior to the power plan in the separate fish and wildlife program planning process, which includes deference to the recommendations of the fish and wildlife agencies and tribes, and not to “revisit” those measures in the power plan. And the Act directs the Council, in developing the power plan, to analyze the environmental costs of new resources, not existing hydrosystem resources, as NRIC also asserted, Shurts said. And finally, in response to another claim by NRIC, Shurts noted that the Council included in the power plan information on how Bonneville reports the cost of implementing the fish and wildlife program for information purposes only. Under the Act that information had no relevance to the power plan’s new resource strategy or any other element of the power plan.

A recording of the oral arguments is available on the court website. A decision from the court likely will be many months away.

Symposium Highlights Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the Electricity Sector

posted Jun 5, 2013


Left to right: Oregon Council member Bill Bradbury; Power Planning Division Director Charlie Black; Elizabeth Kopits, economist with the EPA

The Council's June 4 symposium on greenhouse gas emissions by the electricity sector brought utility, state and federal agency, and energy groups together to discuss the challenges surrounding this key planning issue.

Speakers included Elizabeth Kopits, an economist with the Environmental Protection Agency, who described the federal interagency approach to estimating the social costs of GHG emissions--something the Obama administration has made a priority. She provided an overview of the different models used to calculate costs, including updated analyses and cost estimates that were released at the end of May.

In terms of how the Council could use this information in developing the Seventh Power Plan, Kopits said it could help calculate the social benefits of GHG reductions on an incremental basis. 

Panels addressed how state agencies and utilities are dealing with the GHG issue. While there are different perspectives and approaches depending on their respective responsibilities, common themes emerged: Retirement of aging coal plants and the growing role of natural gas-fired generation, as well as an emphasis on energy efficiency and development of renewable resources to meet renewable portfolio standards.

Clint Kalich of Avista noted in his presentation that "We're facing a different wholesale market with carbon costs." In his estimation, mandating renewable portfolio standard targets was the least efficient way to reduce emission levels. "Retiring coal plants is better,” he said “but maybe we need to ask ourselves if there isn't a better way to do it."

As if to illustrate this point, Dave Clement of Seattle City Light said that his utility’s lowest net cost portfolio included wind generation and natural gas. Although it had higher CO2 costs than the portfolio with renewable resources and energy efficiency, the ability to sell their surplus generation offset those costs.

The possible effects of climate change on the hydrosystem were also discussed. Reduced snowpack and earlier runoff, combined with warmer summers, have been forecast as potential consequences.

The Council has scheduled more symposiums on key topics that will help in developing the next power plan. We’d like to hear your thoughts. What did you find most interesting? Add your take on the information and continue the conversation. 

Habitat Tours Focus on Results

posted May 31, 2013

Meacham Creek , PeopleMeacham Creek in the Umatilla River Basin, northeast Oregon 

This spring, Council staff and members of its Independent Scientific Review Panel toured a number fish and wildlife projects in the Columbia River Basin. 

The Council's fish and wildlife program, funded by the Bonneville Power Administration, works to protect and enhance fish and wildlife that have been affected by hydropower dams. Bonneville’s direct spending on projects that implement the program totaled $250 million in Fiscal Year 2012.

The purpose of these geographic reviews of habitat restoration in the basin is to check on their progress and assess how well they're meeting the goals of the program, and how well they align with federal and state recovery efforts.

"Getting a broad base of people to work together has been the key to progress," says Erik Merrill, ISRP coordinator for the Council. "There are a lot of interests involved in the work, from tribes and landowners to state and federal agencies." 

Meacham Creek , UmatillaThe Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation sponsor work to reconnect channels and plant vegetation along streams.


 Pole Creek , Sawtooth Mts ., Idaho , Irrigation Diversion , Grazing Management

Pole Creek, with the Sawtooth Mountains in the distance, in southwestern Idaho. Work along the creek includes irrigation diversions and grazing management.


 Lemhi , Beaver Head Mts . Part Of Bitterroot Range , Channel Reconnect

The Lemhi River in east-central Idaho and the Beaverhead Mountains, part of the Bitterroot Mountain Range, in the distance. Work to reconnect stream channels is done through a coordinated effort by the Idaho Office of Species Conservation, Idaho Fish and Game, the Idaho Department of Water Resources, and the Custer Soil and Water District.


 Lemhi , Sagebrush & Mts.Council staff and ISRP members visit project sites to check on progress. Lemhi Mountains in the distance.


 Lemhi Mts ., Riparian Fencing , Irrigation Diversion

Lemhi Mountains and view of riparian fencing.


Lemhi Cowgirl 

Even cowgirls get to tour!


Lemhi River Basin 

 The end

Sustainability Is Success

posted May 29, 2013

Confluence Of The Klickitat And Columbia Rivers

In an upcoming interview in the Council Quarterly, Chris Wood, who serves on the Council’s Independent Science Review Panel and the Independent Science Advisory Board, talks about some of the key findings in the science groups’ review of the Council’s 2009 Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program. The Council has begun the process to amend the program, and their report highlights the challenges ahead.

Dr. Wood, scientist emeritus with the Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Canada, is an expert in genetics and ecology of Pacific salmon and other marine fish. Here's a short excerpt.

Q: Sustainability is an overarching concern, and the threats seem to be far-reaching, even global, in nature—from climate change to the spread of non-native species. So there’s an emphasis on monitoring and evaluating these changes. Is there a tension between the M&E focus and on-the-ground actions?

Wood: I can understand decisionmakers experiencing that tension, the need to maximize investments. But we’re taking a longer view. And we’re emphasizing that success is a process, not a completed state. We can’t expect the future to be the same as today, and we need to be able to adapt. We go to some length to explain the importance of sustaining benefits rather than maximizing benefits. What do we mean by sustainability? The likelihood that a system of resource use will persist indefinitely without decline in the social benefits it delivers. So, sustainability has two aspects: The resilience to absorb disturbance without shifting to some new state; and adaptability or the capacity to cope with changes and to avoid undesirable outcomes. Knowledge from monitoring and evaluation will be critical to protecting diversity and keeping our options open.

Q: Is this a shift from wanting to control or manage nature? It sounds like a “less is more” strategy.

Wood: The command and control approach fails in the long term. It comes down to recognizing that when you try to fix things without full knowledge, you may suffer long-term effects that you hadn’t foreseen. The best course is to keep your options open, with the goal to help keep what you have, rather than trying to maximize production in the short term. We need to think longer term in order to improve outcomes down the road. Don’t engage in actions that close options, because you are likely to lose something in the longer term. There aren’t many places in the world undertaking restoration studies on this scale; as a Canadian, I’m impressed.


How to Build a Power Plan: Begin With the Basics

posted May 17, 2013

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Since arriving last spring as the Council’s new power division director, Charlie Black has focused a lot of his attention on meeting people; to introduce himself, naturally, but also to listen to what they think. One of the biggest messages from people across the board was a desire for stronger communication and participation in the Council’s power planning process. 

“The mid-term assessment of the Sixth Power Plan, which we completed not too long ago, was successful largely because of our extensive outreach,” said Black. The assessment was an opportunity to revisit the plan’s assumptions, see what had changed over the last two years, and start to think about the next power plan. 

One way the division has sought to prepare Council members for the task ahead, a few who are new to their roles, has been through primers on key topics. 

So far, topics have included carbon emissions, power system capacity, and gas-fired generation. An early primer on power system flexibility, one of the key issues for the Seventh Power Plan to address, began by defining basic terms like “energy” and “peaking capacity,” and then described how system operators keep load and generation in balance. 

Almost 8,500 megawatts of wind generation has been added to the Northwest’s system, and integrating this intermittent resource presents challenges, both in the need for more system flexibility, and capacity, to manage up and down fluctuations in its output. 

Expect more information like this in the future to keep people updated and to encourage discussion on all the building blocks to developing the Seventh Power Plan.

Taking the Puzzlement Out of Scientific Communication

posted Apr 30, 2013

Piece Of The Puzzle

Last week, the Council's power division viewed an excellent video on the importance of communicating scientific information to the public. 

It's part of what Power Division Director Charlie Black calls prep work for the next power plan.

"Being able to explain how we develop the plan, its major components, and how different decisions interconnect, will be critical for helping people understand why it matters and how it affects them," said Black.

In the video, actor Alan Alda talks about the importance of connecting the public to science. He discovered through hosting the PBS program Scientific American Frontiers, that the best way for him to understand the complex subject matter was through informal conversations, not scripted lectures.

It's a humorous and heartfelt reflection on why there seems to be a wall, a disconnect, between scientists--or specialists of all kinds for that matter--and the public. You might say we're speaking two different languages. But Alda makes the case for why we must bridge the understanding gap, not just to nurture trust between the public and the science community, but to advance scientific understanding among scientists, too.

The Council's planning includes outreach to the public to begin that two-way converstion; to share information, listen to the concerns of people, and involve them in making important decisions about our energy future. The mid-term assessment of the last power plan was an example of this engagement, and it helped bring into focus some of the most important issues for the next plan to address.

We want to continue to do a better job of reaching people. Some ideas we have for communicating technical information include blog updates, interactive digital projects, and primers on key topics. What have you found to be effective communication tools? We'd love to hear your thoughts. In the meantime, stay tuned to our website for the latest information on building the Seventh Power Plan.

A Northwest Guide to Energy Efficiency

posted Apr 1, 2013

Energy Efficiency -ThumbnailFor more than a generation, the Pacific Northwest has been a leader in acquiring energy efficiency. Since 1978, the region has reduced electricity demand by more than 5,100 average megawatts, about half the region's load growth--more than enough to power four Seattles.

One of the reasons for this success has been the unique role that the Regional Technical Forum plays in providing a systematic way to validate energy efficiency savings.

Created in 1999 as an advisory committee to help the region meet the Council's targets for cost-effective energy efficiency, the forum uses a set of detailed guidelines for estimating savings. The savings are peer-reviewed so it's clear how the forum determined a measure's energy savings. Members include representatives from the Bonneville Power Administration, utilities, and energy organizations.

"My impression was that the forum was the designated authority on measures, but I learned that's not really the case," said Scott Williams, a senior market analyst at Puget Sound Energy in Bellevue, Washington, and a new member fo the forum.

"It's an advisory group that provides expertise that can be used by utilities and others. My understanding is that going to our state utilities commission with measures that have been blessed by the forum reduces our risk to almost a certainty that the claimed savings will be honored. That's a good thing for us."

Learn more about the forum in the upcoming Council Quarterly.

Food Web Report Finds Wider Audience

posted Nov 30, 2012 by Carol Winkel

A report on the importance of food webs to ecosystem health and  fish restoration efforts in the Columbia River Basin, written by the Council's Independent Scientific Advisory Board last year, has recently been published as an article for an international audience in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences journal.

As noted in an earlier blog post by lead author Dr. Robert J. Naiman, a University of Washington professor of acquatic and fishery sciences, "food webs fuel that ecosystem," underpinning the productivity and resiliency of the basin's fisheries.

The report's appearance in the journal will help bring more attention to this critical factor.

"The Northwest Power and Conservation Council has a strong fish and wildlife program that is based on what's called the four Hs--hatcheries, harvest, hydrosystem, and habitat," said Naiman.

"Our suggestion is that the program needs to incorporate food web concerns to improve its effectiveness."

The Forces Driving Lower Carbon Emissions

posted Oct 29, 2012 by Carol Winkel

Langley Gulch Power Plant in southwest Idaho

One of the trends since the release of the Council's Sixth Power Plan in 2010 has been reduced carbon emissions from the electricity sector.

In a recent presentation on CO2 emissions, Power Division Director Charlie Black talked about the forces driving this reduction.

A major factor is the increasing use of gas-fired generation made possible by low-cost natural gas from shale. When gas-fired generation displaces coal-fired generation, carbon emissions are reduced in two ways. First, natural gas contains less carbon than an equivalent amount of coal. Second, modern gas-fired power plants convert each unit of fuel into electricity more efficiently than older coal-fired power plants.

Black also noted that the economy is becoming less energy-intensive, which further contributes to lower carbon emissions. The region's success in acquiring energy efficiency and growing renewable resources like wind are also factors in lowering emissions.

The shift is happening nationally as well. A recent report by the Brattle Group found that coal retirement projections are even more sensitive to future market conditions than to regulations. The new study finds that 59,000 to 77,000 megawatts of coal plant capacity are likely to retire over the next five years--about 20 percent of U.S. coal-fired generating capacity. Brattle also calculates that a $1 drop in gas price would double the magnitude of coal plant closures.

"Overall, the Brattle Group report is the latest signal that we appear to have moved into a phase where the composition of the nation's power generating fleet is undergoing a major change," notes Black.

"Many of the coal plants most likely to retire are older, less efficient units, which will be replaced largely by new, lower carbon-emitting natural gas-fired plants. As a result, we can probably expect to see further significant decreases in the total output of carbon dioxide from the U.S. electricity sector."

What's Changed in the Energy Environment

posted Aug 24, 2012 by Carol Winkel

Since the Council released its Sixth Power Plan in 2010, a lot has happened.

The mid-term assessment of the plan, a blueprint to an economical and reliable power system, will take stock of the changes and how they affect the Council's planning.

At the August Council meeting, Power Division Director Charlie Black presented a series of narratives that the division prepared to help make sense of the complex, and often interrelated, issues we face. The narratives provide a snapshot of the major trends affecting energy, from electricity demand and natural gas prices, to energy efficiency achievements and efforts to reduce greenhouse gases. Together they help paint the big picture and highlight key issues of concern in the energy community today.

We'll be highlighting different topics in the future to keep you informed of our progress. A draft report is scheduled for release in November.

Natural Gas Prices Expected to Stay Low

posted Jul 19, 2012 by Carol Winkel

 The Council has released a revised forecast for fuel prices. The important message for consumers is that the downward price forecast for natural gas should help keep electricity prices down as well.

New technologies to access natural gas trapped in shale formations, also known as "fracking," has improved the supply outlook for this fuel. Development has taken off in the past few years, creating a glut in the market that should last for several years and depress prices.

But, says Massoud Jourabchi, manager of economic analysis for the Council, the market has demonstrated a clear tendency toward volatility. Citing the recent tightening in natural gas prices, due in part to higher demand from electric utilities, he notes "It's important to remember that the market can change quickly."

The range of forecasts reflects continued uncertainty about the development of shale gas, its costs and environmental effects, as well as the speed of economic recovery.

While the revision lowers the forecast for electricity prices, and to some degree changes the fuel competition between natural gas and electricity, the Council doesn't expect its resource strategy to change as a result, but this will be evaluated during the Council's mid-term assessment of the power plan.

The Pacific Northwest's Clean Energy Footprint

posted Jun 25, 2012 by Carol Winkel


As little as thirty years ago, the only resources energy planners considered to meet future demand were coal and nuclear. People couldn't imagine any other options.

Today, the Pacific Northwest uses other kinds of generation. The system is still hydro-based, with the Bonneville Power Administration playing a dominant role marketing the power from the federal hydrosystem, but natural gas and wind are now growing resources.

<< See this infographic as PDF

Perhaps most remarkable has been the impact of energy efficiency. It's now our third largest resource, contributing 16 percent of the region's energy. Combined with what the federal hydrosystem generates, 70 percent of the region's electricity demand is met with clean energy.

Construction Barges Contaminated With Invasive Mussels Heading to Seattle

posted Apr 13, 2012 by Carol Winkel

Up close photo of a contaminated barge

We've reported on the threat of invasive quagga mussels in an earlier post, and it looks like that threat has never been greater. Forty-one barges are set to arrive in Seattle, Washington, and they appear to be infested with the destructive species.

According to Karen Vargas, wildlife staff specialist with the Nevada Department of Wildlife, trucks shipping the barges from Lake Mead, Nevada will be arriving throughout the weekend; the last shipment is scheduled to arrive on Monday, April 16.

Floating construction “barges” transported by truck. They bolt together and float on the water to support construction equipmentThe Vegas Tunnel Construction Company is responsible for the barges, and although the company claims that the barges have been cleaned, photographs taken by diligent inspectors with the Idaho Transportation Department show otherwise.

For now, the Washington State Department of Fish and Wildlife and Nevada Department of Wildlife have been in contact with the owners of the barges and are developing a plan to ensure that the barges are properly cleaned before leaving Nevada and re-inspected once they arrive in Washington.

These mussels spread rapidly and can quickly cover hard surfaces, smothering other aquatic life and clogging water system infrastructures. It's not exaggerating to say that the costs of an infestation, both financially and to the ecosystem, would be enormous.

We'll keep you updated.

Independent Scientists Complete Review of Fish and Wildlife Proposals

posted Apr 6, 2012

The Northwest Power and Conservation Council’s panel of independent scientists recently completed a review of 71 projects to implement the Council’s Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program over the next several years, finding that just 14 of them “meet scientific criteria,” meaning that they can go ahead without additional refinements. Thirty-seven others met scientific criteria with qualifications, meaning that the project proponents need to answer questions raised by the panel, and three proposed projects did not meet scientific criteria, according to the11-member Independent Scientific Review Panel. The ISRP earlier gave the OK to 17 other project proposals.

Most of the 71 ongoing projects help resident fish; the other projects concern data management  and program coordination. The ISRP also reported on issues related to non-native fish management, trout-stocking strategies, and monitoring and evaluation of projects.

The Council and the Bonneville Power Administration use the review to ensure that projects meet the requirements of the program and federal biological opinions.

The ISRP will present its findings at the Council’s April 10-11 meeting. The Council will discuss the findings and the project proposals at its May and June meetings, and then make funding recommendations to Bonneville at the June or July meetings.

California Sea Lions at Bonneville Dam Aren't the Problem

posted Mar 22, 2012

Steller sea lion

There's a common perception that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's decision to allow Oregon, Washington, and Idaho to kill California sea lions at Bonneville Dam addresses the fish predation problem there. But right now, most of the damage is being done by Steller sea lions, not California sea lions. And it's sturgeon they are mostly eating, not salmon.

According to the Army Corps of Engineers' latest status report on pinniped predation at the dam, "California sea lions have remained scarce so far this year...We have documented approximately 45 different Steller sea lions visiting the dam so far and seven California sea lions."

The Steller's impact on sturgeon is a concern for fish managers worried about their toll on the population in the lower river. The fish aren't listed, but Oregon and Washington have reduced the lower river harvest in recent years because of a decline in their numbers. While the sturgeon catch is less than last year's catch at this time, at 1,189 fish it's still high. It's a difficult issue because Steller's are listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act, so they can't be harmed.

The total expanded salmonid catch, primarily by Stellers, through March 14 was 119 fish, much less than in the last six years. Last year at this time, the estimated salmon take was 185 and in 2010 it was 274. The Corps, which owns Bonneville, has been monitoring Steller and California sea lions since 2002 when they began arriving to feed on spawning salmon below the dam.  Sturgeon also mill around that area, making the estuary an easy feeding ground for the marine mammals. The Corps is only observing sea lion take in the immediate area of the tailrace below the project, not further downstream, so it's hard to know exactly how many sturgeon or salmon are falling prey to sea lions below the dam to the river's mouth. It would take many more boats and observers to try and do so.

For now, hazing is the method of deterrence for California sea lions. They're protected under the Marine Mammal Protection Act, which is why NOAA's authorization was required. As the season continues, their numbers and level of predation may increase, and if so, the states will be able to protect endangered salmon and steelhead by trapping and lethal means. It's a hard choice of last resort, but a necessary step to save a species that the region has made substantial investments to recover.

Another Good Year for Columbia River Salmon and Steelhead Runs

posted Mar 16, 2012

Washington, Oregon, and Idaho fish managers are optimistic about salmon and steelhead returns to the Columbia River Basin in 2012, with some runs predicted to return in numbers not seen in decades – particularly sockeye. State fish and wildlife agency representatives briefed the Northwest Power and Conservation Council this month on the 2011 runs and predictions for 2012. Here are some of the highlights:

  • Upriver spring Chinook: The 2012 forecast is 314,200 fish entering the Columbia -- 168,000 Snake River fish (39,100 wild) and 32,600 upper Columbia spring Chinook (2,800 wild), with the remainder of the run returning to mid-Columbia tributaries. That’s nearly 100,000 more than the 2011 run of 221,200.

  • Summer Chinook: The 2012 forecast is for 91,200 fish, which would be the highest return since at least 1980, and 135 percent of the 10-year average (67,500 adult fish). The 2011 run totaled 80,574.

  • Sockeye: The 2012 sockeye forecast is a whopping 462,000 fish, which includes 28,800 to the Wenatchee River, 431,300 to the Okanogan River, and 1,900 to the Snake River – in all, 348 percent of the recent 10-year average. The 2011 return was 187,300 fish. The 1,900-fish forecast for the Snake River would beat last year’s 1,500, which was the second-highest observed since at least 1980, trailing only the record return of 2010. That’s an impressive improvement from the 1990s, when the run dwindled to single-digit returns.

  • Upriver summer steelhead: The 2012 forecast is 380,300 fish, which is 95 percent of the 10-year average and very similar to the 2011 return.

  • Upriver fall Chinook: The estimate for 2012 is 483,500, which would be more than in 2011. The upriver-bright component, fish that spawn in the Hanford Reach primarily, is expected to be 353,300 fish, which is nearly 100,000 more than the 2000-2011 average of 257,000.

  • Snake River wild fall Chinook: The run was estimated at 14,900 in 2011, and about the same number are expected this year – approximately double the 2000-2011 average of 8,100 fish.

Council Urges Inspections at Lake Mead to Prevent Spread of Invasive Mussels

posted Feb 27, 2012

Mussels attached to gate at Davis Dam on the Colorado River

With the spring and summer boating season approaching, the Northwest Power and Conservation Council recently appealed to the directors of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and National Parks Service to use a $1 million earmark in the 2012 budget of the Fish and Wildlife Service to establish a mandatory inspection and decontamination system at the Lake Mead National Recreation Area.

Destructive zebra and quagga mussels have invaded lakes in the Southwest, notably Lake Mead on the Colorado River, and the threat that they will find their way north to the Columbia River by way of infested watercraft increases every year.

Since 2009, police agencies in the Northwest states have intercepted a large number of mussel-infested boats as their owners hauled them north in the spring and summer. The majority came from Lake Mead. The Council believes it's critical to have a containment program in place at Lake Mead before boats begin returning to Northwest waters this spring.

The dime-sized mussels grow hard shells and form rapidly into thick, mat-like colonies that can adhere to virtually any hard surface. These colonies rob nutrients from other aquatic species and can clog subsurface structures from docks and piers to water intakes at hydroelectric dams. The Bureau of Reclamation includes $1 million annually in its budget for Hoover Dam, which impounds Lake Mead, for maintenance of subsurface structures infested with mussels.

Tracking the Northwest's Power Supply

posted Feb 10, 2012

In order to plan the region's energy supply, the Council maintains a comprehensive database of generating resources. The data is updated in a workbook each day, and a portion of it is made available to the public periodically.

"We use the information in the Council's models and analyses and to assess the adequacy of the power system," says Terry Morlan, power division director.

Ken Dragoon, resource analyst and Gillian Charles, policy analyst gave a tour of the database and interactive map at this week's Council meeting.

The database is a critical tool for the Council as it develops its regional power plan, but it's also widely used by others in the Northwest, and in other parts of the country and world as well.

"The main purpose of the database is for our work, but it's one of the most complete resources available, and because of that we've found that a lot of other organizations use it," says Charles.

The database contains a wealth of information that can be filtered in a variety of ways. Several charts and graphs are also available showing the region's energy mix and historical development.

In the future, the Council hopes to continue to make the public portion of the database even easier to use, with links to other pertinent information.

"Right now, we're really focused on keeping the information updated. We'd like people to know about the database, that it's a useful tool not just for our work, but for others as well," notes Charles.

If you have information that will help us to keep the database updated, you're encouraged to contact Charles at 503-222-5161 or

Power Plan shows how to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from power plants

posted Dec 23, 2011

On December 21 the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency issued new rules to curb emissions of mercury and other toxic substances from power plants that burn coal, relying on pollution controls that are already in use at more than half of the nation’s coal-fired power plants. According to an EPA press release, power plants are the largest remaining source of air pollutants including mercury, arsenic, and cyanide. Once final, the standards will ensure the remaining plants take steps to decrease emissions of dangerous pollutants.

The Pacific Northwest does not rely on coal to generate electricity as much as other parts of the country because of our abundant supply of hydropower. Still, coal-fired generating plants represent 12.2 percent of the region’s generating capacity and 16.9 percent of the electricity generated on average throughout the year. An Oregon Public Broadcasting story breaks down the amount of coal-fired electricity generation by state in the Northwest.

The Council’s Northwest Power Plan, which guides the Bonneville Power Administration, the region’s largest electricity provider, recommends ways to reduce toxic gas emissions from power plants that burn fossil fuels, primarily carbon dioxide.

The Council’s plan explores, through various scenario analyses, what actions must be taken to meet emission targets in state law in Oregon and Washington, Washington and in the Western Climate Initiative.

There are four critical elements to those actions. First is acquiring nearly 6,000 average megawatts of energy efficiency improvements over the 20-year planning horizon (through 2029). Second is reducing reliance on coal-fired generation to about half of current levels. Third is meeting renewable-energy portfolio standards that already exist in three of the four Northwest states. Finally, the region needs to preserve the capability of the hydroelectric system to the greatest extent possible within the limits of fish and wildlife impacts and other obligations. These actions, designed to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, also will reduce emissions of other toxic air pollutants.

Former Idaho Governor Cecil Andrus Looks Back

posted Dec 13, 2011

Cecil Andrus says much has changed and much has stayed the same in the environmental and energy arenas since he was governor of Idaho–first in the 1970s, and then again in the 1990s, with four years as United States Secretary of the Interior under President Jimmy Carter in between.

Andrus, arguably Idaho’s most accomplished political leader, is the subject of a new biography written by Chris Carlson, an original member of the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and a longtime Andrus aide.

Andrus, now 80, has slowed a bit, but he's still a keen political observer who stays current on environmental and economic issues.

As a politician, he was known for being a straightshooter, and that hasn’t changed. The current Idaho Legislature is “a bunch of damn idiots” for the way lawmakers have handled–or mishandled, in his opinion–important issues such as education funding.

He’s distraught over the increasing incivility of political discourse. “Sometimes when I look at what’s going on in the political arena–the arrogance of political power when it's so dominant in one area and there is no compromise available. Power does in fact corrupt.”

But he's not a defeatist. “Obviously, I’m the eternal optimist or I would not have done what I did for 50 years.”

In an upcoming interview in the Council Quarterly, Andrus talks about the ongoing controversy over salmon and the impacts of the four federal dams on the lower Snake River. “The salmon-runs issue hasn’t really changed. There’s been a lot of scientific information and speeches made about it, but the answers are still yet to come, and that hasn’t changed.” He also speculates on what is needed to finally resolve the dispute.

He’s concerned about the accumulation of nuclear waste in Idaho. “The biggest thing I see facing us is the nuclear waste issue here in Idaho.  You gotta have a home for it, and I don’t see any home on the horizon. Although we have a 1995 agreement that says all of it will be removed by 2035, I can look you in the eye and tell you it ain’t gonna happen. Because with Yucca Mountain’s disappearance there isn’t any place for it.”


A Last Look at Condit Dam

posted Oct 24, 2011

This week, Condit Dam will go down on October 26. It will be the second-highest dam removed in the United States. Built in the early 1900s on the White Salmon River in Washington state, impounding the river removed 33 miles of steelhead habitat and 14 miles of salmon habitat. You can read more about the project in this story by the Columbian.

We were able to tour the dam recently and took some photos. Needless to say, there are are a lot of photos and video of the dam as demolition day approaches. This blog is a great resource.

But we were particularly struck by the inscription written on a wall in the powerhouse. It is a bet waged by workers on when World War II would end. Reading it, you suddenly feel the presence of the past, and it is singularly alive, vivid with meaning. It's a reminder of the the ways in which even the smallest, incidental human gestures are interwoven in the arc of history, and survive despite the odds. In this sense, sharing becomes a means of preservation.

Snohomish Opens New Small Hydro Project

posted Oct 18, 2011

Snohomish PUD commissioners press the button to start the generator and bring the facility on line

This past weekend, the Snohomish County Public Utility District opened the first new hydroelectric project in Washington state in nearly 20 years. The Youngs Creek facility, south of Sultan, has a generating capacity of 7.5 megawatts--enough to power about 2,000 homes.

"We're committed to operating this facility and other hydropower projects in a way that protects our natural environment while serving the community's need for high quality water and energy," says PUD Board of Commissioners President Dave Aldrich.

The project gives the PUD greater flexibility since it's a locally generated, reliable resource that will provide energy at times of the year when it's needed the most. It's also competitively priced compared to other green energy sources, which aligns with the Council's planning recommendations.

The Council's most recent power plan's resource strategy encourages developing "...other renewable alternatives that may be available at the local, small-scale level and are cost-effective now."

Located above a waterfall, the project doesn't affect migrating fish like salmon, and because it's close to load, it reduces the need for hundreds of miles of new transmission line, minimizing line losses and effects on the environment.

In developing the project, Snohomish worked closely with the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, other state and federal agencies, and local tribes to make sure river flows and fish were protected.

2010 Energy Efficiency Gains Set Impressive Pace

posted Oct 4, 2011

photo by Gregory Szarkiewicz

The Council's annual report on energy efficiency savings will be presented at next week's meeting, and the numbers are very encouraging.

In 2010, the region acquired 254 average megawatts of efficiency savings, the largest total ever achieved in the past three decades, almost 25 percent more than the Council's target of 200 average megawatts set in its power plan.

The Council conducts a survey of utilities, the Energy Trust of Oregon, the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance, and the Bonneville Power Administration to determine the region's aggregate efficiency savings and investments.

Another promising trend is improved savings in the commercial and industrial sectors, indicating that less reliance is now being placed on the residential sector, where savings from compact fluorescent lighting still dominates. Bonneville, and the public utilities it serves, had targeted the industrial sector, in particular, which seems to have paid off.



Pilot Project Will Test Water Heaters As "Batteries"

posted Sep 9, 2011

Historically, the Columbia River hydrosystem has enabled operators to adjust energy up or down to keep load and generation in balance. But with more wind generation coming on line, which can fluctuate quickly, planners are looking at different options to add flexibility to the system.

The Council's regional energy plan recommended exploring the possibility of demand response programs to accomplish this.

One such example is a pilot project to test the use of water heaters, space heaters, and refrigeration warehouses as "batteries" of sorts, which the Council will hear more about at its upcoming meeting.

"As far as I know, it's the only test that's ever been done in North America, and perhaps the world," says Ken Corum, senior economist for the Council.

The project will help determine if the mechanisms installed actually operate as planned to manage the storage and release of electricity in the necessary timeframes without affecting service to customers.

The test water heaters are customized with mixing valves to add cooler water to hot water and controls to monitor electricity use.

"There are over 3 million electric water heaters in the region. That's about 1/2 a kilowatt for each water heater," notes Corum. The potential added reserve is roughly 1,500 megawatts, which is more than what the Bonneville Power Administration holds now.

Bonneville is providing the major funding for the project, which should provide useful information a year from now. The Council is also a contributor. Project participants include Ecofys, EnerNOC, Spirae Inc., Pacific NW National Lab, and the Steffes Corporation.

Illuminating the Night, Saving Energy: Solid State Street Lights

posted Aug 23, 2011

Since the Council identified energy efficiency in its regional energy plan as the key resource to meet most of our future load growth, where will this efficiency come from?

We heard about some promising areas at the Council's August meeting from Claire Fulenwider, executive director of the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance, who gave a presentation on her organization's work.

NEEA's focus has been on market transformation; trying to identify and overcome the barriers to adopting energy-efficient products. The growth of compact fluorescent bulbs is one good example of their progress in this effort.

One of the technologies the organization is working to advance is solid state lighting, especially for street lights.

"Solid state street lights use 50 percent less energy than traditional lights, and with control systems another 50 percent is possible,” noted Fulenwider. This represents a potential energy efficiency resource of up to 150 average megawatts each year.

The next steps for NEEA include testing the lights for improved visual acuity and cost-effectiveness in pilot projects across the Northwest. NEEA also provides technical support to the Illuminating Engineering Society to set standards for outdoor lighting.

"Solid state lights use less energy, but may actually provide lighting that improves nighttime vision and clarity," said Fulenwider.


Tell Us How to Improve Local Fish and Wildlife Efforts

posted Aug 2, 2011

The Council's Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Program depends on local watershed plans--subbasin plans--to inform its recommendations about what projects to fund. These plans connect all the various fish and wildlife actions already underway, identify problems that need attention, and provide guidelines to direct the projects. The goal is to bring everyone involved in fish and wildlife work, or who is interested in these issues, together to help craft restoration strategies that are clear and comprehensive and that have broad public support.

To make sure the plans stay vital and relevant, we're conducting a survey (survey ended Aug 2011) to find out how we can improve them. Help us determine the best ways to update the plans and what future plans should look like and how they should function. How can we make them most useful? How can we make them easy to use and understand? Do we need a subbasin planning app? How can we make them interactive?

We've got the questions--we just need to hear what you think.

Changing Minds, Changing the Land

posted Jul 26, 2011

Donald "Bud" Hover of Winthrop, Washington, is an Okanogan County commissioner and hay farmer who also chairs the Washington state Salmon Recovery Funding Board. Here's a preview of our interview with him for the summer Council Quarterly where he describes his journey from salmon recovery skeptic to collaboration convert.

Q. Today, the Upper Columbia Salmon Recovery Plan, which the board created and implements, is viewed by many as a showpiece of how to do things right for the fish and the economy. What happened to bring about the transition from confrontation to collaboration?

It was clear that the top-down approach employed by the Fisheries Service in 1997 and 1998 was not going to work. You didn’t drive around in the Entiat or the Methow [river basins] in cars with state or federal markings because you were not very welcome there.

So several state legislators and county commissioners got together and said, “we’re going to take this on.” The Fisheries Service knew that they could create any document they wanted, and it would never be implemented here. If they really wanted to see it implemented, it had to be created from a grass-roots approach because you had to get buy-in from the local people, the people who own land along the rivers, the habitat.

I’m a long-time member of the Farm Bureau and the Cattlemen’s Association. When I ran for office, these folks formed my main constituent base. As a new member of the Upper Columbia Salmon Recovery Board, the first people to approach me voicing their opposition to the recovery plan were my own constituents. They all piled on because of the way we had been treated.

At that time, the board was within a year of having its recovery plan completed, and I basically put the brakes on it because I had people chewing on me saying it wasn’t a good thing for Okanogan County. I got a lot of support from Paul Ward, who represented the Yakamas on the board; Bill Towey who represents the Colvilles, was supportive, too, but also very impatient--he really wanted to get the thing done. The other members were very patient with me. We hired our executive director, Julie Morgan, and she started communicating and got that grass roots approach going with the people in Chelan, Douglas, and Okanogan counties, kept the state and federal agencies at bay, and pulled all this stuff together.

Fortunately, we had the Governor’s Salmon Recovery Office help coordinate the effort, but basically it started here and worked up. The success that we have had is because we took a grass-roots, bottom-up approach. Today, I believe in the collaboration process. It really, really has worked.

In order to do it, though, you’ve got to have a tough skin, a lot of patience, and an open mind. Here’s a personal example: When I first came into this, I didn’t give a damn about what the tribes cared about. In my opinion, they were saying the fish were endangered, but they had nets in the river. I didn’t know anything about their issues. Since then I’ve learned that it’s not just an economic issue with the tribes. It’s a real deep, cultural, religious issue with the tribes. I have gotten a much better understanding of their desires and needs. And I’m really happy to report, we’re seeing improved fish returns.

Ocean Study Reveals Patterns of Undersea Life

posted Jun 22, 2011

A decade-long research study in which a variety of sea animals were tagged and tracked beneath the Pacific ocean has unveiled fresh insight into a world that has remained largely hidden and unknown.

The Washington Post's story and The New York Times blog report on the study's findings, and also offer additional links and multimedia information about the study and the state of the ocean.

It's a fascinating look at where animals go and why, and it holds out hope that we can yet preserve the ocean's abundance. Quoting from the Post's story:
“It’s precedent-setting. It’s a tremendous tool for conservation and management,” said Jesse Ausubel, vice president of the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and co-founder of the Census of Marine Life.

In a week where news of another ocean study warned of the risk of extinction for many species, the tagging research points to a way forward by protecting the key areas that nourish so much sea life.

It's called protecting the best, which is why, in 1988, the Council adopted an amendment to both its fish and wildlife program and its power plan, designating some 44,000 miles of Northwest streams as "protected areas" because of their importance as critical fish and wildlife habitat.

As for the ocean:
The information revealed through electronic tagging, Ausubel said, should compel policymakers to protect these underwater animal meccas. “It’s a joy and a revelation, and it’s also a call to action.”


High Runoff Prompts Flooding, Power Concerns

posted Jun 13, 2011

According to NOAA's Northwest River Forecast Center's official June forecast, the April to August runoff at the Dalles Dam is now 126 MAF, or 135 percent of the 30-year (1971-2001) average. That's a lot of water set to flow through the Columbia River system.

While not a record, it's close to the 61-year record of 147 percent, and it's already begun to present problems for the region's power system. The combination of too much hydro generation coinciding with high winds (often at night when demand is low) has meant that the Bonneville Power Administration has had to take wind offline at times.

Episodes of over supply sometimes occur during the spring run-off, and when that happens, Bonneville can spill water rather than directing it through turbines to generate electricity. But only to a point. Passing water through the spill gates creates gas bubbles that can hurt fish, and there are legal limits on dissolved gas levels.

Council members were briefed by the Bonneville Power Administration on the power supply and spill situation at a meeting last week.

Concerns about flooding are also growing, with western Montana and the northern panhandle of Idaho hit the hardest with high flows and flooding. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers is responsible for regulating the major storage reservoirs in the U.S. and British Columbia for flood control.

"Both Libby and Hungry Horse dams are currently on a controlled flood control-refill operation to protect areas immediately downstream, such as Bonner's Ferry and Columbia Falls, and to help provide system flood control protection for the Portland-Vancouver areas," says Jim Ruff, manager, mainstem passage and river operations.

"This is one of those years when we should be thankful we have these major storage projects to provide the region with flood control," he added. "Otherwise, we'd have major flooding throughout the basin!"

Upgrading the Grid, One Step At a Time

posted Jun 7, 2011

Most of us have heard of the smart grid and have some sort of hazy understanding of it as moving the power grid into the digital age. Technologies that automatically communicate usage data to power providers make it possible to diagnose system problems quickly, provide better customer services, and improve the efficiency and reliability of the grid.

This recent post describes the need to give consumers a variety of options in order the successfully modernize the power grid.

On a trip last month to Lane Electric Co-op in Eugene, Oregon we were able to hear about their experience on the frontline of progress.

In 2006, the small electric cooperative began deploying an automated meter reading system for its 12,500 meters and 12 substations. Since then, according to Dave D'Avanzo, manager of member services, the system has paid for itself and then some.

"Going with the advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) system meant we could replace all of our aging meters," says D'Avanzo.

Lane's contracted meter readers weren't always consistent in their data gathering. And the 40-year old electromechanical meters had accuracy problems, too. For a fair percentage of the meters, the accuracy rate was only about 80 percent, and in a few cases, as low as 17 percent.

Since deploying the new system, revenue is up thanks to more accurate readings and billing. Also, their service crew no longer has to do a lot of follow-up work, re-readings, accuracy checks, and the like. "You don't want to use trained servicemen as back-up meter readers and collection personnel," notes D'Avanzo. "With the AMI system, they're doing the work they trained for; we're able to know right away what's going on with the system and deploy resources to the affected area."

Another advantage of the system has been greater transparency about energy usage for Lane's mostly residential customers. Members can monitor their daily energy use and adjust their habits accordingly. They can also get daily usage alerts via email, text message, and phone calls. The prepaid metering or pay-as-you-go program allows customers to pay for their electricity before they use it, so participants can customize their payment schedule.

"We've really just scratched the surface in terms of what the system can do," says D'Avanzo. "In the future, we hope to offer even more options for members to participate in energy efficiency and demand response programs; tools for people to control their energy use and help the system work as efficiently as possible."

Survey Signals Support for Energy-efficient Lighting

posted Apr 27, 2011

A recent consumer survey by EcoAlign, a strategic marketing agency in the energy sector, found that two-thirds of Americans feel that phasing out traditional incandescent light bulbs and replacing them with energy-efficient lights is a good idea. A majority of Americans have installed some type of energy-efficient lighting in their homes, with two-thirds having installed compact fluorescent lights in their home over the past year.

Improved efficiency will play a huge role in meeting the Pacific Northwest's future electricity demand--85 percent over the next 20 years--with lighting an important area of savings.

In its latest power plan, the Council found over 1,400 average megawatts of potential savings in the commercial sector, and nearly two-thirds are in lighting systems. New technologies like LED lights and improved lighting fixtures and controls offer added potential savings in both outdoor and indoor lighting.

As technology offers more options to consumers, savings are not only about economics, but lifestyle and comfort. EcoAlign CEO Jamie Wimberly notes, "For many, efficiency standards represent excellence and have become part of a broader narrative connected to progress."

Wind Power, Then and Now

posted Apr 18, 2011

We recently updated a very useful brochure (online interactive version) on the Pacific Northwest's power supply, and it really brought home just how fast wind power has grown in the last five years. Here are the numbers:

  • In 2006, there were 15 wind facilities with 1,588 megawatts of capacity,* contributing 2.3 percent to the region's capacity supply

  • In 2011, there are 41 generating 5,583 megawatts of capacity supplying nearly 10 percent of total supply

That's a lot of new wind power developed in a short timeframe, which has created both opportunities and challenges. Just last month, the Bonneville Power Administration reported that wind generation on its system had passed a new milestone on February 22, reaching an all-time peak of 3,006 megawatts--that's enough electricity to serve a city three times the size of Seattle. In just the last two years alone, more than 1,500 megawatts have been added.

So what does the future hold? Will wind continue to grow at this pace? Will other resources emerge, continuing to diversify our supply portfolio? Here are some thoughts from the Council's Ken Dragoon, senior resource analyst.

"We'll soon reach the 6,000 megawatts of wind generation that the wind integration forum identified in 2007, so it's time to look at how to prepare for the next 6,000."

According to Dragoon, work is underway on a number of fronts, like shorter operating periods, reducing barriers to intra-hour scheduling, and mechanisms that will allow utilities to access both generation and load flexibility, making it easier for operators to balance supply and demand and help integrate variable resources like wind.

FERC released a notice of proposed rulemaking that included using 15-minute operating periods as a tool to balance generation and load more accurately, reducing the amount of energy operators would need to keep in reserve. "It could reduce reserve requirements by about 20 percent," says Dragoon.

In another example of efforts to achieve greater system efficiencies, both WECC and the Southwest Power Pool have made progress on establishing more fluid, open markets that give participants real-time prices and dispatch signals, improving access to flexibility in existing generation around the region.

WECC has developed what it calls the efficient dispatch toolkit, which it's continuing to analyze. As for the SWPP's voluntary market, initial reviews of it have been quite positive. "It appears to have saved them a lot of money," notes Dragoon.

In the Northwest, the Bonneville Power Administration has funded a grant to look at using electric waters heaters to provide balancing services. The idea is that during short periods of over supply (when wind generation rapidly increases), the unscheduled power can go to heat water. The Milton-Freewater area has used the storage capability in water and space heaters to limit peak loads since 1985.

"Right now, we're set to test 40 water heaters with new high-tech controls in the service territories of Cowlitz PUD, the Eugene Water and Electric Board, and Lower Valley Electric Cooperative," says Dragoon. The project should be up and running sometime this June.

The over supply issue is thorny since the two obvious options after displacing fossil-fueled power plants--spilling water or curtailing wind--have downsides. Too much spill can harm fish and taking wind offline hurts the bottom line for wind operators. The Bonneville Power Administration had proposed a plan to curtail wind generation during periods of over supply, but recently put implementing it on hold to review stakeholder comments.

Still, Dragoon, who has extensive experience with renewable resources like wind, believes it's not an insurmountable obstacle. "Bonneville lacks the institutional mechanisms to deal with limiting wind generation, but its proposal is very controversial," he says. "Ultimately, the region needs to have straightforward protocols spelled out in advance."

The Council's analysis on the issue describes the challenges and outlines some possible solutions.

In the meantime, the wind integration forum will be reconvening this summer. The task at hand: How do we get to the next phase in wind's development? Some of the big picture items on their agenda will be:

  • a review of development since 2003; environmental and economic consequences

  • what actions need to happen next

  • review transmission needs

At the national level, a 2008 Department of Energy study explored the feasibility of using wind energy to generate 20 percent of the United States' electricity demand by 2030, outlining a road map to expand this renewable resource and lower carbon emissions.

Dragoon hopes the region will start thinking bigger about renewable energy. "There's a lot going on to just make the system work, but it's time to begin thinking more broadly about how to optimally design and operate our system when a significant portion of our energy comes from new renewable resources."


*The maximum amount of power that a power plant can produce at specified times under specified conditions. One average megawatt can power about 700 homes for a year.

Setting the Record Straight on the Impact of Dam Removal

posted Mar 31, 2011

The Council's Executive Director Steve Crow responds to an Oregonian op ed:

In his March 20 commentary in The Oregonian, Steven Hawley gets his facts wrong about the Northwest Power and Conservation Council's Sixth Northwest Power Plan.

Hawley wrote that the output of "a few dams on the Snake River" could be replaced "without replacing the lost power with new generating plants." This he attributes to "the agency responsible for recommending power plans and fish-recovery measures to the BPA." That agency is the Northwest Power and Conservation Council, and it has never made such an assertion.

By law, the council develops a power plan that is implemented by the Bonneville Power Administration. The council revises the plan every five years, each time looking 20 years into the future. Our conclusion in the Sixth Northwest Power Plan (February 2010) is that 85 percent of the new demand for electricity over the next 20 years could be met with investments in improving energy-use efficiency. But this assumes that the four federal dams on the lower Snake River remain in place, continuing to provide clean, low-cost hydropower to the Northwest.

To replace the lost output of the four dams, our analysis indicates that regional output of existing power plants fired by natural gas and coal would have to increase, and that new natural gas-fired generation would be needed along with more energy efficiency. Carbon emissions would increase by 3 million tons per year, a 7.6 percent increase compared to current hydropower operations.

Finally, dam removal also would increase the cost of the power system, according to our analysis. Because the dams primarily serve BPA customers, they would bear the majority of the increased cost -- potentially a 24 to 29 percent increase in the rate BPA currently charges its utility customers.

The council's analysis of Snake River dam removal is in Chapter 10 of the Sixth Northwest Power Plan.

Idaho Decontamination System Aims to Prevent Spread of Invasive Mussels

posted Mar 30, 2011

The Shoshone-Paiute Tribes of the Duck Valley Indian Reservation unveiled the first-of-its-kind boat wash decontamination system in a recent demonstration at the Boise, Idaho office of the Bureau of Reclamation. The tribes purchased the system to protect their waters from an infestation of quagga and zebra mussels. The tribes depend on the Owyhee, Snake, and Columbia rivers, as well as Wildhorse Reservoir and the Duck Valley Reservation lakes and streams.

The tribes purchased the system from the Prefix Clean Company, which designed and built the system to the specifications provided by invasive species experts in the Northwest. Watercraft are pulled across the wash platform while hot water is sprayed over them for a specified time to assure that the species are killed. The wash water is collected, filtered, purified, and reused. The solid waste is captured in the filters and collection basins to be placed in containers and deposited in a landfill. Hot water and electricity is provided by the self-contained unit.

"We would like to thank the cooperative partners that joined this effort and helped with funding, especially the Bureau of Reclamation, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Idaho Power Company, Nevada Department of Wildlife, U.S. Senator Mike Crapo, and the Idaho office of the Northwest Power and Conservation Council. The Nevada Department of Parks and the Idaho Congressional offices have also provided support, especially the Idaho Department of Agriculture," said Robert Bear, chair of the tribal business council.

The Shoshone-Paiute Tribes are working with the Nevada Department of Parks and the Nevada Department of Wildlife to place the system at Wild Horse Reservoir State Park to inspect boats traveling north from Elko, Nevada to Wildhorse Reservoir. For boats where mussels are found, decontamination will only be a 5 to 10 minute boat wash instead of the customary month-long quarantine. And both the boat inspection and boat wash are free.

Establishing the decontamination system illustrates the importance of collaboration. The project wouldn't have been possible without the support of many different partners with varying responsibilities and mandates.

"The effort was a work in progress for over a year and required coordination among a lot of people and groups," said Idaho Council member Jim Yost. "But when we hit an obstacle, we figured a way around it, and this summer we expect to have the system up and running."

Revisiting the Columbia River Treaty

posted Feb 24, 2011

In the upcoming Council Quarterly, we interview Stephen R. Oliver, vice president of generation asset management for the Bonneville Power Administration and the co-coordinator of the U.S. Entity for implementing the Columbia River Treaty. Work is underway to update this landmark agreement between the U.S. and Canada, and Oliver discusses the importance of the treaty and how it might change. Here's a condensed preview:

Q. What benefits do the United States and Canada enjoy under the treaty, and would those change if the treaty is terminated? If so, how?

A. Since 1964, the Columbia River Treaty has brought benefits to both the United States and Canada by providing a cooperative way to regulate the Columbia River. Under the treaty, the two nations jointly manage the river for power generation and flood control as it flows from British Columbia into the United States. The treaty is widely praised worldwide as a model of international cooperation in the management of a large trans-boundary river.

The impetus for the treaty came from the disastrous flood at Vanport (now part of Portland) in 1948 and the subsequent opportunity for low-cost hydropower to fuel the Northwest economy.

Although the treaty has no termination date, it does have two provisions that take effect on and after September 16, 2024 that will change flood control operations and payments between Canada and the United States and provide the option for either country to terminate most of the treaty provisions with a minimum of 10 years’ notice.

Q.  The treaty addresses only flood control and hydropower generation. Is the review considering how other river uses, such as irrigation, water supply, or ESA-required flows for salmon and steelhead migration, can best be met in the future; whether that future continues under the existing treaty or under a terminated, modified or new treaty? If so, how?

A. Yes, it is. The world is a different place than it was in 1964. Power and flood control are not the only relevant issues when determining how to best manage the resources of the Columbia River for the common good. The U.S. Entity’s overarching challenge in the review will be to adequately consider the ecosystem, environmental, irrigation, navigation, and other issues that were not addressed in the original treaty, and balance those interests with the continuing need for flood control and power benefits.

It is the U.S. Entity’s intention to submit a recommendation to the State Department in September of 2013; one year before either nation can transmit its intention to terminate the treaty, in order to provide federal authorities sufficient time to deliberate and review that recommendation.

Q.  While there are myriad issues to address and resolve in the review, what are several of the most important in your opinion?

A. Going forward, the policy and analytical challenges are substantial. Since the treaty’s signing, far reaching fish and wildlife statutory protections have been enacted that bear on BPA’s and the Corps of Engineers' responsibilities for managing the Columbia River. Fourteen fish and wildlife species have been listed and the current biological opinion explicitly notes the need to address river flows resulting from treaty operations. Also critical are the changes to flood control that automatically occur in 2024, and the need to assure that the amount of the Canadian entitlement aligns with the real benefits. These changes, or any other modifications to the treaty storage operations, will involve challenges and the need for cooperation between the Northwest states, tribes, and federal agencies, as well as between power, irrigation, fish and wildlife, recreation, and other concerns. The U.S. Entity intends for this review to be transparent, open, collaborative, and inclusive among the sovereigns, tribal, state, and stakeholder interests.

Food Webs as Fuel for the Ecosystem

posted Feb 10, 2011

The idea that all parts of life are interconnected is an ancient motif found in mythology, religion, art, and science. It’s also a concept central to a recent report on the importance of food webs to the health of the Columbia River Basin ecosystem. As lead report author Dr. Robert J. Naiman puts it, “food webs fuel that ecosystem,” underpinning the productivity and resiliency of the basin’s fisheries.

The three key areas of concern: whether the system can produce enough of the right food at the right times to maintain thriving populations of native fishes; the effects of non-native species on food supply; and the proliferation of contaminants and chemicals in the watershed.

Until now, the Council, NOAA Fisheries, tribes, and other state agencies haven’t really focused attention on changes to food webs, assuming that conditions have been relatively favorable and stable. But as the ISAB report indicates, changes to the basin’s food webs are widespread and appear to be affecting the aggregate carrying capacity of the river to produce wild fish.

“The question of the carrying capacity of the river was something we hadn’t really considered before,” says Naiman. “Are we overlooking the impact of competition for food between native fish and hatchery fish and other non-native species?”

The report was undertaken by the Council’s Independent Scientific Advisory Board in late 2009 to help understand the role of aquatic food webs in the basin and how they affect native fish restoration efforts. The Council’s fish and wildlife program strives to establish and maintain an ecosystem that sustains an abundant, productive, and diverse community of fish and wildlife.

The impact of massive annual releases of juvenile fish from hatcheries appears to be taking a toll on stocks of wild fish. About 130 - 150 million hatchery salmon and steelhead are released each year, and according to the report, “The thousands of metric tons of food used to raise them, as well as the hundreds of thousands of metric tons of natural foods required to maintain them in the river, affect the capacity of the Columbia River to support naturally produced native fishes.”

Added to this is the proliferation of non-native plants and animals, creating so-called “hybrid” food webs. According to Naiman, “There are so many non-native creatures that are part of the system now; realizing the magnitude of their impact is a new reality.”

“While not completely clear, it sure looks like we may be exceeding the carrying capacity of the river, and that was a big surprise.”

The growing presence of contaminants in the river system is another enormous factor affecting the health of food webs. “We were stunned by just how much is in the watershed,” says Naiman. “These chemicals, from pesticides to personal care products to medicines, disproportionately affect food webs, especially the small, but essential organisms at their base. We know so little about them, yet they could be a lynchpin in whether or not restoration actions succeed.”

For Naiman and his associates on the report, the ultimate message is clear. “We’re at a turning point, and we need to understand that 10 or 20 years from now, there is a high probability that we may be looking at a vastly different ecosystem. We need to ask ourselves if the restoration actions in place now will still be viable, and will they still make sense.”

The Rebound Effect: Is It Real?

posted Feb 1, 2011

The rebound effect refers to the fact that as energy efficiency increases, products that consume energy become less expensive to operate, which in turn causes even more energy to be used. This is a topic that's received lots of attention lately thanks to an article that appeared in the December 20, 2010 edition of The New Yorker magazine, The Efficiency Dilemma by David Owen (subscription required). While there doesn’t appear to be disagreement that the rebound effect is real, there's a strong difference of opinion on the degree that it reduces the efficiency savings of any given energy-efficient product.

What does the Council think about the rebound effect?

The Council’s staff economists agree that the rebound effect exists, and they've always taken it into consideration in their efficiency analyses and demand forecasts. However, the Council estimates that the effect is not substantial and that total electricity consumption is still decreased by improved efficiency.

Owen claims that although U.S. air conditioners became 28 percent more efficient over that 12-year period, residential air conditioners increased energy consumption by 37 percent. The problem with Owen’s analysis is that he appears to be confusing the rebound effect with economic development. Claiming that the growth of air conditioning penetration is due to improved efficiency of the equipment ignores the whole impact of growing affluence and income that is probably the major driver behind the growth of air conditioning market penetration.

So, while the rebound effect is real, it isn't the only factor, and certainly not the main factor, behind increased energy consumption. The important question to ask is how much higher consumption would have been if efficiency hadn't been achieved.

An Update on Didymo

posted Jan 27, 2011

Following up on an earlier post, Brian Marotz, of Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks has been working with Dr. Jack Stanford at the University of Montana Biological Station and other didymo experts to better understand this diatom that's growing below Libby and Hungry Horse dams.

According to Marotz, "Some researchers aren't very concerned about didymo because it's believed to be cyclical." Montana fish and wildlife managers thought so, too, over 11 years ago when the dense blooms began to grow in the Kootenai.

"The diatom does have annual growth and death cycles, but it hasn't dissipated, and it's getting worse, even when we attempted to flush the river with planned dam discharges," notes Marotz.

"We're now documenting the widespread loss of most aquatic insect species where these nuisance blooms occur in the Kootenai and South Fork Flathead." Although there are a number of factors involved, Marotz says that fish populations have apparently declined or moved elsewhere for food.

"Like others, I hope these blooms simply disappear, but they haven't to date. We need to learn what makes didymo flourish and how we might control it."

Evaluating Compact Florescent Light Bulb Savings

posted Jan 21, 2011

A recent story in Greenwire (subscription required) highlighted a debate over the benefits of subsidizing compact florescent bulbs. When the California Public Utilities Commission released its evaluation of Pacific Gas & Electric's incentive program for CFLs last year, evaluators found it was difficult to determine the energy savings. Peter Miller of the Natural Resources Defense Council explains the problem: "...none of the complicated statistical analyses used to try to estimate the net-to-gross ratio [the number of CFLs that would have sold without the program] produced a useable result." In the end, they were forced to use their "best judgement," which meant a much lower estimate of savings.

Also, PG&E believes they over-estimated the lifespan of an average CFL bulb when they created the program. They're finding the number is closer to 6.3 years instead of 9.4 years, which also lowers their estimated savings. As a result, some have questioned the effectiveness of the program and whether incentives are worth the investment.

Miller's analysis gives an in-depth look at California's situation. In the Pacific Northwest, we take a different approach. The Council's Regional Technical Forum is an advisory committee established in 1999 to develop standards to verify and evaluate efficiency savings. The RTF's analysis of CFL savings and lifespan estimates that the average life of a CFL is 5-6 years and that 1 in 3 lamps sold will be stored. Using the RTF's more accurate estimate would have helped lessen the gap between the projected and actual savings. "Had they used our numbers, they would be in less of a fix," says Tom Eckman, conservation resources manager for the Council.

"Because California utilities can only claim 'net' savings," says Eckman, "the folks who evaluate the programs have to estimate how many CFLs would have been purchased if the utilities hadn't offered incentives. This means they have to 'measure' what happened in an alternate universe, and not surprisingly, there could be some disagreement over their findings."

"We just try to measure how many total CFLs got installed and not fret over a fictional world," notes Eckman.

And so, as the Greenwire story concludes, "Researchers for the utilities commission plan to overhaul future incentive programs in an effort to evaluate utilities' success based on their technology installation rates instead of direct energy savings."

Didymo: A New Kind of Invader

posted Jan 18, 2011

At the Council meeting last week in Missoula, Brian Marotz of Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks described a recent phenomenon below Libby and Hungry Horse dams: the proliferation of a form of invasive algae called didymosphenia gemenata, also known as "rock snot" and didymo. Didymo was first reported in New Zealand in 2004 where it's become a significant problem. It's also been found in North and South America.

According to Marotz, the plant has the potential to cause great harm to habitat and fish by choking out the insects that fish feed on. Very little is known about why didymo is growing near the dams. It was first noticed below Libby Dam several years ago, and then below Hungry Horse about three years ago. Marotz noted that research is underway to better understand didymo's effect on habitat and how to address the problem.

"For some reason, it's proliferating," says Marotz. "It's alarming because now were starting to see a reduction in fish numbers as a result."

Update: Columbia Grid Wind Integration Study

posted Jan 15, 2011

In an earlier post on the Columbia Grid's study on wind integration we included a link that doesn't connect to the study--just to information on the study team. Apparently, the paper hasn't been finalized yet and isn't available to the public right now. We think it might be released in a few weeks, so stay tuned--we'll post it as soon as it's available. Thanks for your understanding.

Generating More Power Than We Can Use

posted Jan 5, 2011

One of the trends to come out of all the wind power that's been developed in the Pacific Northwest the last several years is an increasing surplus of generating capability. Or, to put it another way, we have the ability to generate more energy than we need.

Historically, the combination of high springtime runoff and low demand has led to episodes of excess energy in the region. The recent large-scale development of low-cost wind power appears to be adding to the frequency and magnitude of these events. Constraints on spill, which can cause trauma to migrating fish, may require that wind production be curtailed during these episodes. However, financial incentives encouraging wind plant operation complicate this decision.

The growing surplus can contribute to lower electricity market prices, the reduced value of hydropower energy, and the increasing frequency and severity of excess energy events.

Some of the key findings in a recently released paper on this issue by the Council include:

  • Developing resources to meet state renewable portfolio standards tends to increase excess energy events

  • Additional wind development to meet renewable energy credits outside of the region (California) will probably also increase the frequency of these events

  • Good water years increase the probability of these events, and poor water years lower the probability of their occurring

  • Aggressive renewable portfolio standard targets and financial incentives lead to qualifying renewable resources being developed before they are actually needed, which drives down the average market price of other resources

  • Hydropower is especially affected, with its value disproportionately reduced

"We think there are legislative solutions available that will allow hydro project operators to maintain dissolved gas standards, yet leave wind plant operators economically whole," says Jeff King, senior resource analyst. "In the longer term, we should take actions that will help us to use both wind and water power during extreme energy events."

The Council is seeking comment on its paper until January 31.

Pacific Power President Pat Reiten on Energy Challenges

posted Dec 6, 2010

The Council interviewed Pat Reiten, president of Pacific Power at PacifiCorp for the upcoming Council Quarterly. Here are some highlights:

Q: PacifiCorp has worked to include renewable energy into its resource portfolio, most of it wind. What renewables will the company be focusing on in the future? What are the principal issues with developing them?

Reiten: We've been more active than any other utility in the region, and in the nation, in adding new renewable resources. Since 2006, we've invested more than $2 billion in wind facilities in the West, all added within the last four years. The challenges of developing renewable power are finding appropriate, cost-effective sites and developing transmission to bring the power to the grid. And variable wind power also needs equivalent backup power to be available when the wind isn't blowing. As a result, in the last four years we've added two natural gas plants...More will need to come as we look to meet load while integrating additional renewables.

Beyond wind, the company has a geothermal plant in Utah and has bestowed grants to dozens of small-scale, community-based solar projects--primarily through our Blue Sky renewable energy program...We have more than 1,000 customers in Oregon using solar energy through net metering agreements. We have dozens of customers using Oregon's solar incentive tariff to build their own solar generation. We recently put out a request for proposal for a utility-scale solar project. More solar and much more distributed generation is in our future, and that's a good thing.

Q: How do you view utility development of energy efficiency as a resource?

Reiten: We strongly support energy efficiency efforts throughout our service territory...As a utility, we look at these tools in three basic ways: Energy efficiency allows our customers to manage their uses and costs, and that is increasingly important given the state of the economy...efficiency measures are critical components of our Integrated Resource Plan, which is the long-range tool we use to determine how we will produce and deliver energy. If we can reduce the need for new capital deployment and dampen the overall growth curve of new energy generation, that helps us and helps our customers. Energy efficiency also reduces overall emissions and assists in reducing environmental impacts, both for our customers and for us as a utility.

Q: Reducing our reliance on coal plants will become increasingly important if we're to meet carbon reduction goals. PacifiCorp is long on coal plants. What is the company's strategy for reducing carbon production? How does energy efficiency fit into those plans?

Reiten: We've been investing for several years in emissions reduction technology, both in accord with, and in some cases, exceeding, state and federal emissions reduction requirements. Over the last three years, we've stopped adding coal resources to our generation mix. New coal plants are completely out of our plans, and we are currently evaluating existing plants in terms of their future cost-effectiveness. We see the next round of generation build to be a combination of new natural gas, wind, and transmission projects. Carbon reduction will also entail additional investment in energy efficiency, as well as distributed generation and the scaled growth of geothermal, solar, and biomass technology.

For Now, Local Wind Development Trumps Remote Wind

posted Oct 26, 2010

Earlier this month, the Columbia Grid Wind Integration Study Team released its report on the economics of developing wind resources close to load centers compared to developing wind sites in Montana and Wyoming.

In general, the study found that wind power developed locally is more economical for Northwest coastal loads because of the huge transmission costs associated with connecting remote wind generation.

The study summarizes the conclusions from a variety of other studies, including the Council's Sixth Power Plan.

For now, constructing long-distance transmission for remote wind resources doesn't appear to be cost-effective unless the transmission is relatively low-cost, short, or has additional benefits.

The research on this on ongoing, and we'll update as new information comes out.

A Good Year for Returning Salmon

posted Sep 30, 2010

This year has been a positive one for salmon, especially sockeye salmon. By mid-August, the run of sockeye up the Columbia River was the highest since Bonneville Dam was completed in 1938 and annual counting began.

The run of spring Chinook returning to the Columbia was strong as well, adding to a pattern that may bode well for the future. According to biologists, favorable ocean conditions, habitat restoration, updated hatchery practices, and fish-friendly improvements to dams have all helped.

The resurgence of Snake River sockeye, an endangered species, is especially heartening. The Council, Idaho state, Shoshone-Bannock Tribe, NOAA Fisheries, Bonneville Power Administration, and others have been working for 20 years to rebuild the sockeye population. Only four years ago, when just three fish made the 900-mile trek from ocean to spawn in the mountain lakes of central Idaho, the Council's Independent Scientific Review Panel recommended ending the sockeye program. But the Council, Bonneville, and others stuck with the fish, backing the hatchery program.

This year, 1,400 or more are estimated to spawn in Redfish Lake in central Idaho, which will be the most since 1956. And the news for fish returning to the upper Columbia River is also encouraging, with one qualification. The run splits, with fish returning to the Wenatchee River and Lake Wenatchee and fish returning to the Okanogan River and its headwater lakes in British Columbia. As many as 90 percent of returning sockeye are Okanogan fish. The reason for the discrepancy is unclear, but the Wenatchee run was one of only two Northwest sockeye runs to do poorly this year; the other was Lake Washington.  Still, in British Columbia, the estimated sockeye return of 120,000 to 140,000 is one of the largest since 1938.

Bill Tweit, Columbia River policy lead for the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, noted that three mid-Columbia public utility districts--Douglas, Chelan, and Grant--have adopted performance measures for fish survival through their dams. A combination of spill and the construction of passage facilities have made a difference.

"Even though they have not uniformly achieved the measures, they have made significant progress," says Tweit. "Undoubtedly, those improvements played a role in these excellent returns."

Small, Rural Utilities Give Their Energy Perspective

posted Sep 23, 2010

Here's a preview of an interview with Bill Drummond of Western Montana Electric Generating and Transmission Cooperative, which will be in the upcoming Council Quarterly.

Q: As a four-state entity, the Council approaches energy planning from a regional rather than an individual perspective. What value does this regional perspective provide for small, rural utilities?

Drummond: The true value of the Council's power plan is that it sets a regional benchmark against which all individual utility plans can be compared, and it quantifies the cost of not working together. As I mentioned earlier, it can't replace utility planning, and individual utility resource choices will inevitably differ from those contained in the Council's plan, but it stands as a benchmark against which all others are examined.

The power industry has a tendency to adopt a "flavor of the month" approach to new resources. In my career, I've seen utilties veer from temporary addictions to nuclear, coal, market purchases, combustion turbines, and now wind; each being the next great resource. The Council's plans have forced us to momentarily consider our addiction to whichever "resource of the month" is in favor in the light of all potential resources, including efficiency. While I've disagreed with some of the resource portfolios adopted over the years, I do believe that all Northwest residents have benefited from the Council's planning process.

Additionally, the structure of the Council itself means that states serving large populations of rural and smaller-utility residents have an equal voice with more populated, urban states. This has proven especially useful in guaranteeing that the concerns of the rural areas of the region are considered and addressed.

Q: Where would you like to see the region and your members over the next 10-15 years?

Drummond: Regionally, I'd like to see resolution of the Gordian Knot that currently bedevils the construction of new transmission. There is no doubt that additional transmission investment is necessary; the challenge is figuring out how to pay for it. Until we can negotiate long-term contracts that will guarantee the repayment of transmission investments, few projects will get built and we will potentially build more generation than would otherwise be necessary.

I would also like to see more joint investment by public power and the investor-owned utilities in transmission, generation, and energy efficiency. I think the largely failed experiment in retail deregulation caused our interests to diverge more than necessary.

For my members, we will continue to work closely with other Bonneville customers to ensure that the Federal Columbia River Power System continues to be a reliable and cost-effective base load resource. A positive resolution of the ongoing Bi Op litigation is a very important step. We need to get out of the courtroom and focus on the prudent management of the substantial investment that Bonneville customers are making to fulfill their stewardship obligations. I'm confident that my members will husband the low-cost Tier 1 resources they will be purchasing from Bonneville by continuing to invest in energy efficiency; the Tier 2 alternatives will certainly provide a direct price signal for that. Second, I would like to see a substantial portion of their Tier 2 requirements that are not served by increased efficiency come from resources they are purchasing and building equity in. I want to make certain that new technologies are embraced and deployed in their territories just as they will be in urban areas. Finally, I would like to see my members maintain the close relationship they have enjoyed with their consumer/owners since they were formed. This has been, and will continue to be, among their greatest strengths.

Idaho Senator James Risch on Energy in the Northwest

posted Sep 2, 2010

In 2009 we interviewed Idaho Senator James Risch for the Council Quarterly on a number of topics, including the state of the region's energy portfolio.

Q: The Northwest's long history of generating electricity from hydroelectric dams, combined with our acquisition of nearly 4,000 megawatts of energy efficiency over the past 30 years has kept our power rates low and reduced our reliance on fossil fuel. But Idaho and other parts of the Northwest are now sometimes net energy importers when demand exceeds available regional supplies. Do you believe we have the right mix of hydropower, energy efficiency, renewable energy resources, and dispatchable thermal baseload power in our current power system?

Risch: The unique nature of power generation in the Northwest highlights why any national plan would be harmful to our region. We have long exploited clean sources of power. Incredibly, people in Washington, D.C. don't see falling water as a renewable resource. They don't see our biomass as a renewable resource and, of course, it is all for political purposes to advertise their own part of the country to our disadvantage. This is our reward for the good stewardship we have shown.

The fact that we sometimes import energy from other regions is due in part to regulations crafted by Washington, D.C. bureaucrats that make it easier to build a new coal-fired plant than to upgrade a hydroelectric facility. If you care about air quality, that isn't right. Every time a zero-emission dam needs to be relicensed, environmental lawsuits hold up the process. We had to fight tooth and nail to even get hydroelectric power into the dialogue. Some of my Senate colleagues think a piece of wood off of federal land isn't a renewable resource but a piece of wood off of private land is. So it's hard to argue that a policy crafted in Washington, D.C. would be good for the Northwest when Washington, D.C. has no appreciation of our stewardship.

We have a good mix right now, but we need more of all of the above to meet our future needs. We can increase the amount of electricity from hydropower sources by upgrading equipment or adding turbines to existing dams. That should be a no-brainer. It wouldn't emit any pollutants into the atmosphere. We also have existing biomass resources that could provide baseline power to the region, but those attempts are opposed by people who claim to want "renewable" energy which they limit by definition to wind and solar. We can add immeasurably to energy by constructing nuclear power plants. Again, if we are cleaning up the air, let's actually get it done.

Using Water Heaters to Store Energy, Integrate Wind Power

posted Aug 26, 2010

Interest in demand response, which enables consumers to adjust their electricity use when the power system is stressed, has sharpened recently thanks in part to its potential to help integrate wind energy into the power system.

Traditionally, demand response involved enlisting interested consumers who were willing to reduce their electricity use during peak energy periods or when prices spiked, usually for a few hours at a time.

The Bonneville Power Administration and several utilities are partnering on pilot projects to test the ability of demand response to help manage the electricity grid and integrate wind energy into the system.  To integrate wind energy, the rest of the power system needs to be able to increase production when wind generation drops off and decrease production when wind increases to keep the system in balance. Some demand response load could provide the flexibility to help in this integration by reducing electricity use at peak times and also storing the wind's power at a moment's notice.

"Not all demand response load can be used to respond to the variation in wind's output, " notes Ken Corum, senior economist for the Council. "But appliances like water heaters and space heaters, or cold storage plants have the ability to absorb that energy when it needs to go somewhere."

"Two years ago, there was very little going on in this area," says Corum. "The growth in wind power development in the region has definitely heightened the interest in demand response as a possible tool to make wind work in our system."

The pilot project that the Council is helping to sponsor is funded largely by the Bonneville Power Administration and will test the ability of  things like water heaters and cold storage plants to balance wind generation in the power system. The project is expected to begin in late 2010 and end in 2012.

"And, if these pilot projects prove successful," notes Corum, "it should also help to lower the cost of integrating renewable resources into the power system."

How Other Countries Integrate Wind and Solar Power

posted Aug 18, 2010

In July, several experts in the operation of the power systems of Denmark, Germany, and Spain gave presentations on how their countries handle integrating large amounts of wind and solar power. Because of their variable nature, these renewable resources can present unique challenges for power systems.

These countries have aggressive government policies to develop renewable resources and reduce carbon emissions, and as a result, they've achieved a high degree of renewables in their energy mix. Wind and solar represent 24 percent of the total installed generating capacity in Spain; 27 percent in Germany, and 28 percent in Denmark. In comparison, the Bonneville Power Administration's balancing authority has 10 percent, and for the Pacific Northwest as a whole, 9 percent.

Some key features that have helped integrate variable resources into their systems are:

  • Robust and fluid power exchange markets that access the full balancing capability of these systems

  • Strong interconnections and common business practices among transmission system operators enabling them to share balancing reserves

  • Wide geographic distribution of wind and solar facilities resulting in less volatility than in the Pacific Northwest

  • Sophisticated wind forecasting

While these TSOs have been successful in integrating large amounts of renewables, some of the emerging issues as more variable resources come on line include:

  • Increasing episodes of over-generation

  • Increasing frequency of negative wholesale prices

  • Increasing volatility of wind and solar output

  • Transmission congestion

  • Increasing penetration of uncontrolled generation

  • High wholesale power prices compared to the Pacific Northwest

While we're unlikely, in the short term, to duplicate the institutional structures that have helped these TSOs successfully integrate variable renewable resources, we can work to improve things like our forecasting, transmission, access to balancing reserves, and the geographic diversity of facilities that will help accommodate increasing renewable development.

The wind integration forum has the latest information on how the region plans to do this.

Building a Better Battery

posted Aug 11, 2010

In an earlier post, we talked about how batteries could help to integrate renewable resources like wind and solar energy into the power system.

In another twist on this, Oregon Public Broadcasting is reporting on an unusual partnership between a high-tech battery company and a company that freeze-dries peas.

What's the connection? A new technology for creating a smaller and much more efficient battery involves freeze drying. And Oregon Freeze Dry, which freeze dries peas, is extremely good at this key process.

The $21 million factory in Albany, Oregon plans to produce a high quality carbon to make ultracapacitors that will be used in electric cars.

Gerry Langler with Oregon Venture Partners, one of the financial backers of the project, describes how they would work:
If you have a hybrid car are using your braking power to recharge the batteries. The problem is that the power generated when you brake is so high the battery can't take it fast enough. So you don't actually get the benefit of all that potential energy from the braking process. But if you had an ultracapacitor sitting between your brake and your battery, the ultracapacitor could grab that power really fast, and then slowly feed it to the battery in a way that the battery could accept it.

It's another example of how technology is improving efficiencies in well-known applications.

Putting a Value on Sustainable Buildings

posted Aug 3, 2010

Two years ago, we had the pleasure of talking with Theddi Wright Chappell, the managing director for Cushman & Wakefield's National Green Building and Sustainability Practice and Valuation Services team in Seattle, Washington. Chappell specializes in analyzing the potential value of sustainable development. Here's an edited version of our interview:

Q: How do you get to the hard numbers, how do you get to quantifying sustainability?

Obviously, energy is one of the most tangible ways; I refer to it as the low-hanging fruit of these sustainable initiatives because it's more easily quantified. But there are ways beyond just energy, things to look for in terms of maintenance, operating expenses, in terms of improvement costs, the types of tenant improvements that are done: Are they more flexible, do they take more or less time to complete, down time between leases? If in fact there is greater tenant satisfaction, does that mean they will stay in one place longer and are they more likely to renew their lease? So you're going through the same questions you would ask with a traditional property, but being sensitive to some of the reasoning that goes into a tenant's decisionmaking.

Q: It seems to cover a broad range of things, starting with energy-efficiency, but including air quality and the health of the building in a sense.

Right, well, I think it comes down to a really basic concept: What do we value? What makes something valuable? I talked with a property manager this morning and she is just seeing a tremendous shift in the types of things that peopel are asking for. Tenants are asking for LEED-certified buildings. They're asking for things to be LEED certified when they don't even know what that means. What they're asking for is a better work environment. And they've heard that that is what LEED certification means. If you've got a right-sized, high-performing air system, then technically, it's a healthier place. People hear about that and it's attractive. People always want to go where the grass is greener, and if given an option, I think most people would choose to work in what they consider a healthy environment.

Q: I was talking to a smaller developer who does sustainable work here, and one of the things he mentioned was that it's fun for them to do this kind of development, they have a passion for it.

Well, you feel like you're doing the right thing. Doing the right thing should get the right results, which should be as much or more profit. And I think, if in fact this becomes the prevalent mentality--building a high quality product--then everyone will benefit from it: the building inhabitants, the owner, the developer, it will go all the way down the chain. Everyone wants to save money, but it's how you save it. And if you save it through greater efficiency, through more thoughtful design and construction, that's a whole lot different than just spending less on something else.

Using Batteries to Store Energy

posted Jul 28, 2010

Interesting story in today's New York Times on using batteries to store electricity:
The rapid growth of wind farms, whose output is hard to schedule reliably or even predict, has the nation's electricity providers scrambling to develop energy storage to ensure stability and improve profits.

The intermittent nature of renewable resources like wind is one of the challenges here in the Pacific Northwest, where wind development has grown at a fast clip.

According to Jeff King, senior resource analyst, cost-effective battery storage technologies could be hugely beneficial to wind, solar, and wave development. "Batteries could level the output of intermittent renewables, which would help integrate them into the power system," says King.

"And if batteries were installed at the generation plant site, the leveled output would improve transmission loading, reducing the cost of transmission to access remote renewables."

Other qualities that make batteries a potentially attractive option are their modular, small-scale nature, and siting flexibility. Their small size makes rapid technological improvement possible through production economies and the ability to deploy "just the right amount of storage"--not too much and not too little--at the power plant site.

The Council's power plan recommends exploring technologies like battery storage and calls on identifying research and development needs for the most promising options.

Growing Summer Energy Demand

posted Jul 26, 2010

One of the interesting trends noted in the Council's Sixth Power Plan was the region's shift from a winter-peaking power system to summer-peaking. This is happening primarily because more homes use air conditioning.

Among other things, Northwest energy planners consider three things to make sure we will have enough electricity:

  • the management of our "fuel"--the water stored behind the dams

  • winter and summer hourly needs

  • resources that can be turned on or off as needed

According to John Fazio, senior power systems analyst, the latest assessment showed that the region would be on the cusp of not having enough resources by 2015 to meet the anticipated increase in summer-peak demand.

"When we see we're that close to a shortfall, we review our data and our methodology to make sure it's accurate and that we're not missing anything," says Fazio.

According to Fazio, the summer problem is getting worse. Air conditioning is more common these days, and while summer peaks in electricity use are not as high as winter peaks, there's less power available in the summer. River flow is lower and spill requirements for fish reduces electricity generation as well. Reserve requirements for wind power also take a toll on the hydrosystem.

"Summer is a peak time for energy use in the Southwest, which means we're not likely to import power from California," says Fazio.

Finally, there is the impact of climate change to consider. Warmer temperatures over the long term--say 20 years and beyond--will decrease demand in winter but increase it in the summer, exacerbating an already worrying trend.

"It's a real shift for energy planners," says Fazio. "We're just not used to thinking about summer problems in the Pacific Northwest; but that's the growing reality."

California's Energy Scene

posted Jul 23, 2010

California is in the midst of an intense debate over its ambitious clean energy initiatives. In 2006, Governor Schwarzenegger signed into law an emissions reduction measure known as AB 32. The law includes both a statewide cap-and-trade plan and aggressive renewable resource targets. Opponents have since launched a campaign to roll back the state's landmark climate change legislation through Prop. 23, also called the California Jobs Initiative. Prop 23, if passed in November, would suspend implementation of AB 32 until the state's unemployment level goes below 5.5 percent for four straight quarters. California's current unemployment rate is 12.5 percent.

In addition to this, the Legislature is also considering SB 722, which would establish a statutory 33 percent requirement for both public-owned and investor-owned utilities and includes stricter delivery requirements for resources coming from outside of California. For example, it appears to mandate that at least 75 percent of new (post 2009) renewables be either directly interconnected to California's ISO or dynamically scheduled into California's system.

The implications, at least initially for the Northwest, are somewhat mixed. Tighter requirements on bringing renewable electricity into California responds to a lot of the concerns raised in the region about exports going to meet California's RPS targets. (See earlier posts)

"Because it limits tradable renewable credits to 10 percent of a utility's portfolio, it should will help limit the amount of 'null' energy dumped into the Northwest market," says Jeff King, senior resource analyst for the Council. "It should also encourage transmission expansion, either through efficiencies in the existing system or through new construction," he adds. And dynamic scheduling--when resources in one balancing area are used to balance generation and load in another balancing area--would enable California resources to be used to balance wind generation in the Northwest.

All of this is likely to increase the cost of wind power from the Northwest, making other renewables like solar thermal from the Southwest more attractive to California utilities and perhaps slow the pace of wind power development here.

Still, notes King, mandating the 33 percent requirement to all utilities, not just investor-owned, provides more certainty of future demand than the current law, which could encourage investment in the Northwest-California interties to bring wind generation into California.

Overall, the bill acts as an incentive to improve wind generation transactions between the Northwest and California, either through greater coordination between balancing areas or transmission enhancements.

We'll be tracking the implications of all this for the Northwest, so stay tuned.

The Economic Impact of Invasive Mussels

posted Jul 15, 2010

What began with the discovery of a non-native species of mussels in the Great Lakes has now become a major source of alarm for Western states. The small, thumbnail-sized mollusks were brought into U.S. waters by ocean-going vessels from Eastern Europe and the Ukraine in the late 1980s and have wreaked havoc on the Great Lakes ecosystem and economy. The zebra and quagga mussels clog water intake pipes and distribution systems, starve fish populations, and spawn noxious algae outbreaks polluting the Midwest's shores.

But what took decades to develop in the Great Lakes has bloomed exponentially here in the West. Quagga mussels were first found in Lake Mead, Nevada in early 2007, probably via a pleasure boat. The creatures attach to any surface, except copper, and their microscopic larvae are easily transported downstream in water currents or in water distribution systems. Hardy and prolific, the warmer Western climate has enabled quagga mussels to reproduce much faster than in the Great Lakes. With few natural predators in the U.S., they have already colonized the lower Colorado River system, and have now spread into California, Arizona, Utah, and Colorado. State and federal officials fear it's only a matter of time before these invaders contaminate the Columbia River Basin.

The Council's Independent Economic Analysis Board has just released a report on the potential economic impact of a widespread zebra or quagga mussel infestation in the basin. According to the report, "Under suitable conditions, [these] mussels can expand in numbers and locations with astonishing speed." Scientists also believe that calcium levels play a critical role in their growth and viability, which means they could thrive in some parts of the basin but not in others.

The report, which has been widely anticipated, gives the latest information on the economic risks to the region should they become established here, as well as recommendations for research and policies to limit their damage.

Protected Areas: Preserving the Best Remaining Habitat

posted Jul 9, 2010

Several weeks ago, a couple of thought-provoking stories came out: Paul Greenberg's Tuna's End in the New York Times and Adam Frank's Inventing the Fish: Science and the Collapse of Ecologies on NPR. Both explore the limits of natural resources and, consequently, the limits of science to recover what we've lost.

Writing about the bluefin tuna, Greenberg movingly observes:
All fish change color when they die. But with tuna the death shift feels more profound. Fresh from the water, their backs pulsing neon blue, their bellies gleaming silver-pink iridescence, they seem like the ocean itself. And in a way they are, which explains the second reason bluefin have come to possess such totemic power. For bluefin tuna and all species of tuna are the living representation of the very limits of the ocean. Their global decline is a warning that we just might destroy our last wild food.

It's a story we know all too well in the Pacific Northwest as we struggle to bring back salmon, our own iconic fish.

In 1988, The Northwest Power and Conservation Council adopted a proposal designating some 44,000 miles of Northwest streams as protected areas because of their importance as critical fish and wildlife habitat. The amendment was a major step in the region's efforts to rebuild the fish and wildlife populations damaged by hydroelectric development, in no small part because it acknowledged the fact that in order to meet the Council's goal of increasing salmon and steelhead runs in the Columbia River Basin it would be necessary to protect the best remaining habitat.

The Council adopted a single standard of protection: no new hydroelectric development should be allowed in protected areas. While the Council doesn't license hydroelectric development, federal agencies like the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and the Bonneville Power Administration have a legal obligation to take the Council's action into account in their decisionmaking.

In his piece, Frank quotes a student plaintively asking, "Can't we just invent a new fish?" And he subsequently notes that, "Put simply: We believe that whatever the problem science will fix it." But ecologies are not so easily fathomed, much less controlled.

Designating an area as protected is a decisive act, affirming the value of a resource apart from human benefit and an admission that it is perishable.

The Boldt Decision: Revisiting a Landmark Tribal Treaty Fishing Rights Case

posted Jul 7, 2010

In 2008, we had the pleasure of interviewing Dr. Richard R. Whitney for our newsletter.  From 1974 to 1979, he served as technical advisor to the Hon. George H. Boldt in the United States District Court for Western Washington during the difficult implementation phase of the decision in United States v. the state of Washington. Here's an abridged version of his answers to a few key questions.

Q: Can you explain the significance of the Boldt decision and what role you played?

Whitney: In 1974 Judge Boldt handed down his decision in the case the United States v. the state of Washington. At that time it was more popularly known as the Boldt decision and has been commonly referred to as such ever since. The government sued the state because they weren't observing the Indian treaty rights; that was their claim. Well, they prevailed in court.

One of the first situations that I found myself in in court was when the tribes complained that the Washington Department of Fisheries had not allocated them their proper share, their 50 percent of the coho salmon migrating through Puget Sound. So they had the assistant director of the Washington Department of Fisheries on the stand, and the tribal attorneys were asking him all kinds of questions that he was very good at answering. But they didn't know how to ask the right questions to corner him. And he didn't know how to answer within the boundaries of the decision, because the boundaries hadn't been established yet--50 percent of which salmon? So, after more of that questioning, there was a recess and the tribal attorneys were huddling and muttering amongst themselves, "We're going to charge him with perjury; he's contradicting himself and just trying to duck the questions."

I said, "No he isn't, he's smarter that you are. You don't know the right questions--there are only three of them. Ask him how many coho are entering Puget Sound; ask him how many  have been caught already by the non-tribal fishery; and ask him how many are required for spawning. We can figure out the difference between the run size and how many have been caught." And they said, "Those are good questions, but we don't want to ask them." And the guy from Washington's Department of Fisheries said, "Well, I don't want to ask those questions either." So I went to the federal man from the solicitor's office, and he said, "Those are very good questions and they'll help the judge, but I don't want to ask them."

Q: Why didn't they want to ask the questions?

Whitney: Because that would put them, the tribal attorneys, in the awkward position of looking like they were saying that the state's doing all right; that there is still 50 percent of the fish left depending on where you're counting them. And looking at the total entering Puget Sound, which was all we had to go by, that there were still harvestable numbers remaining. They were afraid that their clients would not be pleased with that outcome. The state guy had his own motives, and the federal guy didn't want to offend the tribes. So I found myself up there with the attorneys questioning a witness. I asked my questions, he answered them, and just as I suspected, the numbers showed there were still harvestable fish. I presented the conclusion that there are still harvestable numbers available to the tribes and that they should be able to take 50 percent. Judge Boldt took my recommendation and went with it.

Q: What made this decision so important?

Whitney: There had been lawsuits over the years, ever since the treaties were negotiated in the 1850s, a whole set of them at various places involving various tribes. The tribes reserved the right to fish in their usual and accustomed places. It was only years after that, when the number of settlers began to increase and they started to build fences and establish ownership, that they tried to exclude the tribes from their properties. Well that's just one example, and generally speaking, the courts dodged a bullet for all those years until Judge Boldt came along. Judge Boldt's groundbreaking step was the 50 percent provision. He figured you had to specify what the share was or it was meaningless.

The End of the Incandescent Era?

posted Jul 2, 2010

One of the ways we expect to meet our future energy needs is through improved efficiency, and a linchpin to achieving this is innovative lighting. For over a century, Thomas Edison's incandescent light bulb has been the dominant lighting product. In recent years though, compact fluorescent bulbs have become popular and now, with a new generation of lighting technology at hand, the end may be in sight for this 19th century invention.

The Council's most recent power plan identified lighting as a major new source in efficiency savings:  "...recent advances in solid-state lighting--light-emitting diodes (LED) and organic light-emitting diodes (OLED)--appear to offer significant opportunities for savings in televisions and some lighting applications."

The demand for consumer electronics--from televisions to computers--is booming. It's one of the fastest growing segments of electricity use in the region. And the trend is toward both more televisions per household and televisions with larger screens, which increases energy consumption. According to the Council's analysis, if this continues, by 2015 over 90 percent of the televisions sold will have screen sizes exceeding 32 inches.

To meet this burgeoning demand, transitioning from plasma and liquid crystal display (LCD) screens to LED and OLED screens is essential. LED televisions already on the market consume 40 percent less energy than LCD models, and they produce a higher quality picture to boot.

Globally, the push has been to move beyond the incandescent bulb. A number of countries, including Australia, the European Union, and the U.S. have all passed laws restricting the sale of incandescent light bulbs. Alternatives like c0mpact fluorescent and halogen lights are currently available, but it might not be too long before we see LED and OLED lights for home use, too.

And there are researchers who think the energy-efficient incandescent could be a future contender. So who knows? The only sure thing is that the race is on to make, or re-make, the 21st century light bulb.

Oregon Congressman Peter DeFazio on Nuclear Energy

posted Jun 28, 2010

Last winter, we interviewed Congressman Peter DeFazio for our quarterly newsletter and he gave his views on a number of issues from future energy legislation to the federal government's biological opinion. Here's his take on nuclear energy.

Q: In the late 1970s and early 1980s you played a significant role in halting the construction of four nuclear power plants that were backed by the Washington Public Power Supply System and strongly subsidized and supported by the Bonneville Power Administration. As you know, Bonneville ratepayers continue to pay hundreds of millions of dollars each year in debt service on two of those unfinished projects, as well as the debt service and operational costs of the one completed plant. Given this history that you know so well, what is your reaction to President Obama's efforts to reinvigorate the nation's commercial nuclear industry with newly designed and inherently safer facilities? Have your views on nuclear energy changed over the years, especially in light of the heightened concerns over climate change and the desire to reduce fossil fuel consumption?

DeFazio: The only resurgence in nuclear power is a political one. Despite more than $150 billion in federal subsidies over the past several decades (30 times more than solar, wind, and other renewable energy sources), nuclear power is still more expensive than other sources of energy and could not compete if only market forces were at work. If not for the massive nuclear loan guarantees passed in 2005, utility companies would not risk the investment in nuclear power. President Obama's expansion of these loan guarantees only digs us deeper in bad energy policy.

The WPPS fiasco taught the Northwest region the true value of nuclear power, but other issues continue to plague this technology. Even in the unlikely event that the Yucca Mountain repository ever accepts nuclear waste, it will be full in a matter of a few years with just the radioactive waste from the currently operating nuclear power plants. And renewable sources of energy such as wind, geothermal, and solar do not result in a dangerous proliferation problem like nuclear power.

Finally, nuclear power is not a very cost-effective way to displace carbon. According to the Rocky Mountain Institute, increasing energy efficiency is seven times more cost-effective than nuclear power when it comes to displacing carbon. For example, it costs approximately $10 billion to build a nuclear power plant. If that $10 billion were instead spent on energy-efficient appliances, insulating older homes and buildings, or fuel-efficient cars, it would cut carbon emissions by seven times the amount that the nuclear power plant would.

Renewing a River, Saving a Prehistoric Fish

posted Jun 23, 2010

There are some animals that just capture your imagination. The Kootenai River white sturgeon is one such creature. It appears like a relic from prehistory, growing as long as 20 feet and weighing  over 1,500 pounds, with a long snout and spiky carapace. Michael Jamison of the Missoulian notes in his story on the sturgeon that  it's "...a fish some joke may be more closely related to triceratops than trout."

No wonder we're fascinated with the fish: They're like visitors from another time, a vision of something monstrous and eternal. Yet they're gentle giants that mature slowly and can live for over 100 years.

And the sturgeon found in the Kootenai are extra-special as Jamison writes: "...12,000 years ago, at the end of the Pleistocene, retreating glaciers left behind another barrier--Bonnington Falls, high on the border of Idaho and British Columbia. The upstream population found itself landlocked, trapped between the two waterfalls, and slowly diverged into a unique species known as Kootenai River white sturgeon."

Revered by the Kootenai Tribe as mystical harbingers, the tribe has been working to prevent the species from becoming extinct. Their habitat project is hoping to improve the water velocity and temperature of the river, as well as enhance the river habitat.

The tribe, which raises sturgeon at a hatchery near Bonner's Ferry, estimates that fewer than 1,000 wild adult sturgeon remain in the river.

Sue Ireland, fish and wildlife director for the tribe, said juvenile fish raised in the hatchery are surviving when released into the river and are spawning. But, says Ireland, the eggs don't mature. "The eggs may be suffocating in the sandy, embedded substrate, and the hard substrates that they need aren't present in this reach."

The project has had to balance its goals with a number of other interests, from the federal government to the state of Montana and private landowners. Still, while the odds are long, the tribe's goal is clear. "We hope to set the stage so we address the needs of the existing population while making sure that everything is in place so that as the young fish mature, they will spawn successfully," says Ireland.

Ensuring Efficiency

posted Jun 21, 2010

Last week a group dedicated to promoting energy efficiency in the Northwest met for the last time. The goal of the Northwest Energy Efficiency Taskforce was to draft an action plan to acquire efficiency and identify who should do what. The recommendations include improving data analysis and communication among partners.

Identifying where the next big energy savings will come from was another important topic of discussion. Compact fluorescent light bulbs have been a key reason we've achieved the large amount of efficiency we have in the last few years. So where will the next round come from?

A group of stakeholders has identified two key areas of interest: lighting and HVAC. As noted in the Council's Sixth Power Plan,"... recent advances in solidstate lighting--light-emitting diodes (LED) and organic light-emitting diodes (OLED)--appear to offer significant opportunities for savings in televisions and some lighting applications. The arrival in the U.S. market of ductless heat pumps for space heating also provides new savings opportunities."

Other areas to develop: expanding awareness of energy efficiency through online communities and social media. as well as an outreach campaign to consumers.

While NEET no longer exists, the work will continue to make sure the region meets its energy efficiency goals. We'll keep you informed on our progress.

NW, California Work on Wind Energy Issues

posted Jun 14, 2010

We've been talking about the challenges that California's renewable energy goals pose for the Northwest, and last week the region's utility community had an opportunity to meet with California industry representatives to discuss the issues and find ways to work together to identify and solve problems.

Here are some key facts:

  • Governor Schwartzenegger's 2009 executive order sets a goal of 33 percent renewable energy by 2020. In order to meet that standard, the Bonneville Power Administration estimates that California will need an additional 7,599 megawatts of capacity. That's a significant amount to achieve in 10 years.

  • Since wind requires additional reserves to integrate it into the power system, some companies, like Iberdrola, are beginning to move toward delivering a "full product," that's to say, wind that includes integration costs.

  • Another issue is what to do when there is more wind power than load. Two options are simply curtailing production and improving within-hour scheduling.

  • New technologies may also help to make renewable energy more dispatchable.

In the end, it seems that everyone is on the same page in terms of understanding what the challenges are, and perhaps most importantly, wanting to make sure that both regions meet their respective energy goals. As one California participant noted, "We don't want Northwest customers to subsidize wind."

Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer on Energy Efficiency

posted Jun 9, 2010

We interviewed Montana's Governor Brian Schweitzer for our next newsletter coming out soon. Here's a preview as he talks about what Montana is doing to pursue energy efficiency.

Q.  The Council’s regional power plan identifies improved energy efficiency as the highest priority because of its low cost, low environmental impact, and high job creation potential. What is Montana doing to make sure that the energy efficiency identified in the plan is being acquired by government, utilities, and consumers?

A.  Energy efficiency provides the best homegrown defense against high-energy prices and it produces the quickest results. Energy-efficient houses keep us warmer while saving money, especially for those who are forced to choose between food and medicine or heat. Energy-efficient cars make citizens less subject to the supply disruptions associated with hurricanes and international politics, and an energy-efficient state provides good paying, clean-energy jobs. Shortly after taking office in 2005, we announced the Warm Homes Warm Hearts program, which used Youth Conservation Corps workers to weatherize thousands of low-income and senior houses across the state.

State government will continue to focus resources on energy efficiency through both direct assistance to Montana’s lower income families and support of industries, businesses, and practices that promote energy efficiency. We already have a good start with our state facilities. Montana was one of the first states to adopt a renewable energy portfolio (15 percent by 2015), having done so in 2005. It was also one of the first states to adopt the new energy-efficiency building codes.

We also launched the 20 x 10 initiative in 2008 with a goal of reducing natural gas and electricity use in state government facilities by 20 percent by the end of 2010. The reduction will come from a combination of investments in building renovations, changes in building operations, and improvements that individual employees make in their daily work. In addition to the energy savings from state facilities, state government agencies have been charged with applying a Montana CAFE (corporate average fuel economy) standard moving the state vehicle fleets to achieve an average of 30 miles per gallon or better, with the exception of industrial vehicles and pickups needed for state work. To date, our overall CAFE achievements are 31mpg, and when we exclude industrial and pickup mileage, our current CAFE is 33 mpg. Many agency and motor pool vehicles are being replaced as they wear out with hybrid vehicles or other high-efficiency cars.  Schools, universities, businesses, and communities have been encouraged to join in the effort. Montana is leading by example, and Montana is making a difference.

There are opportunities to increase energy efficiency and create good jobs along the way. Consumers are benefitting from state tax credits for home energy improvements and rebates on appliances. About 9,000 rebates are expected to be provided to consumers that replace old refrigerators, freezers, washing machines, and clothes washers in the next few months. Local governments are also benefitting with 56 grants to be awarded this spring. The grants are primarily for upgrading lighting, replacing heating systems, and other building retrofits. Recycling grants were made available to 15 local government or private recycling companies to reduce the energy to manufacture new products. Individual consumers and small businesses are benefitting from an additional $1.2 million available for small, renewable-energy system loans, and a few businesses will get grants to adopt renewable energy technologies that are not in general use in the state of Montana. The state has also recently upgraded a portion of its school bus fleet to new, energy-efficient, low-emission buses.

Making Wind Work

posted Jun 7, 2010

In an earlier post, we talked about how California's quest for renewable energy has meant that a growing portion of the wind energy developed in the Northwest is going to our neighbor to the south.

While there are challenges associated with this trend, here are some of the steps that the Bonneville Power Administration is taking to help make the growing amount of wind power work in the Northwest's system.

Right now, less than 15 percent of the wind energy capacity connected to the Bonneville Power Administration's transmission system serves Bonneville customers. California gets most of the region's wind energy and renewable energy credits. By the end of the year, Bonneville expects that almost half of the wind capacity on its system will be owned by, or under contract to, California utilities.

Over the last several months, Bonneville has explored a variety of actions like building new substations and reinforcing existing transmission to increase its system capacity to integrate the large amount of wind power coming on line in the Northwest. It has also proposed expanding Northwest-California transmission capacity and limiting the use of renewable energy credits, except for wind developers helping to address transmission challenges.

While Bonneville is working hard with developers and California utilities to find solutions, it's also willing to make tough decisions. In 2009, Bonneville imposed a new, mandatory requirement on its transmission customers that allows the agency to curtail wind project output or temporarily halt transmission schedules to other transmission balancing authorities when the hydropower reserves set aside to balance wind approach depletion. It's also working with the California Independent System Operator and others to increase the supply of power reserves.

Bonneville also expressed concern to the California Public Utilities Commission about the potential impact on salmon and steelhead if Columbia River hydropower is used to balance wind power transmission to California.

Clean Tech Draws VC Funding

posted May 3, 2010

Brad Zengar of Pivotal Investments stopped by the office to talk about what his company does in the realm of emerging energy-efficiency technologies. As noted in an earlier post, Pivotal is a Pacific Northwest venture capital firm interested in small businesses here that show promise as innovators.

According to Zengar, the region is uniquely positioned to be a leader in the  clean energy race because we've already built a significant foundation of achievement in energy efficiency.

"We've done a lot not because it's the cool thing to do, but because it's part of our ethos."

Carbon uncertainty, which is a huge factor right now, along with growing demand for electricity and fuel are creating attractive markets that meet the criteria for venture capitalists.

"Energy efficiency is becoming a very prominent area for venture-capitalist firms," says Zengar. "Investment in efficiency technologies surpassed solar start-up in 2009."

While U.S. VC investment in cleantech companies declined in 2009, energy efficiency investment rose.

According to a report by Ernst & Young, VC investment directed almost 6 million to energy efficiency projects for the year.

"Energy efficiency is the sweet spot of many venture capital investors in terms of skill sets and funding parameters, particularly given its basis in information technology. Consequently, we may see investor participation in cleantech broaden," says John de Young, Ernst & Young's associate director, Americas Cleantech Network.

And the Wind Came Up

posted Apr 6, 2010

When we say wind is an "intermittent" resource, we mean it. This Bonneville Power Administration graph shows the output of wind generation for a seven-day period and how quickly it can "ramp" up or down. As you can see, the afternoon of April 2 shows quite a large spike. It gives you a good idea of how quickly this resource can affect the system, and why it's so important to have access to other resources that can be quickly decreased or increased to compensate for its unpredictability.

The Council's Wind Integration Forum has been working on solving some of the challenges to adding large amounts of this resource into the region's power system.

Northwest VC Investments Eye Sustainable Technologies

posted Mar 29, 2010

In a recent power committee meeting, Charlie Grist, senior analyst, shared news about a Northwest venture capital firm looking to invest in the "emerging sustainable economy." Pivotal Investments is the region's first venture capital firm  to target opportunities in the renewable energy and energy-efficiency industries.

"We've always looked to collaborate with utilities to help meet the region's energy-efficiency goals," says Grist "But the private sector is another area to partner with, too."

Grist is in the process of arranging an informal meeting to hear more about their goals and interests, and for them to hear about what the Council does. We'll report back on what we find out.

California's Quest for Renewable Energy and What It Could Mean for the Northwest

posted Mar 24, 2010

Three Pacific Northwest states have adopted renewable portfolio standards, but it may be that our neighbor to the south, California, will end up having the biggest  impact on the region. California's renewable energy policies are some of the most aggressive in the nation, and the state has worked for many years to develop its own renewable resources. It's now reached the point where California utilities have to look outside the state to satisfy their renewable portfolio goals.

Renewable energy credits (RECs) enable utilities to purchase the environmental benefits of renewable energy wherever it's generated. Most of California's utilities would like to use RECs as much as possible because it expands their market and could also eliminate some of the transmission costs to deliver the power from outside the state.

"We're already seeing 'the California effect,'" says Jeff King, senior resource analyst at the Council. "Roughly 50 percent of the wind power that was developed in 2008 and 2009 in the Northwest was either owned by California utilities or is contracted to them, and credits in excess of Northwest needs are being sold to California utilities from projects owned by, or contracted to, Northwest utilities."

It's a trend that's expected to continue into the future, says King, where we'll see California taking an increasing proportion of the Northwest's renewable resource generation to meet it's own RPS targets. But what happens to the electricity if it doesn't go with the REC? There's concern that it could end up in the Northwest power market, depressing power prices.

"In almost every one of these issues," says King, "there's a positive side and a negative side." Low power prices help Northwest utilities that need to purchase energy, but the same low prices reduces revenue for utilities with a good supply of resources to sell.

An increase in renewable energy development in the region is a good thing from the perspective of renewable resource developers, and for landowners who lease their land to wind power developers. It also benefits counties, usually in rural areas where a lot of wind farms are sited, by expanding their property tax base and increasing their property tax revenue.

On the other hand, notes King, we're already seeing controversies arise from the aesthetic and environmental impacts from expanded resource and transmission development in the region.

For the consumer, a lot will depend on the business practices and philosophy of the consumer's utility. Northwest utilities that are fairly aggressive in developing renewables on their own and selling RECs to California are able to generate revenue that may reduce electricity costs. It also puts them in a good position when it comes time to meet their own targets. For utilities that wait until they have to purchase renewable energy, they may find themselves in a situation where competition from California for those resources has driven up prices.

Since wind generation is the leading renewable now and the forseeable future, there's also the question of who pays the cost to integrate it into the power system. Its  intermittent nature means it needs flexible back-up resources to keep the system in balance. The point of concern is to make sure that the entity that needs these services pays for it. This includes allocating carbon impacts.

"It's a complicated combination of policy and technical issues that we don't fully understand," says King, who will be working on an assessment of all these issues for the next several months. Stay tuned.

When It Comes to Communication, Less Is More

posted Dec 18, 2009 by Carol Winkel

In a recent Newsweek column, science editor Sharon Begley made the blunt observation that "Scientists are lousy communicators." The piece was about the public's growing skepticism about climate change, but she asserts that the problem is connected as much to the scientists's "abysmal communication skills" as to anything else.

Her comments resonate because I know how difficult it is to communicate complex information in a way that is easily understood. The Council finally approved its regional power plan in February, but not until after a lengthy internal and public process.

One of the challenges when you work in a particular field, whether it's technical, scientific, or even relatively specialized, is that the very language used by those "in the know" is often completely opaque to the layperson. I'm talking about jargon. Not a useful way to communicate if you're trying to reach a broader audience.

And it's not just the words; just as often, it's the communication style. Rather than keeping things as concrete and simple as possible, we mistakenly think that more is better: more information, more detail, more pages. But a clearly made point only needs to be made once.

Part of the problem may be, as Guy Kawasaki noted in an interview in the NY Times, that we're conditioned in school toward meeting certain page counts. "In school, you're always worried about minimums. You have to reach 20 pages or you have to have so many slides or whatever." But in the real world, it's just the opposite. In real life, you need to get to the point, not bury it.

A researcher at University College London writing about cognitive fluency cited a study that found " the text became more complicated, readers gave lower estimates of the author's intelligence."

As one master of the message, Steve Jobs, put it, "Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication."