SAAC, 9:00am - 4:00pm Pacific

This meeting is in person at the Council's offices. In person attendance is encouraged.

A webinar option is available - register with this Zoom link to attend by webinar.
An email with your unique entry link will be sent after registration.

About this meeting: Staff will review regional capital expansion modeling methodology in support of the 9th Plan resource strategy analysis.

Agenda

9:00am – 9:10am    Introductions and review of agenda

9:10am – 9:45am    Review of Internal OptGen Vetting and Scope

  • Review of how and why we picked OptGen
  • What were we hoping to achieve, timelines and where we landed

9:45am – 10:30am   OptGen Methodology Update: Snapshot Years

  • How to represent a 20-year study with 7 snapshot years
  • Challenges and opportunities

10:30am – 10:45am   Break

10:45am – 12:15am   OptGen Methodology Update: Clustering

  • How many futures are enough to represent the range of risk?
  • How did we get to the proposed method?

11:45am – 12:00pm    Lunch - adjusted day of meeting

1:00pm – 2:45pm    OptGen Methodology Updates

  • Review OptGen reserve capabilities
  • Discussion of seasonal sampling in OptGen
  • Discussion of the dynamic probabilistic reserve
  • Enforcing reserves and the associated qualifying resources
  • Transmission modeling update
  • Market availability update from Transmission Max sensitivity
  • Incremental CETA obligation modeling

2:45pm – 3:00pm    Break

3:00pm – 3:45pm    Update on Needs Assessment Results

  • Review adequacy criteria and methodology for converting adequacy metrics to reserve margins
  • Updated needs peak and energy/sustained peaking

Topics for Upcoming Meetings and Conclusion

  • SAAC/RAAC meetings: February or March
  • Topics: Updates on scenario modeling results in OptGen and GENESYS